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Totally Offside

@totallyoffside.bsky.social
2.2K followers 133 following 6.3K posts

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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 2m
What do you think he does if Carney wins Time Magazine person of the year...
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 5h
Never liked these bloody hats
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
How many games do you think it would take of Bobrovsky looking pretty ordinary for the Leafs to start leading with Stolarz?
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Lol gets him in the visor and he grabs his mouth
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
"If this blows up, it's baldy's fault."
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Sounds like a bunch of rejected alternative names for Robaxecet
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I think that's the move tbh.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I expect that players get those after cup wins as well. Fans are psychos.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I don't buy the mass exodus to the US. It is, imo, an exodus from small markets and/or bad teams to good teams/good situations. I don't see Toronto or Montreal having issues attracting/keeping players. If Vancouver was good, I expect they'd be good too. Edmonton is fine as long as they have McDavid.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Nylander's "It's always about the fucking leafs" getting all the love but I think the best part is Raddysh saying "They're right. It is."
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Matthews is so boring in camera lol.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The risk the leafs are taking is they are trading a guy worth $10 who makes $7.5 for a guy who is worth $12.4 and makes $12.5. they are betting that contract efficiency will matter way less going forward and the hard thing to do will be to upgrade on talent at all. We'll see if they are right.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
He for sure did. Marchenko is better than knies. If Marchenko had been willing to re-sign for what the leafs gave CBJ would have happily done that instead.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
He has value on the market that exceeds his value on the ice. Not a knock against him so much as recognizing that they have very few ways to get better on the ice and no ways that are painful. Knies is a luxury piece that they didn't have the luxury of keeping imo.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Tentatively pessimistic vs. tentatively optimistic. B2E is back baby!
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Only kind I got
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Lol he does not. Not fight. He's not a wall flower though. This isn't knies for Marner. He doesn't fit the whipping boy mold. He will be compared to knies who plays a throw back style though (despite being not as effective overall).
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Can't imagine. They'll put Elvis on LTIR and when he's healthy, waive him. Nobody likely to claim a $5.4M goalie who is hurt all the time.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
It's a weird deal no doubt. But it kinda makes sense for everybody when you break it down.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
What will help him is he's big and puts himself in highlight reels.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The Elvis cap dump is fine. He's a serviceable player when healthy and on LTIR when not. Miles wood seems cooked cooked and he has two years left.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Seems like selling low on a guy that I think has more to give. I don't think it's a particular overpay necessarily for Marchenko. I thought CBJ would be more over a barrel than this though. Broadly though, the leafs are mainly taking on cap risk in exchange for getting the best player in the deal.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I kinda understand why everyone in this deal did what they did tbh. Everybody likely coming away from this feeling tentatively good about it except knies who is probably beside himself.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Leafs mgmt making a bet that contract efficiency will matter a lot less in the next five years than it did in the last five years. They clearly think that it will be harder to get incrementally better than it will be to get cap compliant. Time will tell if they are right.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Leafs gave value but got the best player pretty clearly imo. They took on $5Mish in bad money and paid market value for Marchenko (giving up a reasonably large discount on knies). It's like an $8-9Mish swing to upgrade in skill and get a player who fits better in the lineup.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Pretty clear upgrade. And $12.5M x 6 is basically exactly market value according to The Athletic/Dom's model. Adding Andrae (who has good upside) and a 2nd isn't my favourite considering CBJ will have been desperate to get a really good top sixer with term back and there aren't that many available.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I like getting Marchenko and 12.5M is fair value. Taking on Miles would and giving up Andae and a second isn't my favourite.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Somebody took Friedman's phone and threw it in a very high tree which is why we don't know the terms of this deal yet tbh.
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Reposted by Totally Offside
arvi @ashrivats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The way this makes the most sense to me is that the FO basically views player costs as not that relevant going forward because the cap increases are so large that every team will be more constrained by who they have on their roster than with how much they pay those players.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Definitely. What do they have to pay Marchenko and what else goes each way is gonna matter a lot. The bones of the deal kinda make sense for everyone except knies though lol
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
People will be very mad knies is gone but that's stylistic preference more than on ice results.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
They've been actively shopping him for 18 months or so. If you want player capital back not picks, I think this is about as good as you could do. Straight upgrade. Let's see what else is added though
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Yup. I think that's exactly what's happening. And for CBJ, I think they are way more concerned with Knies' 5 years of service than his cap hit. If Marchenko would agree to play there for $12.5M x 5 or whatever I think they'd almost certainly just keep him. But he won't.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I don't know how much better knies is gonna get. At least not from a playmaking stand point. I think Marchenko probably always edges him out a bit. My main thing is A) who else is moving and B) how much is Marchenko making. If it gets over 13, this starts to look pretty iffy.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
It's not gonna be one for one though. So I could see this looking anywhere on the range of very good to very bad for the leafs depending on who the other players are. I think likeliest scenario is the leafs get a medium amount better but also get a lot more expensive.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Substantially better play driver. Achieved those results with worse QoT. I don't think he likely is $5M better though. He's slightly better. It's it's one for one, you're basically betting that the cap increase makes cap efficiency less important than just raw talent on roster. But not a guarantee
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I really wanted them to make a play for Petterson while the Canucks are still mad at him.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I'd have no problem paying Marchenko $12+. I think the question is what else the deal is built around. In a deal where the leafs get Marchenko at $12.5 and give up knies at $7.75, they get better but lose a lot of contract efficiency. Would be a deal you could argue both sides on.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Meh kyper whips Matthews more than Willy at this point.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
They can't really solve it with money tbh. Nobody will let their high end centres go with the cap rising. Not like they really did before. Probably gonna have to take a swing on a project of hit in the draft.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Yeah they need a Tavares retirement plan. He's still putting up 2C caliber numbers but for how much longer?
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I think they see Cowan as a medium term top six LW and McKenna as a top six LW right now. Massive drop off after Nylander on the right side.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Marchenko being a top line caliber right wing also helps here imo
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Yeah that's for sure in question. Though you're also getting Marchenko this season for 3.9 which isn't worthless either. I want to see what the whole package is. There is a pretty massive range of outcomes that will drastically affect how I feel about this.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Works for me. I don't want his age 32 and 33 seasons.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
That's not actually too bad for him tbh
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Knies makes more than Marchenko. This is just to make the money work for CBJ this season. No issue taking that back.
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Yeah knies is good value. I'm not sure he will become much more than what he already is. So I can see the value in selling high. But "high" is the key word there. I do think there is a Marchenko swap that could make sense though
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Sounds like it's multiple players on each side though
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Totally Offside @totallyoffside.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Knies for Marchenko straight up with a reasonable extension for Marchenko, I like. The pluses and minuses around it will make or break the deal imo
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