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Walter Deemer

@walterdeemer.bsky.social
2.1K followers 20 following 575 posts

Retired institutional market analyst (1964-2016)

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Walter Deemer
Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
NDX has left the island.
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Reposted by Walter Deemer
Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
No idea if this is real or not but it's too funny not to share.
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Tom Hearden @followtheh.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
what's the one movie you keep meaning to watch but haven't yet I'll start
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Interesting condition attending important tops. Note: Acknowledging a condition is: 1) not equivalent to calling a top; and 2) not inconsistent with trend following.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Betting on the Bondaleros.
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
“Actions speak louder than words” and "Watch their feet, not their mouths" are useful idioms. Markets evaluate and internalize FOMC intent, though not necessarily on day one of headline news.
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Professor UST2Y arriving at #JacksonHole
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Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
New closing high for the S&P Friday. Number of S&P stocks making new highs: 8. Must be all that broadening out 😄
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Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Market Vane Bulls 79% Highest since summer 1997, just prior to the Asian economic crisis, which started with the revaluation of the Thai Baht..
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
TLT 83. Bonds do not buy, if it brings out supply. 🤪
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
New highs are almost always good news; it's just the last one that is not. –Greg Morris
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
Adding to precarious conditions in tens, UST30Y has again breached the psychologically important 5% level, raising the perennial question: Good buy or goodbye?
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Ivan the K ™ @ivanthek.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
#ETTD
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Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Let's do a little TA lesson today since I get asked all the time about islands (on charts, not tropical ones) CCL has an island -----IF today's gap does not fill. Fill the gap, no island. I hope you can see there is 'water' all around that island.
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Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Nearly every guest on tv in the last few days: the market needs a correction but it's all healthy. Reminder: everyone wants to buy em down 10% until they actually go down 10% As @walterdeemer.bsky.social says, when the time comes to buy you won't want to
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
When everybody is bearish, they’re probably going to be wrong. When everybody is bullish, they may be right for a while. –Burton Crane, as paraphrased by @walterdeemer.bsky.social
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Today's NASDAQ Wunderkinder is Hub Cyber Security Ltd: $HUBC. Traded a billion shares already today. Price: 43 cents, up 32 cents. Was over 3000 a year ago. Dollars.
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Mid-week humor. H/t @MebFaber
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Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Walter @walterdeemer.bsky.social shared this on the other site yesterday. Great story.
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Comment: SPX has demonstrated notable continuation following extreme momentum in momentum-factor stocks since MTUM was launched in 2013. Different this time?
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
Goodbye, Mr. Bond?
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Tom Hearden @followtheh.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
good morning dear Helene and Happy Birthday! @hmeisler.bsky.social
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
Smart chart. H/t @TechCharts
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
$QQQ on the loose.
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Comments: 1) SPX >6993 is required to produce a signal via weekly close. 2) There were many prior successes since SPX inception, with notable failures in May 1957 and May 1969. 3) The best signals were qualified by greater drawdowns than the current case.
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Tomorrow’s session should be informative. While geopolitical developments could easily derail the nascent SPX reversal, a show of strength, such as closing above the open and in the top third of the daily bar, would be constructive, in my view. Thank you Captain Obvious?
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
World Liberty Financial — at the center of Trump’s crypto empire — down 15% today and below .08. 52-week high was .46.
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Reposted by Walter Deemer
Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Equity put/call ratio goes sub .50 for the first time since January. My pinned tweet works just fine.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
The market opened huge potential breakaway gaps from three-week head-and-shoulders bottoms this morning. To fill them, $SPY would have to decline to 659.61 and $QQQ to 588.98. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Both gaps have been filled.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
This morning’s gaps left an island top behind. $SPY would have to advance to 653.00 and $QQQ to 580.42 to fill them. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
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Reposted by Walter Deemer
Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
83% of big daily advances occur below the 200dma. –Trivia Dept.
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Tom Hearden @followtheh.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
3 straight days the Spoos have traded more than 100 handles off the highs good times
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Another day, another downside gap at the opening. $SPY would have to rally to 644.82 and $QQQ to 573.43 to fill this morning’s gaps -- and $QQQ still has an unfilled gap from yesterday at 585.69. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
$SPY would have to rally to 654.24 and $QQQ to 585.69 to fill this morning’s gaps. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is. Also, that 13-day ma has defined the short-term downtrend pretty nicely of late.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
They've already been filled.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
$SPY would have to decline to 657.03 and $QQQ to 587.93 to fill this morning’s gaps. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is… but if this morning’s gaps don’t get filled quickly they could be breakaway gaps.
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Reposted by Walter Deemer
Tom Hearden @followtheh.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Remember when people were fired for their lack of reverence when Charlie Kirk died?
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
A recent interview of mine is now on YouTube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=CcjK... The soundtrack's been dubbed because the facilitator was in Brazil. I don't really sound like that...
youtube.com
Walter Deemer: "Quando a Hora de Comprar Chegar, Você Não Vai Querer" (60 Anos de Trading)
YouTube video by TraderBrasil
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
The important thing isn't that the market's oversold -- it's how the market responds to its oversold condition. Meanwhile, Thursday's gap was finally filled.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
83% upside day at 10:30. Need two in a row to have any significance. UVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per wsj.com. See cmtassociation.org/wp-content/u... for explanation.
wsj.com
The Wall Street Journal - Breaking News, Business, Financial & Economic News, World News and Video
Breaking news and analysis from the U.S. and around the world at WSJ.com. Politics, Economics, Markets, Life & Arts, and in-depth reporting.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
$SPX closed below the Dec low and today's gap, unlike others recently, wasn't closed during the day. This isn't fatal yet (the Jan 20 one [dashed line] wasn't closed until the following day) but the bullish forces need to pull themselves together here to limit further damage.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
A mere 66% downside day at 11:00. Has no significance. DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per wsj.com. See cmtassociation.org/wp-content/u... for explanation.
wsj.com
The Wall Street Journal - Breaking News, Business, Financial & Economic News, World News and Video
Breaking news and analysis from the U.S. and around the world at WSJ.com. Politics, Economics, Markets, Life & Arts, and in-depth reporting.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Another day… another downside gap at the opening… and another test of the support at the December low. $SPY would have to rally to 673.34 and $QQQ to 605.03 to fill today’s gaps. How quickly they get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is.
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Reposted by Walter Deemer
Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
This is exactly how my pinned tweet works.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Bent bigly but didn't break.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
And here's the gap. Would take a rally to 669.76 to fill it.
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Walter Deemer @walterdeemer.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Stocks don't open for 12 more hours, but with futures -125 the S&P looks like it will gap down through the Dec. low; a low which became even more significant after Wednesday's bounce off its corresponding support. And if the gap isn't filled quickly it would look pretty ominous.
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
1/ Bears have more proving to do, as no cyclical top since 1990 has occurred in absence of NYSE new lows >4% of total issues. My 10-day average is meant to reduce false signals from the Vince/Williams “bloodbath sidestepping” rule described here: tinyurl.com/6tjt3567
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Mark Ungewitter @mark-ungewitter.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Here we go again.
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