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Tim Ross

@timross1.bsky.social
1K followers 120 following 33 posts

Chief Political Correspondent for Europe and UK at POLITICO. Author of three books on UK elections.

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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Well it’s looking like another exit poll fiasco in Sweden… www.politico.eu/article/swed...
politico.eu
Sweden election forecast says vote too close to call
A shock analysis contradicts exit polls and holds out hope to PM Ulf Kristersson that he could cling to power with help from the far right.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Magdalena Andersson, Sweden’s Social Democrat leader, looks likely to return as PM after today’s election, according to exit polls. I spent the day with her on her campaign bus. She told me voters were tired of the hard right’s “stupid & inhumane” migration plans. www.politico.eu/article/swed...
politico.eu
Sweden exit poll: Left on course for election win in blow to far right
Social Democrat leader Magdalena Andersson is heading for a comeback as prime minister in charge of a left-wing coalition, exit polling suggests.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
In Sweden’s election today, front runner Magdalena Andersson gets endorsed by ABBA’s Benny, at a Social Democrats’ campaign rally. With some special lyrics…
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
In Stockholm ahead of tomorrow’s election, far right Sweden Democrats leader Jimmie Akesson held his final campaign rally tonight and did something that looked more than a bit like a Trump dance.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
My interview with Swedish PM Ulf Kristersson, ahead of Sunday’s knife-edge election. He says governing with the far right is the only way to get things done. And he warns Sweden’s NATO commitments will be put in doubt if Magdalena Andersson’s left bloc wins. www.politico.eu/article/swed...
politico.eu
Sweden’s NATO missions are at risk if the left wins election, warns PM Kristersson
The center-right leader told POLITICO that Magdalena Andersson’s political partners can’t be trusted on defense.
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Mark Duursma @markduursma.eurosky.social · 28/07/2026
“Everybody thinks we are helped by the West, by the East, by Israel, by Russia, but it’s actually God behind us." George Simion, Romania's far right leader, is sure about his support www.politico.eu/article/geor... by @timross1.bsky.social in @politico.eu
politico.eu
Political chaos turns spotlight on Romania’s MAGA champion
As the possibility of snap elections draws closer, hard-right leader George Simion tells POLITICO that “God” is on his side.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Our latest voting intention sees cross over. Labour move ahead by 4. Their first lead since March 2025 & highest share since Nov 24 🌹 LAB 28% (+4)
⏩ REF 24% (-2)
🌳 CON 22% (nc)
🔶 LIB DEM 12% (+1)
🟢 GREEN 8% (-3)
🟡 SNP 2% (nc) N = 2061| Dates 24-27/7| Change w 22/7
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
First voting intention of Burnham’s premiership. Labour narrow the gap with Reform to 2 points, the closest since April 2025. ⏩ REF 26% (nc)
🌹 LAB 24% (+2)
🌳 CON 22% (nc)
🔶 LIB DEM 11% (-1)
🟢 GREEN 11% (-1)
🟡 SNP 2% (nc) N = 3,118 | 21-22/7 | Changes w 12/7
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Making players contest the third place playoff is cruel. Nobody cares. Everyone wants to go home.
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Interested in rebellions during the first session of the parliament - which, helpfully, almost perfectly coincides with the Starmer premiership? Here's a piece I wrote for @robfordmancs.bsky.social's substack, giving rebellion rates, lists of rebels, etc. swingometer.substack.com/p/rebel-rebel
swingometer.substack.com
Rebel Rebel
In a guest post, Philip Cowley takes a look at backbench rebellions during Keir Starmer's time as Prime Minister
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 16/05/2026
Eurovision is “apolitical” but “is so big an event that it has a political impact,” a top official at the annual song contest’s organizer told POLITICO, adding that event managers are “prepared” for more disruptions during Saturday night’s final.
politico.eu
‘We’re not the United Nations’: top official defends Eurovision ahead of tense final
Song contest managers are “prepared” for more disruptions during Saturday night’s event, said Jean Philip de Tender, deputy director general at Eurovision organizer EBU.
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Jon M. Sweeney @jonmsweeney.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
I’m skeptical.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
It’s Thursday morning so the latest edition of our Opinion Brief podcast is out! We discuss the public’s views of Starmer’s premiership & what should happen next, and answer your questions about the locals AND would Brits press the red button or blue. Listen below tr.ee/KasOq-wGy2
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The Opinion Brief Podcast Official: Instagram, X | Linktree
The essential weekly update on what the British public thinks and why. A fresh politics podcast brought to you by More in Common UK and Luke Tryl.
