monstars.bsky.social @monstars.bsky.social · 01/01/2026Despite Russian dominance along much of the front, the AFU still retains limited counter-capabilities. Time itself is no longer decisive, but the manpower drain is ruthless. Based on that, here are my baseline expectations for the next year. 1110
monstars.bsky.social @monstars.bsky.social · 01/01/2026Ukraine should prepare counterattacks, but I do not expect meaningful success against the current Russian army. For that, Russian forces would first need to be worn down enough for gaps to appear. 1120
monstars.bsky.social @monstars.bsky.social · 01/01/2026Ukraine has built several defensive lines that Russia has not yet reached, and these could become a game changer. Still, expectations should remain low, despite some recent encouraging signs. 1130
