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Tim Culpan

@tculpan.bsky.social
1.3K followers 40 following 55 posts

Founder, Culpium. Award-winning Technology Columnist and Independent Journalist. Taipei, Taiwan. sign up here: www.culpium.com/subscribe

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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
www.culpium.com/p/tsmcs-n2-n...
culpium.com
TSMC's N2 Node is Almost Booked Out for the Next Two Years
[Exclusive] Clients are being asked to finalize their requirements into mid 2027, with larger customers already booking capacity over the next two to three years.
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Reposted by Tim Culpan
Techmeme @techmeme.com · 28/02/2026
Sources: TSMC urges clients to apply for N2 production allocation as far out as Q2 2027, with large capacity allotments nearly sold out for the next two years (Tim Culpan/Culpium) Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
It costs AI players around $50bn to build each gigawatt of AI capacity, TSMC CEO CC Wei said Thursday. Wei declined to say how much of that flows to TSMC.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
No. That’s not what the paper says at all.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
The state of AI explained in one image.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
TSMC just forecast full-year revenue will climb 30%, that's an upgrade to its previous mid-20s figure. It's all about AI. Overseas expansion continues, with management looking to speed up its ramp up at Arizona, TSMC told investors Thursday.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
TSMC just posted revenue & operating profit which beat guidance. What's impressive is that gross margin came in near top of guidance, despite a strengthening Taiwan dollar. (1% stronger TWD = 0.4% weaker gross margin). GM was hit by about 280bps due to forex, management told investors Thursday.
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Reposted by Tim Culpan
Verified Account Tracker @verified.evil.gay · 01/07/2025
✅ @tculpan.bsky.social has been verified by @bsky.app.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Note to Donald Trump It really doesn’t take much. Just sayin’ Start Your Own Smartphone Company for $1,000 By @tculpan (10 years ago) www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Start Your Own Smartphone Company for $1,000
Walk through a metal gate, sidestep a pile of boxes, take an elevator to a floor of serviced offices and enter the latest battleground for Samsung Electronics Co.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Just in: Taiwan was just hit by a big quake. This alert, sent by phone, arrived 30-45sec before the tremor hit northern Taiwan. Our alert system really worked.
Earthquake alert in English & Mandarin
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
Never forget that there’s “nothing to remember” about this day
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
OMG. Congrats. CCRT is one of the most brutal things that can be done to the human body. And then surgery to boot! All the best in reclaiming control of your life in all its glory.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
Mango Cancer
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
You should not be surprised when TSMC trims its full-year sector forecast this Thursday at its 1Q earnings event. culpium.com
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Reposted by Tim Culpan
Boo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 03/04/2025
My schadenfreude for the day is that Bitcoin's down basically as much as the NASDAQ, and if Bitcoin did what its fans said it did it would be the opposite.
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Reposted by Tim Culpan
U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission @cpsc.gov · 03/04/2025
#WARNING: @cpsc.gov warns consumers to immediately stop using INSE Cordless Stick Vacuums models S6P Pro and S6T due to fire and burn hazards; risk of serious injury and death; sold on amazon.com. Full warning: cpsc.gov/Warnings/202...
Defective INSE Cordless Vacuums models S6P Pro and S6T
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Trump’s new income tax policy: How much you spent / How much your earned See! Policy is easy.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Thomas Friedman saw only what Beijing wanted him to see. It wasn’t the future.
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The Editorial Board @editorialboard.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
When apparent agents of the state do not identify themselves and do not declare the authority by which they are acting—“This is the XYZ police and you are under arrest”—they are, by definition, secret police.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
The US-Taiwan semiconductor relationship has changed drastically. I was surprised by what the data showed me. The implications for the US are profound www.culpium.com/p/how-a-tsmc...
culpium.com
How a TSMC Tax Would be a FAFO Move for the US
[Opinion] The US could impose a tax on Taiwanese chips. But it would hurt the very companies Trump used to bolster his tech credentials.
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Reposted by Tim Culpan
Pierre-Yves Baubry 博磊 @pybaubry.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
"The US doesn’t have the capacity to manufacture anywhere near a similar volume of equivalent devices. It would take months, if not years, to build the factories, spin up the tools, and then go through the qualification process", @tculpan.bsky.social writes.
open.substack.com
How a TSMC Tax Would be a FAFO Move for the US
[Opinion] The US could impose a tax on Taiwanese chips. But it would hurt the very companies Trump used to bolster his tech credentials.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
To a dog, the carrot & the stick have opposite roles.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
There’s a better way to look at Deepseek www.culpium.com/p/deepseek-i...
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Taiwan’s KMT vehemently opposes abolishing the death penalty. A matter of principle, which I understand but don’t agree with. I wonder whether the party vehemently opposes employing it for treason 🙄 newbloommag.net/2025/01/27/r...
newbloommag.net
Veterans Detained Over Paramilitary Plot to Sabotage Government in Wartime | New Bloom Magazine
A former lieutenant general, Kao An-kuo, and five other associates were indicted earlier this month for efforts to form a paramilitary organization that would act to sabotage the Taiwanese government…
