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Christopher Peters

@statwonk.bsky.social
952 followers 1.2K following 528 posts

statwonk.com, Dad, Partner. Statistician-Econometrician-Engineer. AI Developer. Decision theory. Game theory. #autisticpride #9 at Zapier, first DS

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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
One data point does not a trend make— see the fields of statistics and econometrics.
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
Kalshi shows Roberts SC ruling hurt the Dems by 10 points in November! Super political! kalshi.com/markets/cont...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
Of course, Roberts is a political actor. Look how his ruling damaged Dem chances by 10 points and helped GOP chances in the midterms this November! kalshi.com/markets/cont...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
I’ve been exploring multi-agent orchestration and built a prototype called Org: an agent swarm that takes a goal, uses context if needed, and lets specialized agents work together. More: statwonk.com/multi-agent-... What would you want to see in it?
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
> How long do major Strait of Hormuz disruptions last? I fit an exponential duration model to 5 episodes going back to 1981, then extended it with a mixture model calibrated from 11 tariff escalation / de-escalation decisions (to incorporate the chance of reversal). statwonk.com/hormuz-durat...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
Of course, men can get pregnant. Males no, men yes. 🌟 Examples aren’t hard to find.
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Remember when Hassett offered a cubic model that suggested covid would be over by mid-May 2020? painepublishing.com/blog/kevin-h...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 02/08/2025
That’s a fluctuation around a declining trend. Also, tariffs aren’t controllable by monetary policy. Plus, real interest rates have risen. fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAU...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Fun birthday times w @gentryhanks.bsky.social 🥳 in Amsterdam / Rotterdam / Utrecht, Prague 🛴, Rathen, 🚊 Berlin, Copenhagen, Tisvilde, Dragør and Malmö! ✌️ Now home to Michigan. ☺️✋
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
USD is down 8-9% against the Yen and Euro so far this year.
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
I wonder why 5 yr TIPS rose today? www.cnbc.com/quotes/US5YT...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 23/03/2025
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Xi continues to be a poor economist, much better at self-aggrandizement.
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
> Office CMBS Delinquency Rate Spikes to a Record 11%, Blowing by the Financial Crisis Peak Consistent with remote work being more profitable than office work. wolfstreet.com/2024/12/31/o...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
Boeing should replace the accountants and MBAs on its Board of Directors / CEO with reliability statisticians. I don’t think they respect education or flyers that much, though. statwonk.com/are-boeing-p...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
How Georgia begs for pets. 😆
A calico cat lies on its back with its paws in the air, asking to be pet.
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
It’s interesting how starter packs create a more connected / denser network— a more innovative network. pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
The value of getting rid of a bad CEO in part,
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
Nom 😋
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Christopher Peters @statwonk.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
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