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True energy security doesn’t come from choosing a “better” gas supplier. It comes from needing less gas at all: ✔️ faster renewables deployment ✔️ electrification and grid expansion ✔️ energy efficiency ✔️ serious monitoring of supplier concentration 📄 Full report: Europe’s Selective Blindness on Gas

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In the current political landscape, especially under US 'energy dominance', Energy is no longer just a commodity. It’s a geopolitical tool. Recent debates linking LNG supply to EU climate and trade policies show how dependence on a dominant supplier turns into leverage—and lock‑in.

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EU legislation effectively treats “non‑Russian” gas as diversified. But importing a majority of gas from any single country—ally or not—creates risks: • price volatility • higher costs • geopolitical pressure That’s not real energy security.

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Between 2019 and 2025, EU gas imports from Russia fell by more than 80%. At the same time, US LNG imports to Europe increased nearly six‑fold. When Norway is treated as part of Europe’s energy system, over 59% of Europe’s LNG now comes from the US.

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Europe says it has diversified away from Russian gas. But the data tells a different story. A new analysis @piria.bsky.social Raffaele Piria, Hannah Lentschig, Louise van Schaik and I just published shows the EU has largely swapped one dependency for another—from Russia to the US. 🧵⬇️

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It is certainly a pleasure to read your own text in Spanish, and an honor to be part of such a publication in an outlet with a century long history! @nupinytt.bsky.social @masarykuniversity.bsky.social

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and @tevameyer.bsky.social on dependencies in the uranium supply chain

The issue, bringing together analysts, but also pronuclear policymakers & lobbyists, had - in my view - an overly optimistic tone. So I hoped to add a pinch of salt (or more) There are also more sober voices on board, e.g. @marcosiddi.bsky.social on the geopolitical dangers posed by #ROSATOM...

In the new issue of @lavanguardia.com Vanguardia Dossier Jan Osicka & I are questioning the possibility of a nuclear renaissance given the systemic & structural problems of the☢️industry even if the political atmosphere around it has visibly changed recently "La nueva era atómica" lnkd.in/eTcJcN4a

Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 06/01/2026

🔊 Submit papers & panels by Jan 9 to one of our sections at @ecpr.bsky.social Gen Conf in Krakow: 🍃 Climate policy: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... 💹 Geoeconomics and economic statecraft ecpr.eu/Events/Event... 🛢️ Everything else energy policy, politics & governance ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 20/11/2025

What does Norway bring to Europe’s green shift? What challenges does EU regulation bring for Norway? Join us for an insightful webinar with DG CLIMA! 📅 Date: 28 November, 13:30-15:00 CET 🔗 Register here: nupinytt.wufoo.com/forms/m13a3y... #EnergyTransition #GreenDeal #Norway #ClimatePolicy

nupi.no

Webinar: Europe’s Green Transition: Norway’s Role, Promises and Challenges | NUPI

This webinar brings together experts and policymakers to explore Norway’s evolving partnership with the EU in shaping a sustainable future.

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 02/06/2025

In February 2024, we argued that a second wave of #populism looms over Western democracies, that it can be "wrested from power but not entirely dispelled". Yesterday's presidential election results in #Poland illustrate this. Liberals in PL & elsewhere must get their act together quickly

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 28/03/2025

I was invited to comment on the Victoria Harms' long awaited monograph on the East-West network of independent activists and intellectuals during the Cold War. Join us today (Friday) for an online panel!

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Reposted by Kacper Szulecki

Review of Democracy @revdem2020.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

Mark your calendar for the next session of our Book of the Month series, co-organized with @ceureviewofbooks.bsky.social! 🗓️ March 28, 6pm 🔴🎥 Live on YouTube 🗣️ Victoria Harms 🗣️ @szulecki.bsky.social 🗣️ Szabolcs Laszlo 🗣️ Adrian Matus Details: 👉 tinyurl.com/4n55efuw

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Reposted by Kacper Szulecki

GreenDeal-NET @greendealnet.eu · 26/02/2025

📢Principal Investigator on Just Decarbonization @ulbruxelles.bsky.social & VUB seek a researcher for a 5-year postdoc in Brussels, exploring justice in decarbonization. Lead research, collaborate across disciplines & mentor PhDs 📑 Full-time, start April 2025 ⏰ Apply by 1 March Details & apply 👇

greendealnet.eu

Vacancy: Principal Investigator on Just Decarbonization | GreenDeal-NET

Apply for a five-year postdoc opportunity in Just Decarbonization at ULB and VUB under the SWIFT initiative, focusing on socio-ecological justice and policy impact

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

"EUs ferske forslag om flere utenlandskabler i Nordsjøen vil sette sinnene i kok blant mange norske politikere og velgere" Med @atgullberg.bsky.social skriver vi om dagens beslutning om å styrke EUs energiunion i @dagensnaeringsliv.bsky.social www.dn.no/innlegg/ener... @nupinytt.bsky.social

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

W @wyborcza.pl o niedawnym przetasowaniu w norweskim rządzie i zarażeniu debaty publicznej bakcylem populizmu. [Ten stukrotny wzrost cen prądu był chwilowy i miejscowy, ale widać redakcja uznała, że się kliknie...] wyborcza.pl/7,75399,3168...

wyborcza.pl

Bo prąd za drogi. Norwegia awanturuje się z UE i zmierza ku populizmowi

W niektórych częściach Norwegii ceny prądu wzrosły nawet stukrotnie. Norwescy politycy zwalają winę na umowy z UE - pisze Kacper Szulecki*.

