Sign in

Tom Wickersham

@twickersham.bsky.social
152 followers 249 following 35 posts

Personal account. Economist at the Office for National Statistics. Firm-level data, productivity, business dynamism, management practices etc. All views my own, reposts not endorsements.

PostsRepliesMedia
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
"Bored stiff" on the dropped phone Wordle 🤣
040
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 09/02/2026
Slowing dynamism is a key culprit in slowing productivity growth. One standard measure of dynamism is job churn - this mostly fell in the UK in the two decades before the pandemic. Jobs lost to exiting firms in 2024 were the highest since 2011, but other components of job reallocation remain weak.
Figure 8 shows one standard measure of dynamism known as job churn, which sums up 
employment growth in new and growing firms and employment losses in shrinking or 
closing firms. When churn is high, firms are growing and shrinking rapidly. Churn mostly 
fell in the UK in the two decades before the pandemic, as it did around the world.

Churn has been broadly flat over the past decade, having fallen markedly in the decade 
before that. But a close look at Figure 8 reveals that job destruction among exiting firms 
picked up in 2024 to its fastest rate since 2011. This is not a turnaround by any means, 
and is offset by lower destruction among incumbent firms, but it is a ‘green shoot’ of 
improvement to the supply side of the economy.
123
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Love the Wernham Hogg "Swindon lot" sponsor in the background 😂
040
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Tera Allas CBE @teraallas.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
Fascinating new analysis by the ONS on UK #business #dynamism and #productivity. Firms employing a third of workers in the non-financial business economy contributed negatively, and the next third only marginally, to productivity #growth. Full ONS analysis: bit.ly/48Yhqqn
043
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
As today's National Statistical blog explains, our microdata work supports the ONS Plan for Economic Statistics. Linked Employer-Employee Data will support quality improvement in labour market statistics, and deepen our understanding of economic dynamism. blog.ons.gov.uk/2025/12/08/h...
blog.ons.gov.uk
How firm-level data improves our understanding of productivity
For a few years now the ONS has been going beyond its traditional measures of productivity to look at how individual firms are performing. In this blog Sumit Dey-Chowdhury explains how these data, upd
011
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
In 2023 and 2024, net job creation was entirely due to incumbent firms expanding their workforces. This contrasts with most of the period since the global financial crisis, where the majority of net job creation came from entering firms creating more jobs than exiting firms destroyed.
111
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
This year we have introduced analysis of business dynamism by industry, showing that although dynamism is lower in every industry than in 2001, there is variation in the levels and recent trends.
120
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
The latest year's statistics continue the longer term trends: - business dynamism that is lower than 20 years ago - productivity growing faster for the most productive firms than the median - average markups the joint highest since our series began.
110
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
Today we published our annual bulletin Trends in UK business dynamism and productivity: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/econ... To help users explore the rich detail in the business dynamism statistics, we are also piloting an interactive dashboard: ons-dynamism.shinyapps.io/lbd_dashboar...
121
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
It's well-established that UK firms engaged in international trade are more productive, but why? New analysis from @christinavpalmou.bsky.social and Kyle Jones (ONS) offers new evidence: tinyurl.com/5c9mazpa
035
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Exactly!
010
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
The ones that always annoy me are along the lines of "£70 a year...that's only 20p a day!" That always sounds more significant to me than the annual cost, not less!
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
We will deposit these surveys on the Secure Research Service, and hope that researchers will link the microdata more widely and uncover further insights. PSMPS was funded by the Public Services Productivity Review. Many thanks to my team and previous work by collaborators at @escoeorg.bsky.social
000
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
For example, researchers could apply their own judgement to whether limited financial incentives in the public sector reflect weaker management practices, or are appropriate to the nature of the work in that sector. Differences in characteristics, such as size, might also affect comparisons.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
It is worth reflecting on the trade-offs of applying the same management practices standards to public and private sectors. It is helpful to be able to compare results directly, but different organisational characteristics and cultures might affect how questions are interpreted.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
We also asked about average days worked from home by managers and non-managers. In all subsectors, managers were at least as likely as non-managers to use hybrid work, and in most cases were more likely. Average management practice scores were usually higher in organisations that use hybrid working.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Scores on underperformance were strongly influenced by the proportion of organisations that reported having no underperformance. These scored zero under our scoring metric, because we assume that all organisations must have some examples of underperforming staff.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
