iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 13/08/2025

Really excited to share that my new article, co written with @DebreMaria.bsky.social, “Developing best practices “against terrorists who protest:” Regionam organisations as learning clubs for autocracies” is out with @CSP_journal.

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 09/08/2025

Was great to speak today to @BBCNews & hey the promotion came as a surprise!!

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

So looking forward to networking & presenting. One presentation on the end of the Russian authoritarian gravity centre. The second on cognitive biases as a cause of Russia’s war on Ukraine. Already met my good friend Rasa Karmauskaite. So excited!

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Reposted by StephengfHall

SAINT JAVELIN @saintjavelin.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

Holy shit Ukraine's SBU security service now says it has attacked the Kerch bridge in occupied Crimea in a months-long operation. It says SBU agents "mined the supports" of the bridge with 1,100kg of TNT under the water line and detonated it this morning.

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 14/05/2025

Great to see my article in @engelsbergideas.bsky.social. For too long 🇪🇺 has feared 🇷🇺 instability. Rather, it should fear the stability of the Kremlin. 🇷🇺 under Putin has shown itself to be a revisionist power that requires the West as an enemy & 🇺🇦 as a conquest.

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 11/05/2025

Having seen Starmer, Macron Tusk meet with Zelensky agree on a 30 day ceasefire and then call Trump to confirm it. Putin holds an early morning presser & completely ignores the 30 day ceasefire & proclaims new talks on solving “fundamentals of the conflict.”

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

Looking forward to present ‘Russia Reality Check: How to Destabilise the Kremlin.’ To discuss the report’s call for a bold, proactive strategy to counter 🇷🇺 influence and challenge the Kremlin’s hybrid warfare, I’ll be joined by @khodorkovsky_en, Ksenia Maximova, from @rusdemsoc & @WillForster.

henryjacksonsociety.org

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 28/02/2025

My new piece in the @thehill @TheHillOpinion on how it would be a terrible idea to reward 🇷🇺 with changing Western security architecture & giving 🇷🇺 a seat @ the table. This would be Putin’s dream & would show that the West is weak & that taking territory & engaging in war crimes

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Honoured to have contributed to this piece by @OrosovaEliska @iROZHLAScz. NATO would still be the best option for 🇺🇦, but now Trump has taken it off the table (for now) 🇪🇺 needs to do more. Rearmament & continued support for 🇺🇦 is crucial.

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 06/02/2025

Pleased to say that my new piece for @ConversationUK is out analysing how Lukashenka held onto power after exiling & jailing his opponents. Like many other things 🇺🇦 coming out of the war well will have an affect on 🇧🇾, hopefully for the better: theconversation.com/belarus-elec...

theconversation.com

Belarus election: how ‘Europe’s last dictator’ held onto power as his opponents were jailed or exiled

The Belarus president has been elected to serve a seventh term of office with 87% of the vote.

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 01/02/2025

Honoured to have written a piece in the first issue of the Belarusian Analytical Digest! @CSS_ETHZurich. I look at how the regime has developed since the 2020 protests and how the regime ensured the 2025 elections were a foregone conclusion. Link 👇 css.ethz.ch/content/dam/...

css.ethz.ch

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 03/01/2025

Spoke with @RachelSJohnson @LBC about @Jeremy_Hunt’s statement about sending 🇪🇺troops to🇺🇦 on a demilitarised zone. Great idea but unlikely to be accepted by 🇷🇺. We discussed whether Trump can solve the war in 24 hours. Spoiler: he won’t unless he gives 🇺🇦 to 🇷🇺.

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 27/12/2024

Two days after 🇷🇺 fires @ an 🇦🇿 plane causing it to crash & killing many onboard the 🇷🇺 air defence forces post a video shooting down 🎅 for New Year saying “we don’t need anything foreign in our skies.” @RT_com is the state media company behind this sick joke!

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 08/12/2024

Spoke to @gordonsmart @bbc5live about 🇷🇺 & 🇸🇾. Assad has disappeared & he may appear in 🇷🇺 but it is unlikely 🇷🇺 will try to form a rump Assad 🇸🇾 on the Mediterranean. Having spent an estimated $2.5 million daily over 9 years 🇷🇺 to support Assad & had to save him twice

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

My new piece with my excellent colleague David Galbreath @PoLIS_Bath for @ConversationUK on Sergei Karaganov’s statements about how pushing NATO back to its 1997 borders is domestic signalling that 🇷🇺 is tough & to the west a trial ballon on talks theconversation.com/tough-talk-o...

theconversation.com

Tough talk on Nato from Putin and his proxies may hide a willingness to compromise

Recent messages coming out of Moscow have been tough, but the Russian president may be hoping to use rhetoric to encourage disunity within Nato.

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 10/10/2024

Following on: 🇷🇺 may arm the Houthis. Likely 🇮🇷 has money trouble & needs support, but so is 🇷🇺. Then onto Kaliningrad. 🇱🇹 is right to be worried but I don’t think 🇷🇺 will attack 🇱🇹 & all of NATO soon. Rather for now @ least Kaliningrad distracts 🇱🇹 &🇵🇱 from supporting 🇺🇦. These are all my musings.

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StephengfHall @stephengfhall.bsky.social · 10/10/2024

Today was a media day on the 🇷🇺 opposition uniting. Short answer is no & I’m far more pessimistic then previously. I spoke about Putin meeting Pezeshkian & what it means. Maybe 🇷🇺 will support H & H, call for a 🇵🇸 state, but probably won’t fearing 🇮🇱 will support 🇺🇦.

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