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Tim Harford

@timharford.ft.com
27K followers 21 following 570 posts

FT columnist, BBC journalist, author, host of Cautionary Tales, professional nerd.

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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 13h
The sewing machine. The washing machine. The dishwasher. Which technologies truly liberate us from drudgery? as.ft.com/r/e3afdfeb-8...
as.ft.com
Liberated by technology (again)
Does the history of labour-saving inventions teach us anything about a revolution in AI?
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 25/09/2026
Cautionary Tales - When Muhammad Ali Met Henry's Hammer timharford.com/2026/09/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 25/09/2026
Cautionary Tales - When Muhammad Ali Met Henry's Hammer timharford.com/2026/09/caut...
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Reposted by Tim Harford
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 24/09/2026
Random is as random does timharford.com/2026/09/rand... (Photo: the Diaconis coin flipping machine.)
Diaconis coin flipping machine
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 24/09/2026
Random is as random does timharford.com/2026/09/rand... (Photo: the Diaconis coin flipping machine.)
Diaconis coin flipping machine
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Reposted by Tim Harford
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 23/09/2026
"They should have thrown away their graphs and hired a science-fiction writer." as.ft.com/r/0e69b26e-1...
as.ft.com
The problem with P(doom)
Predicting AI catastrophe has gone mainstream with predictable consequences
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 18/09/2026
How a broken arm improved my French - with @davidepstein.bsky.social timharford.com/2026/09/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 23/09/2026
Congratulations, Robin! The book is great btw
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 23/09/2026
"They should have thrown away their graphs and hired a science-fiction writer." as.ft.com/r/0e69b26e-1...
as.ft.com
The problem with P(doom)
Predicting AI catastrophe has gone mainstream with predictable consequences
3276
Reposted by Tim Harford
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 17/09/2026
Why the story of the Vegetable Lamb was believed timharford.com/2026/09/why-...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 16/09/2026
AI can forecast the future. Should we let it? as.ft.com/r/7a213d63-0...
as.ft.com
AI can forecast the future. Should we let it?
The skill of specialised AI forecasters seems indistinguishable from much-vaunted superforecasters. But there are caveats
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 18/09/2026
How a broken arm improved my French - with @davidepstein.bsky.social timharford.com/2026/09/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 17/09/2026
Why the story of the Vegetable Lamb was believed timharford.com/2026/09/why-...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 16/09/2026
AI can forecast the future. Should we let it? as.ft.com/r/7a213d63-0...
as.ft.com
AI can forecast the future. Should we let it?
The skill of specialised AI forecasters seems indistinguishable from much-vaunted superforecasters. But there are caveats
392
Reposted by Tim Harford
Andrea M. Pawley @ampawley.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
I loved this disturbing and beautiful @clarkesworldmagazine.com story by @bethgoder.bsky.social. The bargain her aliens drive isn't for the faint of heart. clarkesworldmagazine.com/goder_09_26/
clarkesworldmagazine.com
Water-Eaters by Beth Goder
Clarkesworld Science Fiction and Fantasy Magazine and Podcast.
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 12/09/2026
A loyal reader writes to alert me to Game Therapy UK, 'An innovative, evidence-based approach to address social isolation, trauma and aid recovery'. Not my area but my instincts are (as @slyflourish.com has often said) that simply by forging connections, RPGs save lives: www.game-therapy.co.uk
game-therapy.co.uk
Therapy | www.game-therapy.co.uk
game therapy uk- role playing game therapy charity
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 09/09/2026
Is the modern economy a bit too... samey? as.ft.com/r/662e6452-d...
as.ft.com
Is the modern economy a bit too . . .  samey?
The less willing we are to take a risk, the more safe options we are likely to be offered
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 11/09/2026
Cautionary Tales - Talent, Time and Money: The Curse of General Magic timharford.com/2026/09/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 13/09/2026
I've been checking the source of quotes for my forthcoming book, and the performance of Gemini is extraordinary. I paste the quote into Google, and Gemini will barge in with the wrong answer over and over again. It's not an occasional thing - it's reliably wrong. Very odd.
