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Tom Crowley

@tomiscrowley.bsky.social
1.9K followers 168 following 103 posts

ABC federal political reporter

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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Here’s the damage
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
The millennial disdain for the Coalition got even worse in 2025, according to the first glimpse of the Australian election study. A primary of 21 and a 2PP of 64-36 is an “existential” problem as the party debates net zero, says Simon Jackman. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
abc.net.au
New figures show only one in five millennials voted for the Coalition in 2025
As Liberals prepare to fly to Canberra to hash out their net zero stance, results from the Australian Election Study suggest those under 45 have continued to drift away from the Coalition.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
The constitution might be the first obstacle. Do you see a way around it when the federal government lacks a housing power?
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
Going in deep on the troubled HAFF. It will shake the tag that it hasn’t built any new homes (from scratch) eventually. But it’ll still be an excruciating process, like building anything in Australia. Loads of never-before-seen detail to chew on: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
abc.net.au
The PM wants to build homes like the one he grew up in. These days, it's harder
It takes a long time to build anything at all in Australia's dysfunctional housing market, even for the federal government, but Labor's social housing fund is inching towards an impact.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
More details this morning from Treasury’s briefing headings, including the full set on housing for you to read for yourself. Among the opportunities identified: reviewing Commonwealth Rent Assistance www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
abc.net.au
Support payment for renters on Treasury's housing options list
Labor has been given several policy options to expand on its housing agenda after Jim Chalmers acknowledged yesterday its signature target was not on track.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
A rare insight into what Treasury really thinks, all thanks to an email mishap. Raise taxes and cut spending if you want to fix the budget. Your housing target won’t be met. And be prepared for a US dollar crisis. My report with Dan Ziffer: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
abc.net.au
Treasury advises Labor to consider higher taxes and a new housing target
A series of subheadings accidentally sent to the ABC by Treasury reveals extensive detail about its frank advice to the re-elected Albanese government.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
*does not want the tax liability to be paid
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
You've framed as 'they'll pay less to the media companies' which, sure if you want to frame it that way. But the govt's thinking went the other way around - make the tax 10% bigger to steer companies into making their own arrangements to dispel the liability.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Yes it is what you're talking about - sorry to go round in circles but that's exactly what I'm saying. The reason tax has been set at $11m is to encourage a deal of $10m. Govt does want the tax liability to be paid, so deliberately set the rates at a level that was not 1:1.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Yep the uplift is the bit I'm talking about (and is alluded to in the linked article) - it is a design feature because the govt's preference is that deals be struck directly with the media orgs rather than the govt having to collect revenue and dole it out
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Not new - was front and centre of the briefing when the plan was first announced and it’s the whole point. The govt expects the tax to raise not a cent, because it’s to be set high enough that it’s cheaper to pay media orgs. www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...
abc.net.au
Facebook, Google to fund Australian journalism under new tax plan
The government wants to impose a new tax to push the tech platforms to make funding agreements with news organisations.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
It’s no small thing that the treasurer sees a window of opportunity to reform tax, and there is no shortage of problems he could fix. But he must be willing to create losers, and that’s always been the hard part. My analysis for your Saturday morning. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...
abc.net.au
Jim Chalmers wants to pick a fight on tax — and time is of the essence
There was no mistaking the impression that the treasurer is emboldened by the election result and wants to seize his moment.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
I’m thinking of getting involved in some discords, are there good ones floating around? I vaguely recall some being mentioned in these circles.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
A number of markers laid by Bragg in his interview with me, which you can both read and watch here. A very substantial shift underway on housing and a quiet but firm rinsing of the Sukkar strategy. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
abc.net.au
Liberals to shift housing focus from buyer incentives and urban sprawl
Andrew Bragg also promises a focus on small businesses and private sector investment in his newly created productivity and deregulation shadow portfolios.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
The plural is normans swan
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
A close look at the suburban results. In mid-affluent areas, massive primary swings towards Labor, not just where they won but in Cook, Mitchell, Berowra. In outer suburban areas, Dutton's all-consuming obsession, third party splintering did not help him a jot. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...
abc.net.au
Liberals on brink of near-total wipe-out in Australia's suburbs
The election result is a tale of two cities — Labor has picked up healthy swings on first preferences in affluent areas but there are signs of discontent in the outer suburbs.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
This was a real pleasure!
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
Updates on about 60 seats here with sentiment from across the camps. The baseline expectation is a moderate Labor loss in Victoria and a wash elsewhere. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
