Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Tehran has many points of failure, Washington only one. My new piece on who in Iran can say yes. www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/iran-us-de... 011
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Guterres said our crises are tests of power. Trump confirmed it an hour later. Why the UN matters: www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/un-general... 001
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 15/09/2026BRICS agreed 140 paragraphs at New Delhi without naming the crisis splitting 5 of its 11 members. Only Russia gains. www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/brics-red-... #BRICS 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Russia's missile output has roughly doubled. Ukraine's interceptor stockpile is down to ~40%. www.navigatingthevor... #Geopolitics 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Iran's war was supposed to be Russia's biggest win. It's also becoming Ukraine's opening — Kyiv's Caspian strike hit the Iran-Russia supply chain directly. www.navigatingthevor... 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 05/03/2026Russia is a likely winner of the war against Iran, but only in the short term: bit.ly/4rUzby4 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 23/02/2026We have just published Episode 2 of Navigating the Vortex | Ethnopolitics Edition, in which we talk with Tamirace Fakhoury and John Nagle about their work on power sharing and contentious politics in divided societies: bit.ly/4tI9gea 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 10/02/2026Proudly announcing my latest co-production which can be pre-ordered here: academic.oup.com/book/62306 022
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 27/01/2026After two rounds of talks in Abu Dhabi, it remains unclear whether an actual negotiation process will now get under way between Russia and Ukraine and what its format and direction will be: bit.ly/4bVyCif 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 04/01/2026In light of recent US experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq, more instability, not less, will be the likely result of the capture of Maduro: bit.ly/4qFYMtC 020
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 16/11/2025The continuation of Russia’s war against Ukraine serves Chinese interests in several important ways: bit.ly/4p66agW 131
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 21/10/2025Three key take-aways from the Trump-Putin-Zelensky diplomatic flurry over the past few weeks: bit.ly/3KY7HqK 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 20/10/2025Unsurprisingly, Putin gets Trump to pivot again: bit.ly/42NC9Kd 011
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 16/10/2025Recognising a Russian sphere of influence would most likely encourage dreams of further expansion in the Kremlin: bit.ly/4hfvKgV 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 11/10/2025If Trump wants to be a serious contender for the 2026 Nobel peace Prize, he needs to double down on his peace-making efforts and prevent his grandiose claims from being proven wrong: bit.ly/4q1ntkN 020
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 29/09/2025Despite spending millions on vote buying and disinformation, Russia has not been able to turn Moldova into a country in which a majority of the population would want to jeopardise their European future: bit.ly/4nzhP7S 010
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 26/09/2025Time is running out for Europe to prevent Russia from broadening its war against Ukraine into a full-blown military confrontation with the west: my latest analysis with @rgwhitman.bsky.social: bit.ly/42e0qZB 022
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 11/09/2025Putin senses opportunities for Russia to be the dominant power in Europe — and the west’s lacklustre response to his latest provocation is hardly a deterrent: bit.ly/4gnWICy 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 04/09/2025If Trump doesn’t recognise the value of his country’s allies in managing the challenge that China clearly poses to the US, China’s sphere of influence may quickly extend far beyond Asia: bit.ly/4mJoLyt 110
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 27/08/2025Likely statements at the upcoming SCO summit of how the spirit of Shanghai will shape a new international order rest on the false premise that a post-American international order will be a non-American order: my latest analysis for Navigating the Vortex: bit.ly/3UKuLuN 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 19/08/2025Trump boldly claimed that he knew exactly what he was doing — but that may not be enough without knowing and understanding what his counterpart in the Kremlin is up to: bit.ly/3Jm1fZM 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 16/08/2025Trump has left Alaska empty-handed and Putin with a big smile on his face: bit.ly/471jHRm 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 14/08/2025For all his deal-making bluster, Trump, unlike Kyiv’s European allies has yet to commit unequivocally to a just peace for Ukraine: bit.ly/4fCjgik 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 07/08/2025If he doesn't blink first, Trump can now strengthen Kyiv and weaken Moscow to achieve a just and sustainable peace agreement: bit.ly/3UeGHEP 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 04/08/2025Trump is a long way off from being the “president of peace” but may inch closer to becoming the “president of ceasefires”: bit.ly/45gVZxF 110
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 01/08/2025Lack of bandwidth in the White House is a self-inflicted opportunity lost — not only for the United States but also for the long-suffering people of Ukraine and the Middle East: bit.ly/3H4tk7c 020
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 24/06/2025A Nato summit agreement in The Hague on increased defence spending will give the alliance another lease of life, but it might be a short one: bit.ly/4kaPm5D 010