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
Huh? What? Getting heaps of LinkedIn connection requests from accounts like this recently. Microsoft can’t seem to contain the spread.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
Hey there. Did you just lose access to your Big Media newsletter, and now they want your credit card? Sign up here for something better. Get a weekly dose of Culpium. Free. www.culpium.com
culpium.com
Culpium, by Tim Culpan | Substack
Culpium: noun [U] — a cure for lack of knowledge, understanding or clarity. *taken by those seeking to improve comprehension of technology, semiconductors, and supply chains especially in Asia. *See y...
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
I’ll soon be publishing my last piece for the year. It’s a surprising take on the most important tech stories of the year. Definitely on-brand for those who know me, but counterintuitive. Sign up now to make sure it lands in your inbox open.substack.com/pub/timculpan
open.substack.com
Tim Culpan’s Position | Substack
Analysis-based opinion & exclusive news. No fluff or padding. My beat is technology. This is what independent journalism looks like. Click to read Tim Culpan’s Position, a Substack publication.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Oh, Intel. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...
open.substack.com
The Value of Intel's Board in Two Charts
[Opinion] With CEO Pat Gelsinger gone, everyone's taking shots at Intel's board. Here are the only numbers that matter
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
China has made great strides in chipmaking equipment. Yet the gap to self-sufficiency is widening. Here’s why. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...
open.substack.com
China's Chip Self-Sufficiency in One Chart
[Opinion] It's true that the nation has become more adept at making gear which is used to make chips. But this chart puts that development in context
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Martial Law declared by South Korea’s President aje.io/xidzxp
aje.io
South Korea’s president declares emergency martial law
While declaring the martial law, President Yoon accused opposition of anti-state activities.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Gelsinger’s CHIPS Act deal put it down a dangerous path. Now he’s out, and then what .. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...
open.substack.com
Gelsinger Was it. Intel Has no Plan B
[Opinion] His strategy was a Hail Mary, but Pat’s last big act has Intel repeating AMD’s mistake of 15 years ago.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Time to play another game of Rumor Mill bingo.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Tariffs aren’t always a bad idea. In this case they are. I give two solid examples to illustrate the point. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...
open.substack.com
Trump Tariffs Will Help Big Business, Hurt Small. Here's How
[Opinion] Big businesses have the heft and reach to switch up their supply chains. Mom-and-pop shops will be the pawns in this game of geopolitical chicken
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Taiwan just got shaken by a solid earthquake. Likely minimal damage, but let’s see.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
Trump’s announcement of 25% tariffs on Mexico & Canada are a huge surprise. My analysis shows that tariffs *can* work if done right. But I also show where this current approach will cause damage and undo attempts to create jobs. Details in my next newsletter timculpan.substack.com/subscribe?ut...
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
Trump, Taiwan and Tomorrow. Vickie Wang shares a perspective which we can all hope the new President might consider www.nytimes.com/2024/11/24/o...
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
US internet FANGs are looking sharp. Huge contrast to the BATs of China open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...
open.substack.com
FANGs v BATs in One Bite
[Opinion] A big takeaway from this earnings season is the disparity between US and Chinese OG internet companies
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Prediction: Ronny Chieng will host the Oscars within the next decade.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Like I said. Great numbers 👍 Weak-ish outlook 👎 Stock fell
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Nvidia’s earnings later today have something for everyone, bulls & bears. Gonna be fun.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
The future of American semiconductor strength may depend on a lawsuit filed by a white woman in California. Every Wednesday I explain the intersection of tech, trade and policy. Sign up now to learn why this one case is so important. Published tomorrow. Don’t miss it. tculpan.substack.com
tculpan.substack.com
Tim Culpan | Substack
Technology Columnist. 25-year resident of Taipei. Opinions mine, but we can share. Specialties are chips, tech supply chain, Taiwan/China. Also AI, social media, cyber.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 16/11/2024
Who will be the White House Lettuce? I don’t imagine many will last the entire Trump term. Whoever departs first is the Trump Lettuce. -Elon -Vivek -Tulsi -Gaetz -Hegseth -Rubio -other?
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
You know that feeling when you wake up in the morning with $1m in the bank and think “but I’m still not happy!” .. Nah. Me neither.
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
Nintendo had a great few years, but is running of steam as Switch nears the end of its lifecycle. Here's a quick look at how Nintendo is placed against Sony. timculpan.substack.com/p/sony-vs-ni...
timculpan.substack.com
Sony vs Nintendo in Two Charts
[Opinion] Nintendo is falling behind Sony after a few solid years. Next year will be crucial to the family of Zelda and Mario
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
The World’s Biggest VC is One of the Worst Great vision. Execution, not so much. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...
open.substack.com
The World's Biggest VC is One of the Worst
[Opinion] SoftBank Vision Fund is underperforming the S&P 500. A big bet on Sam Altman's OpenAI won't change that
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
ChatGPT has gleaned that I’m a leftie with a 3D Printer
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Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 31/08/2024
I’m back. What did I miss?
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