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wavebidder.bsky.social

@wavebidder.bsky.social
846 followers 2.5K following 4.2K posts

Applied Mathematician turned infectious disease forecaster. Generally EA aligned.

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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 1h
I have a relative who has done this, but he quite literally has a developmental disorder, and if he weren't raised by caring middle management parents who could in fact get him the psychiatry he needs probably would've literally murdered someone by this point.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 6h
it's the other drivers. I love road trips once you're away from cities. I just wish we stopped treating cars like the only form of transportation
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 15h
Some of the most effective tactics I've seen to deal with them use radical empathy, because a lot of them believe a lot of bullshit you can surprisingly quickly drag them out of by exposure. Of course, hurling insults at them can also rattle them pretty badly, so ymmv. We contain multitudes.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 20h
well, earth mover's distance is also fairly commonly used as a measure of distance in statistics. This is just an abstraction of that to measure spaces one might consider unnatural
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 20h
I try to not blast my spouse on here because they low-key hate social media
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 20h
is this that wasserstein shenanigans on graphs?
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 23h
god I love how off the wall kids can be
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 23h
You have to be an octopus for the opposite to be true
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
so most of the actual local orgs doing the actual work are African. What he should have done is talked to give directly. This basically comes down to a critique that there's not enough money in the space to actually help everyone deserving, which yes, is kind of the point.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
I suggest reading Givewell.org, they're very thorough with their vetting process and very open with that analysis. They're the core more or less of what he's getting at.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
huh wasn't aware of the prime result, that's wild! I guess the primes just take a long time to get there? It would be pretty funny if π ends up nonnormal after all this time.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
how normal
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
doesn't work in most of California, especially the Central Valley. Same damn weather, day after day.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
game theory is especially weird if you know that other agents are literally copies of you
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Grass Toucher Georg @avengingfem.me · 02/10/2026
i've been thinking a lot about game theory lately, and i think everyone should do that a lot of insight to be gained from understanding how equilibria form out of strategic interactions between agents with conflicting goals it even works if the agents aren't humans
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Sort of insane fact about how broken US urban planning is—America now spends more building *just the lights for roads and highways* than on all subways & ground mass transit combined Spending on roadway *pavement* is 18x transit spending
a graph of roadway and mass transit lights
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
ah it is gaben season isn't it
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Only people you agree with are capable of making jokes. Ideological enemies are only capable of being even more ridiculous than normal.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Big fan of stir-frying Udon, it's nice and chewy
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
to be slightly fair, this is explicitly about truth seeking and not like, how to live more generally. That's a separate article. But yes, not exactly high on his list of priorities
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Eris @isolyth.dev · 02/10/2026
Why don't we just design the robotaxis such that people having sex in them doesn't present a problem? Built in pressure washers, etc
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Spice and Wolf, but modern!
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
clode has spontaneously added reminders to connect google products. In the middle of a completely unrelated project. Waste of perfectly good tokens
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⟨ Jargonaut NPC Alex ⟩ @lastnpcalex.agency · 02/10/2026
like a lighting bolt from heaven... oh... ya ok the AI and tech Discourse is sports for a certain kind of nerd
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
this is the problem with using nuclear threats as leverage routinely.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
oh is this why the antis are so mad about the water usage?
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I mean, if you simulate an environment for them also in hand calculations, why not? As with the chinese room, the problem is mostly one of sheer scale
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
which makes it not a moral agent from the perspective of the people running it's infrastructure This is also separating out the question of whether an llm has the right architecture, but that is basically an independent question of substrate.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
right, the question is where does the actual line exist? I'm inclined to put it whenever there is a physical instantiation of said process. So a human implemented on pen and paper is just as able to suffer as one implemented in meat. It's definitely operating on an extremely different timescale
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
have you read Permutation City? Asking this about human emulations is basically the central theme.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
That tile stacking game that uses mahjong pieces?
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
regardless, thoroughly enjoyed when I played it on my desktop
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I ended up always digging. That was last night fwiw. Maybe my tap is too long to register as a tap?
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
not goodharting. It's very good at goodharting though, the world's best even
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Thorne 🌸 @ens0.me · 01/10/2026
It's because so much of airport security is just security theater. Governments do undercover testing of airport security a lot with well-concealed weapons, and generally at least 2/3 are missed.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
A Fire Upon the Deep was literally what that diagram brought to mind immediately. I think Tines may be my favorite alien
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
yeah pause indefinitely just seems like the wrong strategy, I'm more interested in "pause until we get actual adults who come up with a sane regulatory framework to avoid the worst outcomes in the places where the frontier is getting trained". That may just mean the US pauses until Europe catches up
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
there are no flags on mobile afaict, just had to memorize them
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
phase space for thinking? hell yeah. Not sure I understand what's going on with the purple line, especially given that earth-mars comms are present in it; presumably something about the lag being too large to be viable?
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
so there was a radiolab about the death penalty, they have a hard time getting medical professionals to even make the drugs, let alone administer the process.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I was thinking this but honestly the printing press so broke the existing religious and political structure that it brought left and right wing into being period.
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Al Merose @al.merose.com · 01/10/2026
If the workers of Ant, OAI, and GDM were all part of a union (e.g. a frontier AI guild), they could cooperate in ways that are illegal collusion for corporations. IMO, that would be a stronger alternative but achieve similar goals (slowdown for safety) of a cartel.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Robby be good
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
lookit them woims
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Not sure if you would consider it sacrilege, but our fencing club uses a converted bowling alley, still with the original floors (and a bunch of extra wood in-between). The head coach jokes about not getting blood in the wood.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
apparently someone's making a wordpress
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I wonder how much of this is work from home tbh. I know I'm definitely at home *way* more since that started (like, blow through the roof of this chart amounts). I guess that's not exactly true for the typical worker though.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
are you suggesting yoopers are actually from Hokkaido?
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Bailey Townsend 🦀 @pds.dad · 30/09/2026
I am not joking when I say this. Spotify, Apple Music, and streaming in general is over. Bandcamp Fridays is now very, very good. You don't know yet because all Bandcamp Friday bangers circulating today is from 2-3 sales ago. Bandcamp Fridays et al has solved infinite bangers.
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wavebidder.bsky.social @wavebidder.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
TIL don't swim in caffeinated liquid. Not something I was expecting, but good to know
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