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 04/06/2025US policies have now become a major, and perhaps the decisive roadblock on the path to a just and sustainable peace because they enable both Moscow and Kyiv to dream of victory in a war that has become unwinnable: www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/talks-betw... 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 29/05/2025Is Germany becoming Europe’s new defence champion? www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/berlin-ste... via @navvortex.bsky.social 011
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 20/05/2025If a reset with Russia at any cost really is Trump's strategy, it is bound to fail: bit.ly/3SQpd0x #Trump #Putin #Ukraine 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 15/05/2025Focusing on territorial compromises will not address the fundamental issue of how to deal with a vengeful and revisionist autocracy on Europe's doorsteps: www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/territoria... #Russia #Ukraine #Negotiations 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 14/05/2025Moscow’s close relationships with its three core allies — China, Iran and North Korea — signals that Russia has become a lot more dependent on them than would befit Putin’s dreams of restoring Russia’s great-power status: bit.ly/42VLHmU #Russia #China #Iran #NorthKorea 011
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 09/05/2025With no dependable partners left among the world’s great powers, Europe has an opportunity to begin to stand on its own feet: bit.ly/4jM53AK via @navvortex.bsky.social #Europe #USA #Russia #China 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 06/04/2025As Putin ups the stakes over Norway's Svalbard, Trump needs to think more about alliances than annexing Denmark's Greenland: bit.ly/4lfr7VL via @navvortex.bsky.social #Greenland #svalbard #Trump #Putin #Russia #China #USA 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 19/03/2025Trump’s dealmaking is not yet bringing a just and stable peace for Ukraine any closer -- my latest analysis with Tetyana Malyarenko for @navvortex.bsky.social bit.ly/3FDo2yp #Trump #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine #Europe 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 09/03/2025Trump's manoeuvring does not only affect Ukraine, it has also had a profound, reinvigorating impact on the rest of Europe: bit.ly/4bD6cr7 via @navvortex.bsky.social #Europe #NATO #Trump #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #Russia 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 04/03/2025As the rift between the US and Ukraine deepens, all eyes are on Europe: bit.ly/3F18pjQ via @navvortex.bsky.social #Trump #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine #Europe 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 01/03/2025Most European leaders have rallied behind Zelensky again, but there is now a very real chance that Trump will abandon both Europe and Ukraine when he cuts a deal with Putin: bit.ly/41GObnt via @navvortex.bsky.social #Trump #Zelensky #USA #Russia #Ukraine #Europe 030
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 24/02/2025The Trump-Putin deal has striking parallels to Munich 1938. It isn’t really about Ukraine or Europe but about re-ordering the international system: bit.ly/3Xa12N9 @navvortex.bsky.social #RussiaUkraineWar #Russia #China #USA #Trump #Putin #EU #NATO 120
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 22/02/2025Our latest analysis for @navvortex.bsky.social on Europe's security challenges in the face of a Trump-Putin deal on Ukraine: www.navigatingthevor... #Trump #Putin #UkraineRussiaWar #Europe 002
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 17/02/2025Will Europe find a role and place for itself in a new multipolar world or it will be crushed by Putin, Trump and Xi? Our latest analysis for @navvortex.bsky.social www.navigatingthevor... #USA #Russia #Ukraine #Europe 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 12/02/2025Our latest analysis on who interferes in European elections and on whether and how they succeed: www.navigatingthevor... via @navvortex.bsky.social #Elections #interference 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 09/02/2025When foreign policy turns into a real estate sales pitch, the effects are predictably bad: www.navigatingthevor... via @navvortex.bsky.social #Trump #Netanyahu #Israel #Gaza #MiddleEast 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 08/02/2025If peace in Europe depends on Ukraine winning, the continent is in deep trouble: www.navigatingthevor... via @navvortex.bsky.social #UkraineRussiaWar #Europe #NATO #Trump 020
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 25/01/2025Our latest analysis for @navvortex.bsky.social on the emerging Trump doctrine in Latin America: www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/what-… #USA #China #PanamaCanal 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 18/01/2025Ahead of Trump's second inauguration, some reflections on his emerging foreign policy doctrine for @navvortex.bsky.social - www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/trump… #Trump #Russia #China #USA #NATO #Ukraine #Iran 020
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 10/01/2025Our latest analysis for @navvortex.bsky.social on why Trump's bid for Greenland is not irrational, but why his approach to getting it is shortsighted and dangerous: bit.ly/4fQ1zKP #Greenland #USA #EU #NATO 020
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 09/01/2025Our latest analysis and podcast on the energy war with Russia for @navvortex.bsky.social bit.ly/3PA3AzX #Ukraine #Russia #EU 020
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 20/12/2024Ukraine's European allies are still coming up short on credible military support: my latest analysis for @navvortex.bsky.social ww.navigatingthevortex.com/p/as-2025-ap... #UkraineRussiaWar #EuropeanUnion #NATO #USA 000
Stefan Wolff @stefwolff.bsky.social · 17/12/2024Endgame for Russia's aggression against Ukraine? Maybe, but it could also just be a temporary break: www.navigatingthevortex/p/is-the-war... #UkraineRussiaWar #EU #NATO @navvortex.bsky.social @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social 001
