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Soumaya Keynes

@soumayakeynes.ft.com
31K followers 1K following 1K posts

Author of "How to Win a Trade War" FT econ columnist Host of The Economics Show w/ Soumaya Keynes podcast Singer-songwriter www.instagram.com/soumayakeynes/?hl… and bit.ly/2Z6gvjp

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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 02/10/2026
How is AI changing the nature of economic research? And how should we think about the stuff being put out by the AI labs? New episode of The Economics Show with Soumaya Keynes, feat. @AraKharazian.bsky.social (Ramp), @Peter-McCrory.bsky.social (Anthropic) and @JBurnMurdoch.ft.com pod.fo/e/67c394
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 24/09/2026
Thinking about the end of the world? Check your biases. My FT column this week: www.ft.com/content/9d11...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 23/09/2026
Eyyyyy How to Win a Trade War got shortlisted for the SABEW Best in Business Book Awards!! sabew.org/2026/09/shor...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 19/09/2026
Immigrants must earn more to be net fiscal contributors in the UK vs elsewhere New piece by @jburnmurdoch.ft.com based on research by @usama-polani.bsky.social as.ft.com/r/832fb4d5-e...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 08/09/2026
*VERY* excited to say that I'll be speaking and performing at Kilkenomics this coming November, the one and only economics + comedy festival. Full schedule here: kilkenomics.com/2026-schedule/
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 07/09/2026
Blown away by this amazing (and brilliantly written) review of How to Win a Trade War, from Emily Blanchard of the Tuck School of Business. Excerpts below, and they've made the whole thing open-access: doi.org/10.1017/S147...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 04/09/2026
As the Chinese invest in chipmaking capacity, are they simply copying the playbook deployed by the Japanese and Koreans years earlier? On The Economics Show with Soumaya Keynes, Dan Kim (TechInsights) says this time is different Listen: pod.fo/e/5cf69a Transcript: www.ft.com/content/a467...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 04/09/2026
New episode of The Economics Show, in which I quiz Dan Kim of TechInsights on the causes and consequences of the intense shortage of memory chips. Listen: pod.fo/e/5cf69a Transcript: www.ft.com/content/a467...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 03/09/2026
When is an economist not an economist? Do I count? My @FT column this week explores... www.ft.com/content/89f0...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/08/2026
When planning this podcast, which I recorded with Torsten Slok immediately after Jackson Hole, I knew there was a bit of a risk. Would he say *nothing*? Luckily, as Torsten so clearly explained, it turned out okay... Listen: pod.fo/e/599703 Read the transcript: www.ft.com/content/44f9...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/08/2026
Also chains >> non-chains "The standardized curricula, instructor training requirements, and quality oversight mechanisms embedded in franchise agreements may partly explain why chain centers produce measurable achievement gains while independent tutoring centers do not."
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/08/2026
Interesting new paper by @joshua-goodman.com and Samuel Nitkin on private tutoring - it raises test scores, but because of differences in adoption it also raises inequality in test scores. Full paper here: www.nber.org/papers/w35671
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 30/08/2026
Delighted to have this very nice review from Alan Winters in The World Economy for my book "How to Win a Trade War" with @Chadpbown.com! ...and there is an audio version, though it's just read by me Full review here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 27/08/2026
Recommend reading this @NYTimes.com op-ed from @ChadpBown.com about who really wins from the Trump administration crushing Canada's car industry. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/26/o...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 21/08/2026
"How to Win a Trade War" got recommended as one of the three books in the Ezra Klein Show and my day* is made *week really, but trying to play it cool
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 21/08/2026
The Economist has published @dacemoglumit.bsky.social's response to their critical column and it is spiky www.economist.com/letters/2026...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 11/08/2026
Been enjoying the Rivals TV adaptation and got the book for my holiday reading and uh I guess things were different in the 1980s? (Rupert is in his late 30s)
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 11/08/2026
Where we are in the race to reduce China's dominance in rare earths? Is everyone pulling their weight? hmm. SPECIAL EPISODE of The Economics Show w/ Soumaya Keynes podcast, building on How to Win a Trade War Listen: podfollow.com/economics-show Transcript: www.ft.com/content/44cf...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/07/2026
