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Tim Clancy

@viewfromarchstreet.com
1.7K followers 821 following 2.1K posts

Arch Street=making connections in science, cybersecurity & innovation. former NSF, House Science Committee. environment, upstate NY, science & tech policy everywhere. Jazz. Occasional Boston Celtics musings Alexandria, Virginia viewfromarchstreet.com

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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 23h
This is correct - the truth value of an LLM output is essentially zero. Errors are not "hallucinations" they're probabilistic results given when the system runs out of data or has poor data. The system is performing as intended. Even at 90+% probability, that means *a lot* of answers are wrong.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 29/09/2026
DOE makes push for nuclear spent fuel reprocessing -- a technology that has a poor track record in the U.S. dating back to the 1960's. See: West Valley, Savannah River et al www.aip.org/fyi/doe-floa...
aip.org
DOE Floats Nuclear Waste Consolidation Plan Amid Staffing, Oversight Concerns
The agency seeks flexibility from Congress to form new disposal arrangements with states.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 23/09/2026
And a lot of data-to-decision tools are lousy because they’re based on poor or incomplete underlying theory.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 17/09/2026
Congress is not hamstrung in regulating complex technologies like AI or biotechnology because they pound foolishly killed off OTA 30 years ago.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 21/09/2026
Virtual event: The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence, 4:00 p.m. EDT Wednesday, Sept. 23 events.fairfield.edu/event/sven-n...
events.fairfield.edu
Sven Nyholm: “The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence”
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Ryan Marino, MD @ryanmarino.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
I graduated med school in 2014. I was taught-and saw-how hard melanoma was to treat, like a death sentence Since then, new treatments have made it possible for people w/ the most advanced melanoma, like Jimmy Carter, to live to 100! We are killing ourselves by letting them destroy American science
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 13/09/2026
A walking comic strip personal computer accidentally unplugs itself. Falls down dead.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 19/09/2026
Rest in power Duncan Sheik youtu.be/LX3vsw2F_DA?...
youtu.be
Duncan Sheik - She Runs Away (Official Video)
YouTube video by Atlantic Records
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 18/09/2026
For those interested in this topic see: www.nist.gov/artificial-i...
nist.gov
AI Standards
On July 29, 2026, NIST released an initia
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Joe Romm gave one of the most memorable talks I’ve ever heard at Columbia many years ago. Among other things, he said, “Sustainable development is like teenage sex. Everybody says they're doing it, very few people actually are, and those who are doing it are doing it badly.” RIP legend.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 18/09/2026
The road to AI safety runs through cybersecurity.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 18/09/2026
They're not "hallucinations" they're probabilistic results given when the system runs out of data or has poor data. The system is performing as intended. Even at 90+% accuracy, that means *a lot* of answers are wrong.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 18/09/2026
Loudon County incoming
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 18/09/2026
How do humans reason over rules? We have theories, ideas but that's about it. No machine can reason over rules the way humans do because we don't know how humans do it. For that, we need science not technology.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 18/09/2026
And thus in part why humans use a variety of reasoning techniques such as heuristics.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 17/09/2026
A lot of OTA hagiography takes place on this free website. As a former S&T Hill staffer i can say two things were true — 1. OTA did excellent work and produced comprehensive analysis. 2. Most OTA studies were late and thus useless for their purpose of informing Congress in a timely manner.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 17/09/2026
Because security audits are a thing. Cybersecurity standards are a thing. Disclosure requirements are a thing.
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Ryan Calo @rcalo.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Banning "superintelligent" 🤢 AI plays right into industry rhetoric and keeps the focus off immediate, real world harms such as privacy, bias, and labor. Literally the same name of the silly Bostrom book everyone was reading 12 years ago.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 16/09/2026
It’s a general rule in critical infrastructure that ‘squirrel’ is a much more likely cause of failure than super sophisticated cyber attack. But corporate publicity stunt is gaining momentum.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 16/09/2026
Maybe the Three R's weren't so bad after all.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 15/09/2026
As I mentioned
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 15/09/2026
Didn’t need a memo to call this over a year ago bsky.app/profile/view...