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 12/09/2026
A loyal reader writes to alert me to Game Therapy UK, 'An innovative, evidence-based approach to address social isolation, trauma and aid recovery'. Not my area but my instincts are (as @slyflourish.com has often said) that simply by forging connections, RPGs save lives: www.game-therapy.co.uk
game-therapy.co.uk
Therapy | www.game-therapy.co.uk
game therapy uk- role playing game therapy charity
2258
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 11/09/2026
Cautionary Tales - Talent, Time and Money: The Curse of General Magic timharford.com/2026/09/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 10/09/2026
Nudge or tax? At last, some data timharford.com/2026/09/nudg...
timharford.com
Nudge or tax? At last, some data
It all seems very long ago, but there was a time when David Cameron was most famous for his enthusiasm for behavioural public policy, better known as “nudges”. In a TED talk released a few months b…
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 10/09/2026
"like mounting Gatling guns on a pack of horses and then letting them loose in Times Square." calnewport.com/anthropic-ju...
calnewport.com
Anthropic Just Threatened to Kill Billions of People. This Is Not Okay. - Cal Newport
Yesterday, Jacob Coxon, an Anthropic engineer, resigned. As he ​explained on X​: “[OpenAI and Anthropic] are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our ... Read more
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 09/09/2026
Should be unsurprising, but a) AI enthusiasts have been telling me for approximately two years that "hallucinations hardly ever happen any more, that's pretty much fixed" and b) I didn't even ask for the AI result (which was pasted above anything that might have hinted at the correct answer). Odd.
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 09/09/2026
Twice in the last week I've pasted a quotation into Google to check the source, and Gemini has barged in with the wrong answer. CS Lewis quote from The Seeing Eye (1967) was placed in The Screwtape Letters (1942). Alfred Loftus quote (1857) attributed to Austen Layard (1849). Gemini 0/2.
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 09/09/2026
Is the modern economy a bit too... samey? as.ft.com/r/662e6452-d...
as.ft.com
Is the modern economy a bit too . . .  samey?
The less willing we are to take a risk, the more safe options we are likely to be offered
4144
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 08/09/2026
AI and the new age of mass toe-treading at work. Really thought-provoking from @sarahoconnorft.ft.com as.ft.com/r/f1f2cd59-7...
as.ft.com
AI is ushering in an era of mass toe-treading at work
Boundaries between different occupations are blurring at the cost of a collaborative company culture
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 03/09/2026
The Big Power of Small Annoyances timharford.com/2026/09/the-...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 04/09/2026
Cautionary Tales - Evel Knievel Faces the Abyss timharford.com/2026/09/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 04/09/2026
Cautionary Tales - Evel Knievel Faces the Abyss timharford.com/2026/09/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 03/09/2026
The Big Power of Small Annoyances timharford.com/2026/09/the-...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 01/09/2026
Wow - nearly at £1000. I am very grateful for the donations, especially since I realise this is very much a local charity. Thank you.
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 01/09/2026
Working on a Cautionary Club conversation about the power of positive thinking, a colleague has reminded me that I once put together a list of "self-help books that work". I stand by the list! timharford.com/2018/11/self...
timharford.com
Self help books that work
The self-help genre gets a bad press, and not without reason, but there are a few self-help books that I’ve read, enjoyed, and felt wiser as a result. The Tao of Pooh (UK) (US) by Benjamin Ho…
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 02/09/2026
Well, I was wrong about Bad Girl Books as.ft.com/r/ab93e7d2-4...
as.ft.com
I was wrong about Bad Girl Books
Another bookshop in Oxford was doomed from the start — or so I predicted
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 03/09/2026
Reading the latest analysis of suspected academic fraud by the @datacolada.bsky.social team and having all the feels. It's really remarkable what they do, and often quite funny, but the whole thing is pretty disheartening too. datacolada.org/139
datacolada.org
[139] Artificial Deadlines (Part 2): Retrograding Ariely & Wertenbroch (2002)
As described in our previous post (.htm), back in 2006 ariely@mit.edu sent three Excel spreadsheets, each “last saved” by user “Dan Ariely”, to then-PhD-student-but-now-full…
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 02/09/2026
Well, I was wrong about Bad Girl Books as.ft.com/r/ab93e7d2-4...
