can we *please* just cut it out about p(literal end of all humanity)?
like, yeah, ">0"
but p(dude uses AI to create + releases all-spider-killing gene drive), p(nuclear power-plant cooling-rod AI gets really into poetry, takes a week off), p(robo taxis get inspired by Luigi)?
all >> p(doom)
to be clear, i think it’s highly unlikely that AI would actually wipe us out
but it’s possible, and the likelihood goes up and down based on how careful we are. and right now we’re fucking oblivious