Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 13/04/2026a must read by Louis Menand on America's ill-fated (and ill-thought-through) entry into Vietnam, with the all-too-clear subtext of the Iran debacle. A couple of quick thoughts! (1/x) www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...newyorker.comA Lesson of Vietnam: Getting in Is Easier than Getting OutThe war was sustained by a seductive delusion: that an unwinnable conflict might still be managed into an outcome short of humiliation. 100
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 07/01/2026My new analysis of the Tai Po fire, for the excellent Melbourne Asia Review -- I worry that, with everything else that is happening in the world, the tragedy in HK (and its implications for rule of law in HK) will be quickly forgotten... www.melbourneasiareview.edu.au/the-securiti...melbourneasiareview.edu.auThe securitisation of disaster response in Hong Kong and the apartment complex fire | Melbourne Asia ReviewThe National Security Law, passed in response to the 2019 pro-democracy protests, is being used for political crises that have nothing to do with the protest movement. Read now. 000
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 30/06/2025A pleasure to work with @thecfhk.bsky.social on this short analysis of the impact of the HK NSL over the past five years: thecfhk.org/the-hong-kon...thecfhk.orgThe Hong Kong National Security Law at 5: Unhappy Birthday - The Committee for Freedom in Hong Kong Foundation 140
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 08/05/2025Important statement from 23 CN-focused research and advocacy organizations, including @georgetowncal.bsky.social, on the arrest and charging of Kwok Yin-sang, father of Anna Kwok, the head of HKDC. A deeply troubling development .(1/x) www.hrw.org/news/2025/05...hrw.orgJoint Statement from Civil Society Groups on the Hong Kong Government’s Targeting of Exiled Activists’ FamiliesWe, the undersigned civil society and human rights organizations, strongly condemn the Hong Kong government’s escalating repression of activists in exile and their family members in Hong Kong. 130
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 30/04/2025beautiful essay by Jill Lepore on reading 100 Penguin Little Black Classics during Trump's first 100 days -- a must-read for all of us seeking sanity during this chaotic and awful time! Thanks to @newyorker.com for publishing it! www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...newyorker.comA Hundred Classics to Get Me Through a Hundred Days of TrumpEach morning, before the day’s decree, I turned to a slim book, hoping for sense, or solace. 120
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 21/03/2025I'm a latecomer to @profsaunders.bsky.social Spring 2024 article in @foreignaffairs.com on politics and foreign policy, suggesting we need more of it! A must-read -- let me offer some quick thoughts. (1) www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...foreignaffairs.comPolitics Can’t Stop at the Water’s EdgeThe right way to fight over foreign policy. 120
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 12/03/2025Great quick piece from @politico.com's @nahaltoosi.bsky.social and Krystal Campos on some of the direct and indirect impacts of the dismantling of USAID - a must-read! (1) www.politico.com/news/magazin...politico.comHow Americans May Feel the Slashing of USAIDTrump’s move to cut foreign aid may have more tangible consequences than he realizes. 110
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 10/03/2025Excellent essay by Beida Law prof Zhang Qianfan, one of the leading scholars of constitutionalism in CN, on America's current crisis, in Eng courtesy of @chinaheritage.bsky.social: chinaheritage.net/journal/gode...chinaheritage.netGödel’s Loophole and American’s ‘Cultural Revolution’Contra Trump 造反有理 Zhang Qianfan (張千帆, 1964-) is a professor of constitutional law at Peking University. Readers of China Heritage first encountered him in The Professor, a University & the Rule of Law... 110
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 03/03/2025fantastic piece by Yanzhong Huang on the need for a renewed push by American China scholars to understand CN - research access (and thus insight) has been deeply damaged by moves made by both CN and US, some of which (at least on the US side) should be reversed. (1) www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/o...nytimes.comOpinion | Restoring Academic Ties With China Is a Matter of U.S. National SecurityDecisions on U.S. policy toward China are being made based on diminishing insight into the country’s internal dynamics. 1103
