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WaitingForJarnathan

@waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social
638 followers 1.4K following 1.3K posts

If the plans fail, I’ll make new plans. Follow me for random comments about Orioles, Ravens, Terps. Pro-democracy. Democrat.

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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 19h
The AI financial bubble is popping right now. It started this week. I don’t mean the tech is going away; it’s not and there are lots of good use cases. But the idea that there is infinite demand and we need TW of data centers is done. The financial reckoning is going to be wild.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 22h
This is very silly. They are using pure math to scare people and hype things.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Playoffs… sorry
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Pete Alonso led the AL in HR and RBIs. Orioles were mid, but he was awesome.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
It’s tough being middle aged or retired and not have any friends
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Infinite. He’s Godzilla, he does whatever he wants.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
*Nearly* $100. That’s not a gift, that’s a chore. It’s like Seinfeld signing all the checks for $0.14.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The worst thing about Bloomberg’s paywall is that I don’t get to enjoy schadenfreude
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
It’s very good!
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
The biggest change in the last 10 years is moving 10% from center right -> far right and creating unstable politics swinging between center left and far right
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
If you divide voter into 4 groups, across democracies the general trend is: • Center left (40%) • Far right (30%) • Center right (20%) • Far left (10%) This has the end result of making literally everyone angry. How the 3rd place center right swings determines the direction of the country.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
She 50? Master and Commander is a lot for any under the BlueSky average age
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Pig always looked weirdly interesting
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I hear you about injuries. But I like him and for my own sanity I’ve adopted the “hot dog guy” mentality.
Orioles are my favorite tv show…
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Future is bright
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Good looking map though!
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I assume this is the deal to automatically enroll all kids in 530A accounts, but require parents to claim the account
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The hard work of build automations is figuring out the process. Computers aren’t that hard. The messy bit is the actual work to build a process. This is why I’m getting super annoyed at PoCs from random (usually senior) people. That wasn’t the hard part
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I strongly suspect they distilled Fable to make it because Fable prices were too high
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Reposted by WaitingForJarnathan
Roberto Rojas @robertorojas97.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The Brazilian Portuguese commentary on that Tyler Loop field goal for the Ravens is exactly what everyone needs to hear right now
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Wooooo! Amazing ending. Go Ravens!!!!
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
They all need to join us over here!
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
eXtreme Intelligence
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Especially in this context bsky.app/profile/mike...
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
He’s a private equity guy who says I’m not getting return on investment with my salary increase. I’d be a little nervous in the front office.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Lock in is pretty weak. The vendors are try to build it, but every one is aware and works against it. I think the desktop apps for non-technical users have the highest switching costs. In software dev it is very easy to change tools and becoming more standardized
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
The industry has 40 years of experience with “vendor lock in” plus these are pretty naturally fungible plus model quality doesn’t make a big impact a lot of work. IPO is gonna be wild
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Probably because it is still 1972 and only Nixon could go to China
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
You got another shoutout from Kevin in the late innings broadcast!
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I vividly recall in 2008 sitting near someone in a “big work meeting” saying mortgages rates are above 7%. How can anyone possibly purchase a house at 7% interest rates?!? We’re back, baby!
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Do you play Mayo over Westy? Mayo put together a good season
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Millenials are the first generation to grow up in a multicultural society with equal rights for women and woke 1 was the first attempt to try to be actually inclusive. Trump 2 was a pushback on that from young men joining with older generations against inclusion We also uncovered a lot of pests
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
If this is to bring MNF, then I’m cool with it
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Every spidey sense of office dynamics I have says this is a demotion in practice
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
These writers know their audience
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
You go kill Reacher. How will I know who he is? He’s the one killing everybody.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
There are always humans to blame. They are responsible to control it.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Coby’s 23 HRs really snuck up on me
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
I think it was Brandon Sanderson that blogged that these exclusive periods are many years, like 7. That seems like a weird thing mentally to know that things are just out there as maybe’s for so long. What has been your experience?
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
This is with a huge job-creating AI debt boom (~2% GDP), and huge wealth effect from AI-related stocks. Both are fragile, but do exist and are masking the damage elsewhere. Given that tailwind, slightly above trend isn't great. If they reverse, watch out.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Probably, but probably at drastically lower growth rates. Valuations have exponential growth baked in. Users are using cheaper models from them (Sol->Luna). Trusted open source is a real threat. General belt tightening and spend limits. Cursor’s whole deal is cost cutting
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Bad news for OpenAI and Anthropic. This is vendor shifting to cut costs. Demand but not willingness to pay 🤷 Openrouter went from a random company to backed by Stripe, which I’m sure is helping IT departments.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Batman the Animated Series is also sufficient
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
New York Football Giants?
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
If I could get an alert on my phone for any time a position player was pitching, I would hit accept in a heart beat. Nothing it more fun than 59 MPH fastballs.
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
This is because model improvements have slowed at the same size and they done want to make bigger parameter models than Astra or Fable. Also no one wants to pay for big models like Astra or Fable. Also who cares about xAI
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
You are just grumpymaxxing
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
In what cursed universe is our catcher playing second base?!
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
You heard Jim Palmer. If we can win today and tomorrow, then go on a little streak than we’re in
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WaitingForJarnathan @waiting4jarnathan.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
This is only sort of true. Most software development is iterative with learning along the way and the smaller models do just fine at lower cost. The bigger models run longer with a clear target, but the clear target is the problem more than anything else
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