Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 30/09/2026I don't know how to plan for this tbh. Would love someone smarter than me in this regard to tell me how. 000
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 26/09/2026static.klipy.comMan Head Bopping to MusicALT: Man Head Bopping to Music 010
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 26/09/2026Embarrassingly high approval. A very high number of those white people are just white supremacists, explicitly or implicitly. He's probably already lost a good chunk of white supremacists. 030
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 25/09/2026Me on election night 2024static.klipy.comDark Trilogy: It's Going To Happen AgainALT: Dark Trilogy: It's Going To Happen Again 010
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 25/09/2026The split is Yak — info dump on me and share interesting tangential information, Tutor — carefully explain and then probe, and Examiner — ask more mastery style questions and record whether I understand the topic in some memory files for later reference. 020
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 25/09/2026This is where designed AI skills or dedicated agents really start to separate casual chat users from people who are getting the most out of it. I have a dedicated teach skill and and I'm setting up a better multi-agent setup. 120
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸ashley (ravens 2-1) 🌹 @clearlyashley.bsky.social · 23/09/2026WE’RE GOING TO VALHALLA IN NOVEMBER!!!!!! 91309
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 23/09/2026Really is time for a "Thank God our enemies are so stupid" 010
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 23/09/2026Ok, you at least have to remember your partner's phone number. I've met people who are *married* and don't know their partner's phone number. 000
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 23/09/2026People are going to get seriously hurt in every conceivable dimension in very predictable ways. I'm so hopping mad 070
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸Grace @gracekind.net · 19/09/2026Frog built a wet lab for the AI model. "There," he said. "Now it can do its own experiments." "What the fuck?" said Toad 13817129
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸Starfire’s Deranged Neocon Foreign Policy Podcast @irhottakes.bsky.social · 17/09/2026This is bad and should be called out. I push back against accusing everyone that breathes for wanting to throw us under the bus, so it is credible when we call it out when it unambiguously occurs. This is an unambiguous occurrence. 221132283
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸lxigh @dotorion.bsky.social · 13/09/202699% of ruminators quit right before they would have had a life-changing epiphany 02687570
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 13/09/2026My wedding band is a Möbius strip and I'm pretty jazzed about that. 010
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 12/09/2026I don't actually believe that and I didn't claim it 000
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 12/09/2026Not sure why I would argue with you. You don't respect the expertise of mathematicians and you don't seem to care about it's future. Nor do you even seem interested in understanding what I am saying or the letter you are critiquing. 100
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 12/09/2026Results are not really the point of mathematics. I've been thinking about this a ton. The community is the end result we are seeking with mathematics. What good is a corpus of literature no one understands? 140
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 11/09/2026Former mayor tries to save the city from itself 011
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 09/09/2026AI labs refusing to share negative results is a huge problem. The "dead ends" of NS have been gold mines for mathematics. 000
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 08/09/2026I think we are using two different definitions of first principles then. Because yes, Fable did that. 110
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 08/09/2026This is not true. It did not do so from first principles. It followed a simplified (?) proof that was based on Wiles's proof. 110
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 08/09/2026If I had not started to be convinced myself on my own terms, the way reasonable people have come around would've at least given me pause. 030
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 07/09/2026This seems particularly egregious considering that doing a proper lit review is precisely a domain where AI shines. This looks very intentional to me. 001
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸Matt Henderson @matthen.com · 07/09/2026A ring built from the Julia sets found along the main cardioid of the Mandelbrot set. one of my favourite mathematical objects 726444
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸Brett "Solidarity 2026" Banditelli @banditelli.org · 25/08/2026Fun fact, tho not so much given the circumstances: Many large west coast SEIU local numbers are based off mergers. 1021 was 10 locals, now 1. 521 was 5, now 1. 721 was 7, now 1. Not 925. 925 is numbered after the 9 to 5 movement of women workers in the 70s, which Dolly wrote the song about. 4964201
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 23/08/2026I've seen that IQ question like 10 times and I finally looked at it long enough to get it. 020
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸Andy Craig @andycraig.bsky.social · 22/08/2026A very common DC tourist reaction to the White House is "oh, it's smaller than I thought." And damn right it is, as it should be. 121696131
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 22/08/2026I've got a lot going on in my life. But I think it be worth it to sink 100 hours of self study into systems engineering in the next year. But also, actuary exams are looming. The spectre of Exam 5 is giving me the heebie-jeebies. 110
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 22/08/2026I've been thinking this. Precisely formalized programs on the cheap is nuts. 020
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 21/08/2026Yes, that is a very good analogy. And it extends quite well (right now). Machined parts are obviously of higher quality than printed parts. Just as thoughtfully crafted code by a software engineer is better than spaghetti code produced by a novice piloting AI. 1170
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 21/08/2026I built out a tool then I estimate will save my firm $50k per year on the very low end and a ton more than that on the high end. That took me like 4 days and $300 in compute? Presentation on it this Thursday! 2250
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 21/08/2026Every day I go back to work and whisper to myself "Back to the spreadsheet mines" 010
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 20/08/2026Hear me out. What if instead of selling food below cost to all comers at taxpayer expense, then using more taxpayer dollars to subsidize private companies that can't compete, we had a program targeting nutritional assistance just to the people who needed it, as a sort of supplement? 3101372205
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 20/08/2026Avoiding AI doesn't mean you're doing the homework. Doing the homework has always been a superpower. You can even do both. 010
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸Regime Accountant, CPA ☠️🎢 @regimecpa.bsky.social · 20/08/2026Sorry but linear algebra has not delivered any of the utopian claims the technology boosters have made. It’s only been useful to spreadsheet people. 71113
Reposted by Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸Casey Drottar @caseydrottar.bsky.social · 19/08/2026Fernando Tatis Jr. with the coldest grand slam robbery I have ever seen in my life 20834178
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 18/08/2026Not as safe as other high end helmets (no MIPS). But being more portable is so huge, I'm not sure if I care for city riding. 010
Marcus Helmer 🇺🇸 @wellactuarially.com · 18/08/2026The alternative is these books never get read by anyone forever. Everywhere I look it seeks like people's information environment is so polluted and I'm at a loss for what we do about it 064