Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 28/02/2026www.culpium.com/p/tsmcs-n2-n...culpium.comTSMC's N2 Node is Almost Booked Out for the Next Two Years[Exclusive] Clients are being asked to finalize their requirements into mid 2027, with larger customers already booking capacity over the next two to three years. 040
Reposted by Tim CulpanTechmeme @techmeme.com · 28/02/2026Sources: TSMC urges clients to apply for N2 production allocation as far out as Q2 2027, with large capacity allotments nearly sold out for the next two years (Tim Culpan/Culpium) Main Link | Techmeme Permalink 031
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 16/10/2025It costs AI players around $50bn to build each gigawatt of AI capacity, TSMC CEO CC Wei said Thursday. Wei declined to say how much of that flows to TSMC. 162
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 17/07/2025TSMC just posted revenue & operating profit which beat guidance. What's impressive is that gross margin came in near top of guidance, despite a strengthening Taiwan dollar. (1% stronger TWD = 0.4% weaker gross margin). GM was hit by about 280bps due to forex, management told investors Thursday. 262
Reposted by Tim CulpanVerified Account Tracker @verified.evil.gay · 01/07/2025✅ @tculpan.bsky.social has been verified by @bsky.app. 011
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 17/06/2025Note to Donald Trump It really doesn’t take much. Just sayin’ Start Your Own Smartphone Company for $1,000 By @tculpan (10 years ago) www.bloomberg.com/news/article...bloomberg.comStart Your Own Smartphone Company for $1,000Walk through a metal gate, sidestep a pile of boxes, take an elevator to a floor of serviced offices and enter the latest battleground for Samsung Electronics Co. 010
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 11/06/2025Just in: Taiwan was just hit by a big quake. This alert, sent by phone, arrived 30-45sec before the tremor hit northern Taiwan. Our alert system really worked. 262
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 04/06/2025Never forget that there’s “nothing to remember” about this day 162
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 15/04/2025You should not be surprised when TSMC trims its full-year sector forecast this Thursday at its 1Q earnings event. culpium.com 242
Reposted by Tim CulpanBoo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 03/04/2025My schadenfreude for the day is that Bitcoin's down basically as much as the NASDAQ, and if Bitcoin did what its fans said it did it would be the opposite. 182520417
Reposted by Tim CulpanU.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission @cpsc.gov · 03/04/2025#WARNING: @cpsc.gov warns consumers to immediately stop using INSE Cordless Stick Vacuums models S6P Pro and S6T due to fire and burn hazards; risk of serious injury and death; sold on amazon.com. Full warning: cpsc.gov/Warnings/202... 49131
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/04/2025Trump’s new income tax policy: How much you spent / How much your earned See! Policy is easy. 020
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/04/2025Thomas Friedman saw only what Beijing wanted him to see. It wasn’t the future. 163
Reposted by Tim CulpanThe Editorial Board @editorialboard.bsky.social · 27/03/2025When apparent agents of the state do not identify themselves and do not declare the authority by which they are acting—“This is the XYZ police and you are under arrest”—they are, by definition, secret police. 412563
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 10/02/2025The US-Taiwan semiconductor relationship has changed drastically. I was surprised by what the data showed me. The implications for the US are profound www.culpium.com/p/how-a-tsmc...culpium.comHow a TSMC Tax Would be a FAFO Move for the US[Opinion] The US could impose a tax on Taiwanese chips. But it would hurt the very companies Trump used to bolster his tech credentials. 053
Reposted by Tim CulpanPierre-Yves Baubry 博磊 @pybaubry.bsky.social · 07/02/2025"The US doesn’t have the capacity to manufacture anywhere near a similar volume of equivalent devices. It would take months, if not years, to build the factories, spin up the tools, and then go through the qualification process", @tculpan.bsky.social writes.open.substack.comHow a TSMC Tax Would be a FAFO Move for the US[Opinion] The US could impose a tax on Taiwanese chips. But it would hurt the very companies Trump used to bolster his tech credentials. 051
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 06/02/2025To a dog, the carrot & the stick have opposite roles. 150
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/02/2025 There’s a better way to look at Deepseek www.culpium.com/p/deepseek-i... 000
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 27/01/2025Taiwan’s KMT vehemently opposes abolishing the death penalty. A matter of principle, which I understand but don’t agree with. I wonder whether the party vehemently opposes employing it for treason 🙄 newbloommag.net/2025/01/27/r...newbloommag.netVeterans Detained Over Paramilitary Plot to Sabotage Government in Wartime | New Bloom MagazineA former lieutenant general, Kao An-kuo, and five other associates were indicted earlier this month for efforts to form a paramilitary organization that would act to sabotage the Taiwanese government… 161
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 17/01/2025Huh? What? Getting heaps of LinkedIn connection requests from accounts like this recently. Microsoft can’t seem to contain the spread. 000
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 09/01/2025Hey there. Did you just lose access to your Big Media newsletter, and now they want your credit card? Sign up here for something better. Get a weekly dose of Culpium. Free. www.culpium.comculpium.comCulpium, by Tim Culpan | SubstackCulpium: noun [U] — a cure for lack of knowledge, understanding or clarity. *taken by those seeking to improve comprehension of technology, semiconductors, and supply chains especially in Asia. *See y... 140
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 18/12/2024I’ll soon be publishing my last piece for the year. It’s a surprising take on the most important tech stories of the year. Definitely on-brand for those who know me, but counterintuitive. Sign up now to make sure it lands in your inbox open.substack.com/pub/timculpanopen.substack.comTim Culpan’s Position | SubstackAnalysis-based opinion & exclusive news. No fluff or padding. My beat is technology. This is what independent journalism looks like. Click to read Tim Culpan’s Position, a Substack publication. 020