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
In our first Westminster VI after the local elections, Reform’s lead increases to 9pts over Labour ➡️ REF UK 30% (+2) 🌹 LAB 21% (nc) 🌳 CON 19% (-1) 🌍 GREEN 11% (-1) 🔶 LIB DEM 14% (+2) ❓OTH 2% (-3) 🟡 SNP 3% (+1) N = 3,070 | Fieldwork 9-12 May | Changes w/ 4 May
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Buckingham Palace: Are we really still doing the State Opening? Downing St: Yes please 👍 Buckingham Palace: Ok. Please could we try to keep the King out of this leadership mess? Downing St: 💯. The king’s speech will show the PM is still the man with the plan. 🙌💪 www.politico.eu/article/king...
politico.eu
King’s Speech: Palace tells No. 10 to keep Charles out of Starmer’s crisis
The formal opening of parliament comes as the British prime minister is fending off threats to his leadership.
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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
A guess a lot people will be spending a lot of today checking some slowly changing numbers on a BBC webpage. If you enjoy that sort of thing and want it to be a more than annual occurrence - can I recommend getting into county cricket?
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Philip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Remember...
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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Grim read on the seafarers caught up in this. www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...
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PubAffairs EU Debates, News & Opinions 🇪🇺 @pubaffairsbruxelles.eu · 05/03/2026
[Analysis] #Trump’s FAFO moment: #America needs #Europe after all, by @timross1.bsky.social & @elistokols.bsky.social | Politico www.politico.eu/article/dona...
politico.eu
Trump’s lightbulb moment: America needs Europe after all
The U.S. is even looking to Ukraine to help its operations against Iran — as Trump rages at Starmer and Sánchez for refusing to back his war.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
The centrist establishment is dying in British politics & may be dead already. Labour’s collapse happened in entirely predictable ways. In fact @rewearmouth.bsky.social & I warned Starmer would face this in our 2024 book, Landslide. It’s happening in France, US, Germany. Gorton is just the start.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
My interview with Swedish PM Ulf Kristersson: Trump has damaged trust in America, and should keep MAGA out of European politics… (and Europe should work harder for NATO, too). www.politico.eu/article/ulf-...
politico.eu
Trusting Trump is hard but NATO’s newest member won’t ditch the US yet
Sweden’s PM Ulf Kristersson tells POLITICO that America should not meddle in European democracy, with transatlantic relations in “crisis.”
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Stanley Pignal @spignal.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
2024: can Europe defend itself ALONGSIDE America? 2025: can Europe defend itself WITHOUT America? 2026: can Europe defend itself AGAINST America?
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
BREAKING: Europeans finally get seats at Trump’s negotiations on Ukraine peace deal, starting tomorrow. www.politico.eu/article/ukra...
politico.eu
Ukraine’s allies rush to counter Trump’s ‘non-starter’ peace plan
Top British and European officials will join high-level talks between the U.S. and Ukraine starting Sunday, after Kyiv’s allies voiced concern at Trump’s proposed deal.
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Anand Menon @anandmenon.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
I did a lecture on the impact of Brexit on British politics. Watch it here if you're really bored www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztqL...
youtube.com
Reflections on the Brexit Revolution: 2025-26 Mackenzie-Stuart Lecture
YouTube video by Cambridge Law Faculty
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
It’s a 2-minute drive from the Council and the Commission to Bart De Wever’s office. They are on the same Brussels street. Did anyone bother to go to ask him what he really felt about raiding Russian assets? www.politico.eu/article/eu-l...
politico.eu
Von der Leyen and Costa fail to cash in on Trump smacking Putin
EU chiefs lost some credibility when they failed to get a deal to fund Ukraine using Russian assets. Zelenskyy could lose a lot more.