While the public sector generally scored well on KPIs, Targets scored similarly to the private sector, with the lack of financial incentives for achieving targets reducing public sector scores. Despite prior question testing, the concept of KPIs was not consistently understood across subsectors.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Given the pilot nature of the PSMPS and the diversity of subsectors, it is worthwhile looking at the responses in more detail. Responses on Employment Practices were more likely to score highly across most of the public sector, but in Education the lack of promotions lowered the score.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
There are similarities and differences between and with the sectors. The mean management practice scores were close: 0.56 for the public sector and 0.55 for the private sector. But the spread was wider in the private sector, where firms were more likely to receive the highest or lowest scores.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
We combined the 2023 Management and Expectations Survey (MES) with our pilot 2023 Public Sector Management Practices Survey (PSMPS). We kept scoring management practices questions in the PSMPS identical to MES to allow direct comparison. More info on MES methods here: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/econ...
ons.gov.uk
Management practices in the UK QMI - Office for National Statistics
Quality and methodology information for the Management and Expectations Survey (MES), including strengths and limitations of the data, recent corrections, methods, and data uses and users.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
On 22 April we published new analysis comparing management practices in the public and private sectors. Previous research shows that good management practices are linked to higher productivity and other positive outcomes for organisations. www.ons.gov.uk/economy/econ...
ons.gov.uk
Public and private sectors in the UK, comparisons of management practices - Office for National Statistics
An analysis of structured management practices and organisational characteristics, as reported in 2023 across the public and private sectors in the UK.
100
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Another busy room for this panel on trade and productivity in British firms with @grantfitzner.bsky.social, @christinavpalmou.bsky.social, Swati Dhingra, Gregory Thwaites, Mairi Spowage and @sophie-piton.bsky.social. #EconStats2025
041
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Jakob Schneebacher @jschneebacher.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
The UK will soon have a new industrial strategy. What can we learn from past policies, and from examining the sectors in the government's recent green paper? Our new CMA report looks at the data. www.gov.uk/government/publications/… 1/
22016
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
The article and data pack contain more results on uses of AI, barriers to adoption, and the relationship with productivity. Please let us know if you have feedback on the analysis. The dataset will be available to accredited researchers in the Secure Research Service. www.ons.gov.uk/economy/econ...
ons.gov.uk
Management practices and the adoption of technology and artificial intelligence in UK firms - Office for National Statistics
Investigating how technology adoption and use of artificial intelligence by businesses vary with management practices.
000
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
By linking waves of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey in 2024 onto MES 2023, we also found that among firms who hadn't adopted AI in 2023 but said they planned to in 2024, the firms with stronger management practices were more likely to follow through on those plans.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
The positive relationship between management practices quality and technology adoption remained after controlling for other business characteristics such as size and industry.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Firms with higher management practice scores were more likely to adopt advanced technologies. 20% of firms in the top tenth of firms by management practices quality used AI in their methods or processes in 2023, compared to 2% of firms in the lowest tenth.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Conditional adoption rates give clues about which advanced technologies might be required or complementary to adopting others. 91% of the firms using AI in 2023 also used cloud-based computing systems and applications, and 83% of the firms using AI also used specialised equipment.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
This looks into what supporting investments are needed for businesses to adopt AI, including good quality structured management practices, and complementary technologies. This is important for understanding potential barriers to diffusion of AI to firms throughout the productivity distribution.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Today we published further analysis of the Management and Expectations Survey 2023, focusing on the relationship between management practices and the adoption of technology and artificial intelligence: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/econ... #econsky
ons.gov.uk
Management practices and the adoption of technology and artificial intelligence in UK firms - Office for National Statistics
Investigating how technology adoption and use of artificial intelligence by businesses vary with management practices.
130
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
At tonight’s #NationalProductivityWeek event with @productivity.bsky.social and @resmedia.bsky.social we’ve have presentations from ONS, TPI, Scaleup Institute and CBI.
063
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Giles Wilkes @gilesyb.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