abc.net.au
Here's the state of play in dozens of seats that could decide the election
While there is broad agreement that Peter Dutton has a narrower path to victory than Anthony Albanese, campaigners are bracing for the unexpected.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
The list of seats where work from home is likely to be most prevalent reads like a shopping list of marginals My anatomy of a backflip: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...
abc.net.au
How Dutton's work-from-home crackdown came undone
Jane Hume joked that the private sector might follow the Liberals in cracking down on work from home, but the party ran into trouble when voters came to fear the same.
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Reposted by Tom Crowley
Stephen Kirchner @insteconomics.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
Nice chart from Macrobond putting tomorrow's tariffs in historical perspective. Eight decades worth of trade liberalisation efforts already binned by Trump.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
My take from last night’s budget coverage on the fiscal big picture after a full term of Labor budgets.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
Is this one those marginal seat Redbridge things? Or national
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
Suffice it to say I was less than impressed by the tone of estimates this week, even by estimates standards. So I wrote about it. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03...
abc.net.au
Treasury came armed with a warning. Politicians dragged them into the mud
Frank and fearless advice about how Australia should navigate Trump's tariffs was lost in the din of election season.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Not much but suspect neither would see much to gain from that? Bigger audiences where they are. Both have probably done the requisite qanda panel
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
I'd suggest a few influencer types with large followings. Hannah Ferguson, Konrad Benjamin, Jordan Shanks (each very different categories of left)
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
My contribution to the ABC’s series Untangling the Housing Crisis is an examination of the hard evidence. A solution is not as far away as many think. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02...
abc.net.au
A fix to the housing crisis could be close. Can politics deliver it?
However desperate the situation might seem, cities around the world have shown that a housing crisis can be solved quickly with sufficient political will.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
Solid haul at the Lifeline Book Fair
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Technodeudalism 🤟🏽
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
🤨
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
Struggling to summon them to mind now but I agree it’s not new, I’m just curious about its political character. Feel certain that if you did a poll of Putricia stans you’d find an enormous left skew, but I can’t tell myself any story about why that is that makes sense.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
Anybody seen a good long read on why hyper online left young people get feverish about random things and deify them a la Putricia? Not sneering at it, just feel there’s some insight there that eludes me. Like why is the PROTECT HER AT ALL COSTS bit so left coded? No reason why it has to be but it is
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
What Caught My Eye going to be an all-timer in Rd 1
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
Lot of very cursed ads kicking around on The Other Website these days, but this gentleman wants to make sure you're familiar with your major thirds and minor sixths.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
Upon further reflection this movie would also have been improved by casting everyone except Ralph Fiennes as a muppet
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
Everyone was just fondly recalling their memories and forging ever stronger bonds as they prepared for the centenary celebrations
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 11/01/2025
Saw conclave. Needed an electoral analyst type. What were the preference flows from Adeyemi? How crucial was the orthodox bloc with the different hats. Etc.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
First increase since May 2022
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Jobs vacancies tick up in November, with most of it in the private sector (yes, seasonally adjusted) www.abs.gov.au/statistics/l...
abs.gov.au
Job Vacancies, Australia, November 2024
Results of the quarterly Job Vacancies Survey containing estimates of job vacancies classified by industry, sector and state/territory.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Labor's candidate for Leichhardt doubling down on The Repacholi Stratagem (preselect Big Units). Could be a game changer.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
The upgrades are always beginning but never complete. We must imagine the Bruce Highway happy.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
Ah, the sounds of summer. Test cricket on the radio, chirping of cicadas in the evening, announcement that the Bruce Highway is still being upgraded.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
Got through a bit over half of these which is pretty good going I think! The Judt rocked, as did Power Without Glory.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
They need a Frank Green sponsorship
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
The APS has them but they’re all owned by the same Greek man who has a bunch of Lamborghinis and is somehow never exposed to competitive tender.
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Yeah can we give it a rest on this one occasion pls he is not being nominated for a cabinet position let’s let him be a numbskull
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
(Michael’s caption does also)
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
This pic goes so hard
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
Pulse check on Gavaskar?
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
DiDi it’s 11am
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Tom Crowley @tomiscrowley.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
Creation Lake by Rachel Kushner has some of the right vibes
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