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 13/12/2024Oh, Intel. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...open.substack.comThe Value of Intel's Board in Two Charts[Opinion] With CEO Pat Gelsinger gone, everyone's taking shots at Intel's board. Here are the only numbers that matter 010
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 06/12/2024China has made great strides in chipmaking equipment. Yet the gap to self-sufficiency is widening. Here’s why. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...open.substack.comChina's Chip Self-Sufficiency in One Chart[Opinion] It's true that the nation has become more adept at making gear which is used to make chips. But this chart puts that development in context 0113
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/12/2024Martial Law declared by South Korea’s President aje.io/xidzxpaje.ioSouth Korea’s president declares emergency martial lawWhile declaring the martial law, President Yoon accused opposition of anti-state activities. 020
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 03/12/2024 Gelsinger’s CHIPS Act deal put it down a dangerous path. Now he’s out, and then what .. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...open.substack.comGelsinger Was it. Intel Has no Plan B[Opinion] His strategy was a Hail Mary, but Pat’s last big act has Intel repeating AMD’s mistake of 15 years ago. 000
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 28/11/2024Tariffs aren’t always a bad idea. In this case they are. I give two solid examples to illustrate the point. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...open.substack.comTrump Tariffs Will Help Big Business, Hurt Small. Here's How[Opinion] Big businesses have the heft and reach to switch up their supply chains. Mom-and-pop shops will be the pawns in this game of geopolitical chicken 020
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 27/11/2024Taiwan just got shaken by a solid earthquake. Likely minimal damage, but let’s see. 170
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 26/11/2024Trump’s announcement of 25% tariffs on Mexico & Canada are a huge surprise. My analysis shows that tariffs *can* work if done right. But I also show where this current approach will cause damage and undo attempts to create jobs. Details in my next newsletter timculpan.substack.com/subscribe?ut... 000
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 25/11/2024Trump, Taiwan and Tomorrow. Vickie Wang shares a perspective which we can all hope the new President might consider www.nytimes.com/2024/11/24/o... 030
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 22/11/2024US internet FANGs are looking sharp. Huge contrast to the BATs of China open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...open.substack.comFANGs v BATs in One Bite[Opinion] A big takeaway from this earnings season is the disparity between US and Chinese OG internet companies 011
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 22/11/2024Prediction: Ronny Chieng will host the Oscars within the next decade. 020
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024Like I said. Great numbers 👍 Weak-ish outlook 👎 Stock fell 010
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 20/11/2024Nvidia’s earnings later today have something for everyone, bulls & bears. Gonna be fun. 000
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 19/11/2024The future of American semiconductor strength may depend on a lawsuit filed by a white woman in California. Every Wednesday I explain the intersection of tech, trade and policy. Sign up now to learn why this one case is so important. Published tomorrow. Don’t miss it. tculpan.substack.comtculpan.substack.comTim Culpan | SubstackTechnology Columnist. 25-year resident of Taipei. Opinions mine, but we can share. Specialties are chips, tech supply chain, Taiwan/China. Also AI, social media, cyber. 022
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 16/11/2024Who will be the White House Lettuce? I don’t imagine many will last the entire Trump term. Whoever departs first is the Trump Lettuce. -Elon -Vivek -Tulsi -Gaetz -Hegseth -Rubio -other? 030
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 15/11/2024You know that feeling when you wake up in the morning with $1m in the bank and think “but I’m still not happy!” .. Nah. Me neither. 120
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 15/11/2024Nintendo had a great few years, but is running of steam as Switch nears the end of its lifecycle. Here's a quick look at how Nintendo is placed against Sony. timculpan.substack.com/p/sony-vs-ni...timculpan.substack.comSony vs Nintendo in Two Charts[Opinion] Nintendo is falling behind Sony after a few solid years. Next year will be crucial to the family of Zelda and Mario 010
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 13/11/2024The World’s Biggest VC is One of the Worst Great vision. Execution, not so much. open.substack.com/pub/timculpa...open.substack.comThe World's Biggest VC is One of the Worst[Opinion] SoftBank Vision Fund is underperforming the S&P 500. A big bet on Sam Altman's OpenAI won't change that 000
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 12/11/2024ChatGPT has gleaned that I’m a leftie with a 3D Printer 030
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 12/10/2023Foxconn founder Terry Gou is still running for Taiwan president. He has enough signatures to get on the Jan. 16 ballot. His spokesman just told me that, one way or another, Gou will see it through to the end. In other words, on his own ticket or on someone else’s 120
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 11/10/2023I know the world (ie. the US) is paranoid about China’s chip sector. Fair enough. But there is another important sector that deserves scrutiny. US & European leaders need to keep watch www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/…bloomberg.comThere Is a Bigger Threat to US Trade Than Chinese ChipsThe focus on semiconductors risks taking attention away from America’s crucial aerospace sector. 020
Tim Culpan @tculpan.bsky.social · 05/05/2023*THE WHO SAYS THE COVID-19 GLOBAL HEALTH EMERGENCY IS OVER 000
Reposted by Tim Culpanjasmine sun @jasmine.bsky.social · 28/04/2023hot take i fuckin hate voice memos. texting is for MULTITASKING when i am in a MEETING or crossing the STREET and i can’t do that if you send me audio!!! 1101
Reposted by Tim CulpanJay 🦋 @jay.bsky.team · 25/04/2023jack doesn’t have unilateral power. he has 1/3 influence on the board. i’m the CEO besides, jack is truly dedicated to seeing through decentralized social, whether it’s web5, us, nostr, or w/e. i have the most control over this endeavor, and i’m grateful for everyone who’s trusted me with it. 3659296