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

I'm not an expert in defense and security, not sure which of the minarals Norway has and specifically thoise that we cover in the report are relevant for the defense industry. For me the tradeoff is more between the global goal of protecting the climate and local environmental concerns

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🌱 The report makes a number of concrete policy recommendations, including stronger policy coordination, increased funding for innovation, and streamlined regulations. Only then can the EU-Norway Green Alliance achieve its ambitious goals. #PolicyRecommendations #GreenFuture

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🏗️ Critical minerals are essential for green tech, and Norway has vast resources, but mining policies are not keeping up and societal opposition will hold it back. Red tape and local environmental opposition slow down development, and the global importance is not highlighted #CriticalMinerals

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🔋 Norway’s potential in the battery industry is significant, yet underutilized. The lack of a cohesive national strategy and insufficient investment in R&D are major roadblocks and we are already seen the flight of companies because of international competition #BatteryIndustry #Innovation

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🌍 The EU-Norway Green Alliance aims high, but faces significant challenges. Regulatory misalignment and differing priorities between the EU and Norway hinder progress in the critical minerals and battery sectors. #GreenAlliance #Sustainability

Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 09/12/2024

Finally out: our report on the feasibility and prospects of the EU-Norway #Green Alliance Link below, summary 🧵follows: www.nupi.no/en/publications/cristin-pub/eu-norway-green-alliance-between-vision-and-reality-exploring-the-potential-and-barriers-in-the-critical-minerals-and-battery-sectors

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@nupinytt.bsky.social is moving - we have now (almost) settled in at Rosenkrantz gate in Oslo

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Open Letter to the European Commission: Strengthening Social Science-Focused Energy Research in Horizon Europe

Read the Open Letter on our @ecpr.bsky.social website: ecpr.eu/news/news/de... See the full list of signatories and support the letter: docs.google.com/spreadsheets... /end

ecpr.eu

European Consortium for Political Research

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🏛️ The STRN and Energy-PPG networks represent thousands of researchers advocating for the integration of SSH in energy research to achieve a sustainable and just future. The letter was signed by over 300 researchers from 35 countries #ResearchCommunity #Sustainability #EuropeanGreenDeal

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🌍 “The most important scientific body related to climate change research – the IPCC – has recently turned more to the social sciences, beyond economics,” notes Prof. Caroline Kuzemko, co-chair of Energy-PPG. #ClimateScience #SocialSciences @ipcc.bsky.social

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🌱 “Systemic changes require social as well as technical changes, and they are deeply intertwined,” explains STRN's Dr. Florian Kern #TransitionStudies #EnergyPolicy #JustTransition

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🤝 The letter calls for dedicated SSH research calls in future programs to support the European Green Deal. Endorsed by major research networks, it aims to integrate SSH into energy and decarbonization research. #EUResearch #SustainableFuture

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🔍 Key points include addressing political feasibility, accelerating transition processes, ensuring a just transition, informing industrial policy, enhancing public engagement, and considering ethical implications. #ClimateAction #Research

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📝 The open letter highlights the critical role of social sciences in achieving the European Green Deal’s goals, emphasizing the need for systemic changes that are both social and technical. #GreenDeal #SocialSciences

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@ecpr.bsky.social Energy Politics, Policy & Governance (Energy-PPG) research network, Sustainability Transitions Research Network (STRN) & European Roundtable on Sustainable Consumption & Production (ERSCP) urge @ec.europa.eu to enhance support for social science energy research in Horizon Europe

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 16/02/2024

🌍 “Open Letter to the European Commission: Strengthening Social Science-Focused Energy Research in Horizon Europe” issued by three major research networks: the European Green Deal needs social science research to succeed! #EnergyResearch #HorizonEurope #ClimateAction #SocialScience

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I am aware of all that, what I am trying to say is that we don't need to assume farmers' views switched, it's just as likely that the proclimate ones, who also benefit from the Energiewende, and the ones protesting and supporting AfD are simply different people being mobilized by different messages

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They don't necessarily have to be the same individuals. When 100 000 protest, 87 900 000 stay home.

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I'm not an expert, my wife worked for a couple of years in a research project on waste management, so I mostly had stories about things that do not work. You aren't the 1st person to have this opinion, but in general, Norwegians (and outsiders) see NO as greener than it really is, so I wonder

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It leads to losing important nutrients on the one hand and on the other - incentivizes high levels of waste, not food waste reduction. In fact, to run the biogas plant, Oslo has to import waste from Sweden, reducing food waste which should be the goal will make the Oslo biogas supply chain obsolete.

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What I know is that Norway doe snot have plastic recycling facilities so it has to export that to German facilities (wonder about the carbon footprint of that). Secondly, converting waste to energy is pretty low on the waste use pyramid. Take Oslo's biowaste scheme. 2/3

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ok, I don't know the numbers to compare with the rest of the developed world, a bottle deposit scheme is not something special, and Norwegian plastic bottles are not multi-use, like in Germany, but just recyclable for PET. 1/3

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 14/02/2024

out of curiosity, when you say that Norway has one of the most efficient management and recycling systems, what do you mean and what is this based on? I am not completely challenging this view, but we might also remember that Norway has very high per capita waste rates, even by OECD standards.

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IRA is probably one policy that Trump will not touch because of the industrial benefits, so I am not sure the US will be out of the race. It might be out of the UNFCCC process, but this could prove more problematic for the rest of the world.

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Kacper Szulecki @szulecki.bsky.social · 14/02/2024

But onshore does not have to be developed in Finnmark (only). The biggest anti-wind lobby is secondary home/cabin owners using 'nature' as shorthand for their esthetic interest. If we had cabins on the continental shelf, like Sponge Bob, we would phase out oil and gas production by 2030