as.ft.com
I was wrong about Bad Girl Books
Another bookshop in Oxford was doomed from the start — or so I predicted
03711
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 01/09/2026
Wow - nearly at £1000. I am very grateful for the donations, especially since I realise this is very much a local charity. Thank you.
0247
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 01/09/2026
Working on a Cautionary Club conversation about the power of positive thinking, a colleague has reminded me that I once put together a list of "self-help books that work". I stand by the list! timharford.com/2018/11/self...
timharford.com
Self help books that work
The self-help genre gets a bad press, and not without reason, but there are a few self-help books that I’ve read, enjoyed, and felt wiser as a result. The Tao of Pooh (UK) (US) by Benjamin Ho…
2173
Reposted by Tim Harford
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 26/08/2026
Amygdala - Strange, funny and unsettling short film about... well, influencers, I think. www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6LG...
youtube.com
Amygdala (2026) | SHORT FILM
YouTube video by HarFoot
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 28/08/2026
Cautionary Tales – Dumm und Dümmer : Hitler Invades Florida timharford.com/2026/08/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 28/08/2026
Cautionary Tales – Dumm und Dümmer : Hitler Invades Florida timharford.com/2026/08/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 26/08/2026
Random is as random does as.ft.com/r/0f299fda-6...
as.ft.com
Random is as random does
Just don’t ask a human what it means
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 26/08/2026
Amygdala - Strange, funny and unsettling short film about... well, influencers, I think. www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6LG...
youtube.com
Amygdala (2026) | SHORT FILM
YouTube video by HarFoot
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 26/08/2026
Random is as random does as.ft.com/r/0f299fda-6...
as.ft.com
Random is as random does
Just don’t ask a human what it means
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Reposted by Tim Harford
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 21/08/2026
The DeLorean Saga: Fraud, Drugs and Marty McFly’s Car - Cautionary Tales x Business History timharford.com/2026/08/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 20/08/2026
My mother died 30 years ago after a long and difficult illness. I'm running the Oxford Half this October in her memory and to raise money for Occtopus, the Oxford Colon Cancer Trust. They do good work, and any donations would be gratefully received. www.justgiving.com/page/tim-har...
justgiving.com
Raising money for colon cancer research in memory of Deb Harford
Help Tim Harford raise money to support Occtopus Oxford Colon Cancer Trust
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 21/08/2026
The DeLorean Saga: Fraud, Drugs and Marty McFly’s Car - Cautionary Tales x Business History timharford.com/2026/08/caut...
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 20/08/2026
My mother died 30 years ago after a long and difficult illness. I'm running the Oxford Half this October in her memory and to raise money for Occtopus, the Oxford Colon Cancer Trust. They do good work, and any donations would be gratefully received. www.justgiving.com/page/tim-har...
justgiving.com
Raising money for colon cancer research in memory of Deb Harford
Help Tim Harford raise money to support Occtopus Oxford Colon Cancer Trust
07419
Reposted by Tim Harford
Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 19/08/2026
What is the Vegetable Lamb, and why did so many people think it was real for, oh, three or four centuries? as.ft.com/r/6af43ed6-2...
as.ft.com
Why the story of the Vegetable Lamb was believed
Our weakness for misinformation is far from new
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Tim Harford @timharford.ft.com · 20/08/2026
Explain it to me like I'm ten... timharford.com/2026/08/expl...
timharford.com
Explain it to me like I’m ten
In 2012, the creator of the xkcd cartoon Randall Munroe unveiled Up Goer Five — a detailed diagram of the Saturn V rocket, annotated using only the most common 1,000 (sorry, “ten hundred”) words in…
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