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 24/10/2025
EU Confidential was at the EUCO summit until the wee hours yesterday. Host @swheatonjourno.bsky.social spoke to @gregsorgi.bsky.social @ziaweise.bsky.social @nicholasvinocur.bsky.social and @timross1.bsky.social on what leaders plan to do about the threat from Putin — and the far right:
open.spotify.com
How about them assets — making Russia pay for Ukraine
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
The EU wants influence as well as invoices when it comes to rebuilding Gaza. And European officials are not yet ready to take the pressure off Israel. For one thing, Israel must be held accountable for the civilian deaths, they say. My latest with @politico.eu team: www.politico.eu/article/isra...
politico.eu
‘Israel needs to deliver’: Europe’s private fears over Trump’s plan for Gaza
Officials and diplomats are hoping the ceasefire lasts but don’t want to ease the pressure on Israel just yet.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Israel wants to reset relations with the EU, the country’s new ambassador in Brussels told me. Now the Trump peace initiative is underway, “there is no reason” for the EU to keep restrictions on cooperation in place or threaten more sanctions, Avi Nir-Feldklein said. www.politico.eu/article/eu-m...
politico.eu
EU must lift penalties on Israel now that Gaza ceasefire has begun, envoy says
Israel’s new ambassador to the EU tells POLITICO that Europe is not likely to get a seat on Trump’s “board of peace” unless it restores full cooperation with Netanyahu’s government.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
Happy Friday everyone (except Google AI obviously)
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
After Ursula von der Leyen calls Israel’s Gaza operation “abhorrent”, the Israeli ambassador to the E.U. tells me Brussels should stop wielding the “stick” if it wants to be “a player” in the Middle East. Interview in Playbook here: www.politico.eu/newsletter/b...
politico.eu
Israel wants peace (with Brussels)
Presented by PPC By TIM ROSS with ZOYA SHEFTALOVICH PRESENTED BY Send tips here | Tweet @NicholasVinocur @swheaton | Listen to Playbook and view in your browser GOOD MORNING. It’s Wednesday and I’m…
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Oana Lungescu @oanalungescu.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
What did Nicușor Dan’s 9-year old daughter tell him when he said he would run for President of Romania? find out in this @politico.com portrait of the common sense candidate who bucked the trend of populism. @timross1.bsky.social @andreipopoviciu.bsky.social www.politico.eu/article/nicu...
politico.eu
18 hours in the making of a president: Inside Nicușor Dan’s election win
Romania’s new leader told POLITICO how he will approach international affairs and what he will do to rebuild trust in a democracy battered by corruption, economic strife and Russian meddling.
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 08/05/2025
For Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Victory Day and Europe Day provide a joint lesson for the Age of Trump: Europeans must join forces so they can stand up for themselves. Today's Brussels Playbook has more: ow.ly/E5J750VP14o
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
This seagull will be the first living creature to know there's a new Pope outside of the Conclave.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Why Romania really matters, and one man’s mission to save it from the cynicism that Putin exploits. Interview with Bucharest mayor and presidential candidate Nicusor Dan. By @andreipopoviciu.bsky.social and me www.politico.eu/article/roma...
politico.eu
The Romanian mathematician trying to stop Putin and Trump wrecking the West
Elon Musk and JD Vance don’t know enough to judge the country’s election crisis, and Trump should be tougher on Putin, says Bucharest Mayor and presidential candidate Nicușor Dan.
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Luke McGee @lukemcgee.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
The brilliant @timross1.bsky.social has an interview with Sweden's Europe minister on how fish and security interact www.politico.eu/article/uk-e...
politico.eu
UK-EU defense pact really does depend on fish, European minister warns
Countries including France are said to want to tie a new post-Brexit security deal to more beneficial access to British waters, potentially holding up military cooperation.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Trump keeps calm as Putin carries on: Ukraine is trapped in a phoney peace (and the EU is stuck too). www.politico.eu/article/ukra...
politico.eu
Ukraine’s phony peace has begun. Only Trump still believes it’s real.
Donald Trump’s talks with Vladimir Putin have paralyzed Ukraine’s allies in Europe. Nobody is ready for peace.
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 18/03/2025
ANALYSIS: It was the least he could get away with. After a phone call with Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin gave the smallest possible concession to easing Russia’s war against Ukraine with a promise to swap some prisoners and stop attacking power plants and other “infrastructure” for 30 days.
politico.eu
Putin plays for time, dazzling Trump with talk of glory days ahead
Russia is delaying a full ceasefire in Ukraine. But that didn’t stop Trump and Putin planning hockey matches for the future.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Starmer is a “diplomatic power player,” one US source says. Here’s the story of how Britain’s PM and his NSA Jonathan Powell saved the ceasefire and overcame Trump and Zelenskyy’s feud. www.politico.eu/article/keir...