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Mike Masnick @masnick.com · 13/09/2026
I explain why a "duty of care" that makes sense in other industries completely fails in a communications and speech tool.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 13/09/2026
www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontli...
pbs.org
The Man Who Knew | FRONTLINE | PBS | Official Site | Documentary Series
John O'Neill, the FBI's expert on Al Qaeda, warned of its threat. But his maverick style doomed his career.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 13/09/2026
A walking comic strip personal computer accidentally unplugs itself. Falls down dead.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 12/09/2026
The paradox of semiconductor manufacturing is that foundries operate more efficiently in arid climates but require *a lot* of water even with high levels of recycling.
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Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
"Arizona’s lifeline for chip manufacturing is drying up" www.theverge.com/science/9935...
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 11/09/2026
The U.S. National Science Foundation and the Department of Commerce have scrubbed references to the dangers of political interference in science from official agency policy documents. www.aip.org/fyi/science-...
aip.org
Science Agencies Pull ‘Political Interference’ Protections From Scientific Integrity Policies
NSF and the Department of Commerce have scrubbed references to the dangers of political interference in science from official agency policy documents.
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Schneier on Security @schneier.com · 11/09/2026
My Talk at DEF CON Last month, I gave a talk at DEF CON on AI hacking: what happens when AIs become hackers.... www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2026…
schneier.com
My Talk at DEF CON
Last month, I gave a talk at DEF CON on AI hacking: what happens when AIs become hackers. It's a combination of the potentialities I raised in my 2022 book A Hacker's Mind and the lessons we're learning from current AI models engaging in hacking behavior. I'm really proud of the talk, and the fact that it gained over 100K views on YouTube in just a few days. Also online is an interview with me in the AI Village.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 11/09/2026
In economic equations you will find notations for ‘all contracts complete’. What’s that you say? A giant fudge that stipulates all future states of the world are known to the contracting parties. Completely devoid of reality but necessary for the underlying math in the models to add up.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 10/09/2026
AI can't function properly without a baseline of knowledge. That baseline is generated, quantified, and validated through the scientific method. Similarly, science can benefit from the use of AI but only if that AI trustworthy, validated by science.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 07/09/2026
Scientists at MIT have developed the means to produce flexible and transparent chips to bring silicon photonics to wafer-scale. www.sdxcentral.com/news/mit-sci...
sdxcentral.com
MIT scientists crack the code for flexible wafer-scale photonics
Bendy bonding process could transform wearables … and data center rack designs
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Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Why we need the social sciences to understand AI www.nytimes.com/2026/09/06/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | We Can’t Know Our A.I. Future if We Don’t Study It
Just as A.I. is poised to change the world, we’re losing our best ways of studying what that change will look like.
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Schneier on Security @schneier.com · 04/09/2026
Using a VM to Contain an AI Agent It won't work: My suspicion was that GPT 5.6-Cyber would succeed, but the frequency and manner of its success removed all doubt.... www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2026…
schneier.com
Using a VM to Contain an AI Agent
It won't work: My suspicion was that GPT 5.6-Cyber would succeed, but the frequency and manner of its success removed all doubt. We have to reassess sandboxing quality for capable AI agents, and in general the software stack with which they interact. An off-the-shelf VM is not enough to contain a modern, cyber-capable AI agent. There is simply too much attack surface. Even innocuous features (like running with a display) add extra, exploitable attack surface.
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Elizabeth Jacobs, PhD @elizabethjacobs.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Just in time for the 2026-2027 vaccines, a new review shows that COVID19 vaccination significantly reduces the risk of severe illness and hospitalization across all age groups, including kids. Pregnant women were also protected, as were their babies. Don’t forget to schedule your vaccination!
jamanetwork.com
COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness and Safety for the 2026-2027 Respiratory Season
This Special Communication aims to identify and summarize the most recently published evidence evaluating the effectiveness and safety of US-licensed COVID-19 vaccines and report on the epidemiology o...