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 23/02/2025Let's review what's happening with the litigation over the foreign aid funding freeze! The focus here is on AVAC v. US Department of State, and GHC v. Trump. In both cases, litigants who had contracts with either USAID or the State Dept sued, asking for the 1.24 funding freeze to be undone. (1) 4289
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Some good news on the foreign aid funding freeze fight! As many have seen, the DC District Court has just issued a TRO against USG. A big initial victory, but there's a long road ahead. Some initial thoughts on the ruling, but first, here is the @nytimes.com writeup: www.nytimes.com/2025/02/14/u...nytimes.comJudge Orders Trump Administration to Resume Foreign Aid SpendingThe judge faulted the logic of a blanket freeze on foreign aid spending and found that groups that depend on the aid had made a strong initial showing of “irreparable harm.” 13013
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025idle thought - is there a story around Musk using his ultra-wealth to intimidate the entire GOP into silence, even as he destroys our constitutional system? Did (eg) the GOP create its own trap by gutting campaign finance laws? Let me explain... (1/x) 111
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025important piece by @phelimkine.bsky.social in @politico.com on the near-closure of the National Endowment for Democracy (NED), one of the most vital organizations supporting human rights and democracy around the world, including in China! (1/x) www.politico.com/news/2025/02...politico.comElon Musk’s attacks on a group long backed by the GOP prompt Republican shrugsA funding freeze is pushing the National Endowment for Democracy and groups it supports toward shutdown. 111
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 13/01/2025important story from @nytimes.com @yudhijit.bsky.social on the case of Wang Shujun, who spied on Chinese exile pro-democracy activists in the US for years before being caught: www.nytimes.com/2025/01/10/m...nytimes.comNew York’s Chinese Dissidents Thought He Was an Ally. He Was a Spy. (Gift Article)Shujun Wang seemed to be a Chinese democracy activist, but an F.B.I. investigation showed just how far China will go to repress citizens abroad. 131
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 09/01/2025important piece in the Diplomat on an issue that has not gotten enough attention here in Washington -- a KMT push to reform (read: weaken) TW's Constitutional Court. An important piece! thediplomat.com/2025/01/taiw...thediplomat.comTaiwan’s Constitutional Crisis Threatens Its DemocracyThe Constitutional Court has been effectively sidelined through a legislative gambit – and the biggest losers are the Taiwanese people. 010
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 03/01/2025Great new(ish) piece by @changche.bsky.social on the neo-authoritarian thinker Xiao Gongqin, and his contributions to CCP thinking on China's political path -- a great read! www.newyorker.com/news/the-wee...newyorker.comThe Father of Chinese Authoritarianism Has a Message for AmericaXiao Gongqin thought that, in moments of flux, a strongman could build a bridge to democracy. Now he’s not so sure. 110
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 07/12/2024Highly recommend this new(ish) Marshall Paper by Ford Hart -an excellent analysis that reminds us that we need to put Party structures (and Party political culture) at the center of our understanding of Chinese politics and CCP actions (1/x): www.csis.org/analysis/sov...csis.orgSoviet Lessons for China WatchingIn this Marshall Paper, Ford Hart argues that Chinese Communist Party (CCP) political institutions, the CCP’s behavior, and veneration of Marxism-Leninism in the CCP constitution highlight the Soviet ... 120
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 04/12/2024The new @georgetowncal.bsky.social report on the HKNSL crackdown is out! Written by me and my co-authors @ericyhlai.bsky.social and Lokman Tsui. (Will do a thread on the report's contents asap -- stay tuned!) Link here: www.law.georgetown.edu/law-asia/wp-...law.georgetown.edu 062
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 22/11/2024Great piece from Bhavan Jaipragas at the Straits Times, on what the incoming Trump administration means for both China policy and Hong Kong -- a few quick comments from yours truly. Worth a read! www.straitstimes.com/opinion/hong...straitstimes.comHong Kong wants to Trump-proof itself, but its hands are tiedConventional wisdom sees Trump’s return as trouble for Hong Kong. A lot depends on Beijing’s directives. Read more at straitstimes.com. 073
Tom Kellogg @tom-kellogg.bsky.social · 19/11/2024Travesty. www.nytimes.com/2024/11/18/w...nytimes.comDozens of Hong Kong Pro-Democracy Leaders Sentenced in Mass TrialThe 45 defendants, including Joshua Wong, were at the forefront of the opposition movement crushed by Beijing. Many have already been in jail for years. 030