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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 5h

7/ Ukrainian forces struck two Russian oil refineries with a combined processing capacity of 31 million tons of oil per year on October 8. Russian forces launched 142 drones against Ukraine overnight. Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar100826

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 5h

NEW: Russian milbloggers recently acknowledged Ukrainian advances east of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, possibly after months of battlefield shaping efforts similar to those conducted in the months leading up to Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction. 🧵(1/7) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar100826

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 6h

NEW: Forces aligned with the Yemeni government seized mountainous terrain overlooking the Red Sea coastal plain on October 8, creating favorable conditions for government-aligned forces to continue their counteroffensive and advance northward. + 4 maps 🧵(1/6) Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate10...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 16h

NEW: Russian forces claim to have evacuated over 4,000 Ukrainian civilians from frontline settlements in Donetsk Oblast. Read the full update: isw.pub/OccupationUpdate100826

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 19h

6/ Read the full special report: isw.pub/UkraineDisru...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 19h

3/ The Ukrainian counteroffensive known as Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction has completely disrupted this Russian plan by inflicting an operational defeat on the northern Russian pincer.

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 19h

SPECIAL REPORT: Ukrainian forces have defeated the 2026 Russian campaign to seize Donetsk Oblast. 🧵(1/6) Read more: isw.pub/UkraineDisru...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

6/ A parliamentarian from Iranian-backed Iraqi militia Asaib Ahl al Haq’s (AAH) political wing appeared to downplay the gravity of Zaydi’s reported amendments to the PMF law, which could reflect AAH support for some of Zaydi’s PMF efforts. Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate10...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

2/ More Key Takeaways The Yemeni govt & partners didn't set sufficient political conditions before initiating recent counteroffensives, hindering their effectiveness. The recent, sudden collapse of Yemeni govt-aligned forces along the frontline in Taiz Governorate indicates a lack of coordination.

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Iran Update, October 7, 2026: Houthi advances in Taiz Governorate demonstrate that the Yemeni government’s recent counteroffensives failed to sufficiently pull Houthi reserves to relieve pressure around Taiz and enable Yemeni government offensive operations in other areas of the country. (1/6)

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

3/ The Kremlin is consolidating strategic logistics assets under Russian state control. Ukrainian forces recently advanced east of Oleksandrivka. Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure. Read the full report here: isw.pub/UkrWar100726

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

2/ More Key Takeaways: Recent Russian technological adaptations to jet-powered Geran-type drones allow Russian forces to focus cruise and ballistic missile strikes on a smaller, more specific target set without significantly increasing missile expenditure.

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, 100726: Russia launched a massive, deadly combined drone & missile strike package across northern, eastern, & western Ukraine on the night of October 6-7, killing & wounding 135+ civilians, including 4+ children. Read the report: isw.pub/UkrWar100726 (1/3)

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

NEW: The United States’ recent de-emphasis of North Korean denuclearization may increase Pyongyang’s willingness to engage in dialogue with Washington, possibly around the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in November. (1/3) Read the full report: isw.pub/KoreanPenins...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

4/ Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 6, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar100626

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

2/ Russia’s recently intensified strike campaign against bridges in major Ukrainian cities has expanded to Zaporizhzhia City. Ukrainian forces recently advanced east of Orikhiv.

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

NEW: Russia will significantly increase its purchase of foreign currency and gold between October 7 and November 6, 2026 in an effort to mitigate the effects of declining oil and gas export revenues. Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar100626

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

NEW: The Houthis have, at least for now, prevented further Yemeni government advances northward on the Red Sea coastal plain. (1/8) Read the full update: isw.pub/IranUpdate10...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

NEW: The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is likely gaining critical insights for future warfare from Russia. The PLA appears particularly concerned about how to conduct mechanized maneuvers in a drone-saturated environment. Read the full report: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

10/ Iran Update, October 5, 2026: isw.pub/IranUpdate10...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

NEW: The Yemeni government, backed by Saudi air power and international coalition military support, launched an offensive to capture Mokha city and secure the coastline along the Bab al Mandeb Strait on October 4. (1/10) Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate10...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

6/ Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 5, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar100526

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

NEW: A Russian drone struck a Ukrainian-Moldovan border crossing on the morning of October 5, injuring a Moldovan citizen — the first confirmed Moldovan injury due to Russian drones. (1/6) Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar100526

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

SPECIAL REPORT: Russian occupation policies have contributed to a sharp decline in an already-challenging humanitarian situation in the Oleshky area since December 2025. Read more: isw.pub/OleshkyCrisisBSK