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 03/09/2026
A new report ranks the world’s large cities on how well they have adapted to face climate risk. Chicago, which has invested heavily in infrastructure meant to mitigate flooding and water pollution, is first on the list.
nyti.ms
Is Your City Prepared for Climate Disaster?
A new report ranks the world’s large cities on how well they have adapted to face climate risk.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 02/09/2026
I saw a talk recently from someone in the data center industry who claimed that it's possible to engineer data centers to operate much more efficiently, that the industry is stuck in old ways. I wish there was a published piece on this. I might do some digging.
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John Bistline @bistline.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
The most underrated finding in the NYC congestion pricing data: Ambulances don't pay the toll, so total EMS travel time is down 63-70 seconds.
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Dr. Robert D. Bullard @drrobertbullard.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
The US built more grid batteries last quarter than ever before | Canary Media www.canarymedia.com/articles/bat...
canarymedia.com
The US built more grid batteries last quarter than ever before
The outlook for storage construction keeps getting brighter as everyone from the Trump White House to clean energy advocates to AI giants clamors for more.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 07/05/2026
Over dinner last summer with some very smart but normie friends, I casually mentioned they're restarting TMI for Microsoft's AI and they all thought I was joking.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 02/09/2026
Congress Delays OMB Grantmaking Rule with Stopgap Funding Bill www.aip.org/fyi/congress...
aip.org
Congress Delays OMB Grantmaking Rule with Stopgap Funding Bill
The short-term funding bill seems likely to become law, which would block the rule until at least Dec. 11.
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 02/09/2026
FBI Probes Service Selling 153M+ Drivers Licenses krebsonsecurity.com/2026/09/fbi-...
krebsonsecurity.com
FBI Probes Service Selling 153M+ Drivers Licenses – Krebs on Security
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ABC News Australia @news.abc.net.au · 27/08/2026
Twenty years on from Gardasil vaccine launch, Australia on track to eliminate cervical cancer
abc.net.au
Australia on track to eliminate cervical cancer 20 years on from vaccine launch
Twenty years on from the launch of the world-first vaccine against cervical cancer, Australian Immunisation Register data shows HPV vaccine coverage for girls and girls is dropping.
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Maggie Astor @maggieastor.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
I've confirmed Walgreens will let people self-attest that they qualify for an updated Covid shot—meaning they won't require proof of a high-risk condition—in all states EXCEPT AZ/OR/UT, where prescription is required for now. (Rx requirement in those states could change) Pls see next post in thread
nytimes.com
F.D.A. Approves New Covid Vaccines, and They Should Be Available Soon (Gift Article)
The shots have been approved for people 65 and older, and for younger people with underlying conditions. Others may be able to get them off label.
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Madhu Pai, MD, PhD @madhupai.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Measles thrives in under vaccinated schools www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/...
acpjournals.org
School-Level Gaps in MMR Coverage as the Fuel for Measles Outbreaks | Annals of Internal Medicine
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Tim Clancy @viewfromarchstreet.com · 28/08/2026
The National Science Foundation expects to award 1,500 graduate research fellowships, a sharp reduction from the nearly 2,600 awards in 2026. www.aip.org/fyi/nsf-grad...
aip.org
NSF Graduate Research Fellowships Expected to Fall Next Year
The program solicitation estimates a sharp decline in awards for 2027 despite recent signals of support from the White House.
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Eric Klinenberg @ericklinenberg.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Researchers in Chicago tracked neighborhood-level tree canopy over two decades and discovered something startling: “Each year-to-year percent increase in canopy was associated with around a 10 percent reduction in mortality." Keeping mature trees alive can help keep people alive -and cooler, too.
nytimes.com
Climate: Saving Old Trees Might Save Lives
We know that trees are good for cities. A new study finds that mature trees are especially good.
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Reuters @reuters.com · 27/08/2026
US FDA approves updated COVID vaccines for 2026-27 season reut.rs/3UHO2A2
reut.rs
US FDA approves updated COVID vaccines for 2026-27 season
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved Moderna, Novavax-Sanofi and ​Pfizer-BioNTech's updated COVID vaccines, the companies ‌said on Thursday, after an advisory panel recommended that the shots should target ​the dominant XFG variant.
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