
Here's an ad by Rep. Tom Barrett in #MI07; reading the transcript you'd think it was from Will Lawrence. He attempts a local control message on data centers but otherwise is chasing Lawrence's established position.
Barrett is vulnerable on this issue, & Lawrence is driving the conversation. Climate activist William Lawrence, an outspoken progressive, has won the Dem nod for swingy #MI07, held by GOP Rep. Tom Barrett. Lawrence was aided by the fact that two more moderate candidates appeared to split the vote. 
Ok. If I were a betting man, I'd probably do this:
-#MISen: Abdul El-Sayed +12.6%
#MI13: McKinney +2.3
#MI07: Will Lawrence +5 thanks a split field
#MO01: Bell wins by 3 
It don't matter. Haley Stevens. Sufjan Stevens. Cat Stevens. Abdul El-Sayed +11 in #MISen
Bell +2 in #MO01
Lawrence +3 in #MI07