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

SPECIAL REPORT: Russian inexpensive, highly maneuverable quasi-cruise missiles mark a concerning shift toward low-cost, cruise-missile-like weapons that can strain Ukraine’s scarce air defense stocks. Read the full special report: isw.pub/RussianQuasiMissilesBSK

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

NEW: The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) presented its main rhetorical framing to justify what will become Russia’s brutal Fall-Winter 2026-2027 strike campaign against Ukrainian critical infrastructure. (1/10) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar100426

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

NEW: The Houthis captured the key supply route between Taiz and Aden cities on October 4, which is part of the Houthi campaign to seize Taiz City. (1/3) Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate10...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

4/ Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 3, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar100326

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

NEW: Five Russian drones, including Banderol loitering munitions, crashed in Moldova on the morning of October 3, exceeding the number of aerial vehicles involved in the last Russian violation of Moldovan airspace. (1/4) Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar100326

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

NEW: Saudi or Yemeni government-aligned forces conducted airstrikes on Sanaa City on October 3, likely to degrade Houthi capabilities central to the group’s offensive campaigns. (1/6) Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate10...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

6/ Iran Update, October 2, 2026: isw.pub/IranUpdate10...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

NEW: Saudi Arabia is reportedly preparing to support a Yemeni government offensive to recapture territory on the southern Red Sea coastal plain from the Houthis. Yemeni government forces likely have the capacity to successfully execute such an offensive, assuming the objectives are limited. (1/6)

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

6/ Ukrainian forces continue to conduct an intense intermediate-range strike campaign against Russian logistics in southern occupied Ukraine as part of battlefield-shaping operations that will likely continue to enable Ukrainian counteroffensives.

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

NEW: Russian President Vladimir Putin advanced Russia’s ongoing cognitive warfare efforts to persuade the world that European leaders who respond to Russian threats and continued limited kinetic attacks in Europe are the actual aggressors. (1/7) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar100226

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

The Multimedia & Video Production internship is the newest program offered by ISW's External Relations team! Interns will support the production of visuals accompanying ISW's research content and hone their multimedia skills. Apply today: isw.pub/MultimediaInternship

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

NEW: The People’s Republic of China (PRC) opened its third overseas military base in Laos on September 29, the first PLA overseas military base focused on airpower. (1/4) Read the full report: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

The ongoing humanitarian crisis in the occupied Oleshky area reflects the coercive logic of Russian occupation governance in a heavily damaged frontline city. (1/4) Read the full report: isw.pub/OleshkyCrisi...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

6/ Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against military assets and oil infrastructure in Russia. Russia launched 107 drones against Ukraine overnight on September 30 to October 1 and 97 drones during the day on October 1. Read the report here: isw.pub/UkrWar100126

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

2/ Additional Key Takeaways: A Ukrainian military officer discussed the establishment of a Ukrainian position in the Slovyansk direction that can serve as the basis for future major Ukrainian operations after Operation Vivaldi.

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2026: Russian milbloggers are expressing concerns that Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction will hinder Russian attempts to assault Slovyansk from the east. Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar100126 (1/6)

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

4/ A senior Iranian delegation comprised of individuals close to Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei visited southern Lebanon on October 1. The delegation included IRGC officer Brigadier General Hossein Yekta, who has played a significant role in internal security activities and recruitment.

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Iran Update, October 1, 2026: Houthi forces temporarily disrupted a section of the Yemeni government-aligned forces’ primary ground line of communication between Taiz City and Aden City on October 1 to isolate Yemeni government-aligned forces in Taiz City. Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate10... (1/4)

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

We are now accepting Internship applications for Spring 2027! ISW is looking for motivated and critical thinkers to join our team of national security and intelligence experts. Apply today: isw.pub/SpringInternships2027Bsky

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

NEW: The European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) is hearing a case that highlights the longevity of Russia’s policies towards children in occupied Ukraine. (1/8) Read more: isw.pub/OccupationUp...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

NEW: Defectors from Iranian-backed Iraqi militia Asaib Ahl al Haq have formed a new armed group with “significant” Iranian support, according to the Washington Post on September 30. (1/7) Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

3/ A likely Russian drone violated Moldovan airspace and crashed near Hirbovat, Anenii Noi, on the morning of September 30.

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

NEW: Russia conducted a drone and missile strike against Ukraine, targeting energy infrastructure in Kyiv and marking the beginning of Russia’s strike campaign aimed at degrading Ukraine’s energy security and forcing Ukraine to capitulate. (1/8) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar093026

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Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

NEW: South Korean Minister of Defense Kang Shin-chul stated on September 29 that North Korea planted an anti-personnel mine along the demilitarized zone (DMZ), which exploded and injured a South Korean soldier on September 21. (1/6) Read the full report: isw.pub/KoreanPenins...

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