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Thiago Moreira

@tmqm.bsky.social

379 followers 71 following 12 posts

Runner, cyclist, and political scientist. Assistant professor at LSU. thiagomqmoreira.com

Posts Replies Media

Reposted by Thiago Moreira

Political Analysis @polanalysis.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Currently in FirstView: In “Let Them Eat Pie: Addressing Sample Selection in Multiparty Elections,” Ali Kagalwala, @tmqm.bsky.social, Guy Whitten, and Yongzhi Xu introduce a novel maximum likelihood approach that accounts for the biases that come from sample selection in a compositional setting.

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Thiago Moreira @tmqm.bsky.social · 09/08/2026

Studying elections with compositional models was one of the reasons I went to Texas A&M for my PhD. I was surprised by how few scholars treat election outcomes as compositions, even though vote shares range from 0 to 1 and changes in votes for one party are offset by changes in votes for the others.

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Reposted by Thiago Moreira

Yann Kerevel @ykerevel.bsky.social · 19/11/2025

New article available now!

sciencedirect.com

Party gatekeeping of working-class candidates under closed-list proportional representation

Do political parties discriminate against working-class candidates? Several studies indicate political parties may disadvantage working-class candidat…

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Thiago Moreira @tmqm.bsky.social · 07/11/2025

In this new paper with Spencer Goidel and @barmstrong.bsky.social, we show that the drug crisis boosts Republican vote, especially among independents, by lowering both Democratic support and abstention.

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Thiago Moreira @tmqm.bsky.social · 29/08/2025

Job alert! We are hiring.

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Reposted by Thiago Moreira

Adam Przeworski @adamprz.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

Here is the update through Week 6, early because I am traveling. adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/diary

adamprzeworski.substack.com

Diary

I decided to keep a record of my thoughts as events transpire, a diary.

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Thiago Moreira @tmqm.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

What happens to economic voting under high polarization? In this @bjpols.bsky.social paper, I argue that voters stick with their preferred party as the ideological distance between parties increases, reducing their propensity to hold incumbents accountable for economic outcomes. 1/3

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Victor Araújo @victoraraujo.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

New (open access) publication with @philipp-kerler.bsky.social. We draw on fieldwork to build a theoretical model that outlines the conditions when the expectation of clientelism can drive selective political engagement, something we call asymmetric participation. #distributivepolitics #clientelism

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Adam Przeworski @adamprz.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Why democracy, backsliding, or autocracy? Unabashedly, I think this model has exceptionally rich results. The introductory overview is intended to be self-explanatory without delving into the math. See papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf

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Thiago Moreira @tmqm.bsky.social · 05/09/2024

My 6th APSA. Crazy how fast time flies.

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Thiago Moreira @tmqm.bsky.social · 04/09/2024

Heading to APSA in Philly. If you will be there and still don't have plans for Saturday afternoon, drop by to see our presentation. José Cheibub, Andrea Junqueira, and I study effective participation across income groups with granular electoral data from Brazil.

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