Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 3mwhat about one tiny ship of the line against one giant trireme 000
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 8mBut they're full casters. They had to study somehow. 230
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 9mWell then stop looking at your phone at intersections and not noticing the light change for 5 seconds. 140
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 13mHe should be running with the field-grade officers, not trying to be the brown bar forever. 160
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 20mI dunno. NY was a swing state for the first 200 years of the USA's existence. 030
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 21mYeah, these polls are showing a partisan lean of like zero to D+5 when 2024 was D+17. 150
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 2hLaLota's campaign should mail these photos to everyone in Suffolk County so they know exactly what kind of guy their opponent is. 1132
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 5hEven in 2026, I expect severing a parent-child relationship is much more likely to be the result of Dad kicking his son out of the house at 16 for being gay rather than adults disagreeing on politics. 1264
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 6h>NYC is $$$ right now because of finance and tech, attributed to national factors >problems like housing are deemed local >No visible ICE invasion >Jewish R gets spotted 5-10 points 130
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 14h"Gosh, this polling doesn't make sense unless there's a red wave localized entirely in Florida and NYC metro." --Me, October 2022 0160
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 14hThere is no state in the world now where Jews are guaranteed safety and freedom. It do be like that. 0200
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 14hAll the fun flavors of anti-Semitism old and new that came from everywhere in the US, yeah, that pissed me off, and still does. 1220
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 14hI didn't feel like 10/7 had much to do with me. I recoiled at the horror and barbarity. I understood it was the deadliest terror attack for Jews since WWII. But I saw it as an attack against citizens of another state, not me personally, and one that needed the gross negligence of its government. 1280
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 14hAdd to this that NYC avoided the visible ICE invasions of Los Angeles and Chicago, provoking less backlash. 180
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 14hThis is the opposite of 2022, when NYC was in a tech and finance rut, disproportionately affected compared to the country. 270
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 14hThe thing about the NYC metro area is that it's booming right now. Finance and tech earnings are at a record, and crime is way down from its Trump I bubble peak. The problems the booms generate, like housing, seem local, while the economy seems national. 1150
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hICE staying out of NY is ironically preventing snapback among minorities and suburban whites. 0100
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hI'm not aware of any reputable, reproducible studies on effectiveness, but it is exactly the kind of slop pseudoscience a fried trillionaire would believe. The example I saw was of power washing a rug from an old infomercial, but it was made as a joke. 0100
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hThis is an "ASMR ad" with AI-slop ASMR content to grab attention and an unrelated political message superimposed. It is a style claimed to be effective in various deep memes last year. 272
Reposted by Fred, His Enemy Getting a VoteB. A. Friedman @bafriedman.bsky.social · 20h- Chief of the Naval General Staff Osami Nagano, leaving the meeting Pearl Harbor meeting, 19 October 1941 341070
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hWhen the parasite rebels against the host. 090
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hI dunno. Maybe running a Jewish right-wing lunatic is worth 10 points. 180
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hIf you let Palmer Luckey cheat you, you most certainly were not an honest man. 0211
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hYeah but is anyone seeing any D seat losses in NY? Polling is sparse out there. 171
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hD+10 in NY and D+10 nationally means, uhhh 5210
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hI hope Troy Jackson mentioned the bribes and the investigation in every answer. 0150
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 15hEven if any of those jobs somehow materialize, no D president is going to worry about Baltimore when canceling the contract and putting Palmer in prison. 2705
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 16hBut he doesn't seem to have any inherent interest in it, only the status. 070
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 16hMaybe this thing will induce a grand unified theory out of broken scraps that were too stupid for anyone to put together. 1723
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 16hReminds me of Eddington being obsessed with epistemological explanations for the fine structure constant being 1/137, except with further measurement we could confirm that it was an irrational number. 030
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 16hThanks, so this already excludes the low quality partisan pollsters (and AtlasIntel). I'm surprised Yougov is here, since they seem to be in line with probability polls on both now. 000
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 16hAren't most of the non-probability pollsters openly partisan? 110
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 17hYeah, the averages overall weren't great, but they were biased toward Rs. The high quality pollsters were very accurate--NYT, Marist, Yougov were ones I checked recently. 020
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 19hMaybe people would trust Meta more if Zuckerberg hadn't restyled himself to look like a child rapist. 0222
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 20hcome on, man, this is a classic djinn trap that leads to getting suffocated by dollars in a few weeks. 31130
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 20h"You offered $40 for a 6'4" with A10 eyes?" 070
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 21hThis guy is so cheap he thinks the going rate is $40? 1110
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 21hA D+10 national environment, but with swings in the Northeast, Midwest, and Pacific just barely enough to get Ds what they need while being D+15 or more in the Great Plains and the South would be quite something. 1251
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 21hHow much of this is the babysitter's parents worried about stranger danger and not the kids' parents? 1110
Fred, His Enemy Getting a Vote @thefred.bsky.social · 22hYeah, you can still find them, but there are not as many, so it's like actually booking a gig and not just asking someone down the street. Which is more of a friction than the money IME. 0270