My first big blog of the BlueSky era! Examining the multiple claims (found in @financialtimes.com and elsewhere) that Tech sector success is the main factor in US outperformance ... The answer is: it's not that simple freethinkecon.wordpress.com/2024/12/11/u... Thread later, maybe tomorrow
freethinkecon.wordpress.com
US outperformance isn’t *all* about Tech
Failure brings some benefits. UK growth and productivity performance over the past 15 years has been *so* dire that an economy, formerly facing the challenges of being at the Frontier, is instead i…
106616
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Jakob Schneebacher @jschneebacher.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
The UK Longitudinal Business Database allows any accredited researcher in the ONS Secure Research Service to track the near-universe of UK firms at quarterly frequency and to link them to other administrative and survey data sources. I have written about it here. #EconSky
escoe.ac.uk
The UK Longitudinal Business Database – What it is, what it can do, and why we need it - ESCoE
JAKOB SCHNEEBACHER How quickly does firm entry and exit respond to changes in the economy? […]
1138
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
ONS has also just published a new report on business dynamism. tinyurl.com/4w5ku5xk Great to see an ESCoE technical report on the UK Longitudinal Business Database referenced in this ➡️ tinyurl.com/mwr79n3p
021
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Tera Allas CBE @teraallas.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Enjoyed being on the panel on the ONS's analysis of #business #dynamism (bit.ly/41mctVf ). Needs attention if we want #productivity #growth. One example: the 50% of firms in the bottom half of productivity distribution contributed almost nothing to productivity growth in the last 20+ years.
032
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Great to see ESCoE work referenced at an ONS and Department for Business and Trade event on business dynamism today.
Photo shows a speaker from ONS and slides.
021
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Dan Mawson @diepingu.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Really good ONS / DBT event today on business dynamism - how the UK is doing (not great) and what can we do about it.
021
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Josh Martin @joshmartinecon.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
I'm at ONS & Department for Business and Trade event this morning in business dynamism, #productivity and growth. First, @twickersham.bsky.social describes new ONS work on dynamism and firm-level productivity. Most of the productivity slowdown post-GFC due to the middle of the firm distribution.
131
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Yannis Galanakis @yannisgalanakis.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
@twickersham.bsky.social gave an amazing presentation this morning at the 'Stimulating UK economic growth through dynamism' featuring our dashboard data
051
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Jakob Schneebacher @jschneebacher.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
The ONS today published its latest productivity and business dynamism bulletin. Headline figures: no change year-on-year to average markups, job reallocation or the overall labour productivity distribution. www.ons.gov.uk/economy/econ... 1/
174
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Tera Allas CBE @teraallas.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Fascinating ONS analysis on business dynamism and productivity (bit.ly/41mctVf ). The UK suffers from a 'big bulge' of below-average firms: >70% of employees work in firms with productivity below the mean. Also, older, large firms and micro, new firms key to job creation. #dataisbeautiful
032
Reposted by Tom Wickersham
Yannis Galanakis @yannisgalanakis.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Anthony Savagar and I are working on a *real-time* #BusinessDynamism project In our dashboard we visualise the entry and exit of UK-registered companies: asavagar.shinyapps.io/BusinessDyna... Soon a working paper is coming
061
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
If you want to dive deeper into these trends, we publish detailed statistical tables alongside the bulletin. The Longitudinal Business Database microdata is available to accredited researchers on the Secure Research Service and Integrated Data Service.
000
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
There was a small increase in job destruction from firm exits in 2023 compared to 2022, but this was offset by a small decline in job creation from new firm entry.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Business dynamism should support growth, as more productive businesses expand while less productive ones shrink or close. We measure dynamism as the proportion of jobs created or destroyed each year: added together they give the reallocation rate, which is lower since the financial crisis.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Our estimate of mean cost markups, a measure of market power, was 1.27 in 2022. This is unchanged from 2021 but the joint-highest since the start of our series in 1997. Over that period, there is a trend of increasing dispersion, with the highest markups increasing the fastest.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Longer term, increasing dispersion in firm-level productivity means that the UK has been increasingly reliant on its 'frontier' firms to drive overall productivity growth since the financial crisis.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Workers in firms at the 90th percentile of labour productivity produced 3.59 times as much output as workers in median productivity firms in 2022.
100
Tom Wickersham @twickersham.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
2022 data for firm-level markups and productivity show how these measures looked after the Covid-19 pandemic. These statistics come from business survey sources, so are unaffected by the Labour Force Survey.
100