politico.eu
How Starmer saved Ukraine’s ceasefire as Trump and Zelenskyy raged
The U.K. prime minister and his top security adviser worked intensively to rescue the broken relationship between Kyiv and Washington, drafting a truce plan that might one day pave the way for peac…
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 28/02/2025
🚨 BREAKING: European leaders rallied to defend Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy after U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance subjected him to a tirade of withering and infantilizing abuse in the Oval Office. Full story:
politico.eu
‘Free world needs a new leader’: Europe defends Zelenskyy after Trump attack
France, Germany and Poland all make prompt declarations of support, as Europe fears Trump’s alignment with Putin.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
If Trump can go from being Starmer’s buddy to Zelenskyy’s enemy in 24 hours, how reliable would any security “guarantee” from this US administration ever be? Today’s Oval Office beating isn’t a surprise. It was clear enough where things stood 10 days ago: www.politico.eu/article/dona...
politico.eu
Trump’s America is Putin’s ally now
Europe and Ukraine are learning how little the U.S. cares, as the new president aligns himself with their greatest enemy.
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Marion Solletty @msolletty.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Trump vindicated long-standing French warnings — dating back to the legendary Charles de Gaulle — about the risks and strings attached to US dominance. @laukaya.bsky.social & I take you back to WWII, Suez and more. Macron's I told you so moment www.politico.eu/article/emma...
politico.eu
Macron’s told-you-so moment
Trump vindicated the French president on self-reliant defense. But with Putin looming, the hard work starts now for Europe.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 27/02/2025
Fun to join @samcoatessky.bsky.social this morning on the Politics at Jack and Sam’s podcast, filling in for Anne. Obvious big talking point today is Starmer in the US, even if American media (ahem) don’t much care, as Sam brutally revealed… www.politico.eu/podcast/poli...
politico.eu
Starmer to walk Trump tightrope
Sky News’ deputy political editor Sam Coates and Politico’s Tim Ross have their guide to the day ahead in British politics. Keir Starmer is in Washington today to meet Donald Trump to d…
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Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
We are all Emmanuel Macron
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 22/02/2025
The rise of the AfD over the past decade has triggered deep soul-searching in the political establishment in a country still wracked with guilt over its Nazi past. Could German history repeat itself? Here is what three leading historians had to say 👇
politico.eu
German election: Will the far-right AfD break through the firewall and take power?
With international politics in flux, three leading historians give their views on the most consequential election in a generation for Europe’s most powerful country.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
Does Europe need its own nukes, because Trump is so flaky on NATO? Politicians in Germany, France and the U.K. are interested in expanding their nuclear cooperation. Latest on the Trumpnado: www.politico.eu/article/euro...
politico.eu
Europe targets homegrown nuclear deterrent as Trump sides with Putin
Germany’s Merz says Britain and France may need to “share” their nuclear weapons as America can’t be relied on to defend NATO.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
The Cold War never felt more like history www.politico.eu/article/dona...
politico.eu
Trump’s America is Putin’s ally now
Europe and Ukraine are learning how little the U.S. cares, as the new president aligns himself with their greatest enemy.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 15/02/2025
Trump likes to make deals. But like Putin, he’s finding Ukraine to be tougher opponents than maybe he expected. Great story here by my Politico colleagues at Munich Security Conference www.politico.eu/article/us-d...
politico.eu
Ukraine balks at signing Trump deal to hand over its mineral wealth
The U.S. and Ukraine are back-and-forthing on a deal to exploit Kyiv’s rare earths in return for Washington’s support.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
NEW STORY: Big street demo in Bucharest amid fears that Romania’s presidential election could see an EU and NATO member slip back towards dictatorship... Thanks to a massive interference op by Russia, the U.S. says. www.politico.eu/article/buch...
politico.eu
Romania’s pro-Europeans fear Putin is pushing them back to dictatorship
Far-right NATO-skeptic Calin Georgescu is on track to win the Romanian presidency, thanks to a Russia-influenced campaign.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Bucharest tonight. Big pro-European rally, “Romania Hopes”. Thousands have turned out in the cold in University Square, with EU & Romanian flags. A lot is riding on Sunday’s 2nd round presidential election, with far-right EU & NATO critic Calin Georgescu the favourite to win.
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Tim Ross @timross1.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
The Ukraine war could be over in 7 weeks. My latest here for POLITICO on how Trump 2 is focusing minds on both sides and why that could get dangerous. www.politico.eu/article/seve...
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