Struggling to cope with work from home? Maybe your business has a deeper management problem... New episode of The Economics Show with @NickBloom.bsky.social Transcript: www.ft.com/content/17c3... Listen: podfollow.com/economics-show
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/07/2026
my follow-up...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/07/2026
Even if wealth inequality hasn't changed, the relative importance of income and wealth has. Fab column from @JBurnMurdoch.ft.com www.ft.com/content/6a35...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/07/2026
Unless AI execs spread the gains, regulators could come for them... Transcript: www.ft.com/content/17c3... Listen: podfollow.com/economics-show
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/07/2026
Business executives are expecting an uneven distribution of AI-generated productivity gains Transcript: www.ft.com/content/17c3... Listen: podfollow.com/economics-show
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 31/07/2026
Could we be at a productivity inflection point? New episode of The Economics Show with @NickBloom.bsky.social is cautiously optimistic... Transcript: www.ft.com/content/17c3... Listen: podfollow.com/economics-show
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 30/07/2026
I don't want to be mean to the model but uh the residuals are quite large aren't they
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 30/07/2026
High frequency data suggests that China's contribution to global imbalances is growing from IMF External Sector Report
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 30/07/2026
IMF notes that the recent widening in China's external balance has set records
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 30/07/2026
or on a similar-ish scale
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 30/07/2026
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 30/07/2026
China's share of the UK's goods trade flows looks familiar - growing as a share of imports, shrinking as a share of exports. From my column this week, on the UK's exposure to China Shock 2.0. www.ft.com/content/0ed8...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 30/07/2026
How exposed is the UK to China Shock 2.0? My column this week: www.ft.com/content/0ed8...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 27/07/2026
Thanks to @Channel4News for having me on the Fourcast podcast to talk tariffs! www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mj1r...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 27/07/2026
Huge thanks to Paul Krake for a wonderful review of "How to Win a Trade War"! Full review here: viewfromthepeak.substack.com/p/serious-pe...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 24/07/2026
Went on Channel 4's "The Fourcast" podcast to talk tariffs. Obviously brought along a copy of "How to Win a Trade War". Just in case, you know, they wanted a reading. (They didn't.) www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mj1r...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 24/07/2026
"How to Win a Trade War" made it to number 1 in the "Business Economics" Amazon bestsellers list! Very exciting! And if you want the Kindle edition for 99p ***today only*** then here's the link: www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 24/07/2026
China's AI sector has so far emphasised open source models. Could that be about to change? New pod with @kyleichan.bsky.social Links to listen: www.ft.com/content/9f7d... Link to transcript: www.ft.com/content/672a...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 24/07/2026
Is China watching the US and thinking "okay, you go billions and billions of dollars racing for this AGI thing, and we’ll just clean up afterwards and make sure that we get rich actually implementing it?" New podcast alert, with @kyleichan.bsky.social
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 24/07/2026
In celebration of "How to Win a Trade War" being available on Kindle for 99p today, have a song I wrote, called "The UK's trade identity crisis" Kindle deal link here: www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 24/07/2026
data viz is my passion
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 23/07/2026
In light of the tariff news, please enjoy my column this week as.ft.com/r/de901117-6...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 23/07/2026
The Trump administration, just a big bunch of softies caring deeply about workers' rights around the world www.ft.com/content/0782...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 23/07/2026
The working paper also has some interesting charts, eg showing that China faces a particularly large gap between its average statutory tariff rate and the rate actually applied. Working paper link here: www.imf.org/-/media/file...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 23/07/2026
New research suggests an important nuance to the take that tariffs have been paid by Americans... My column this week: www.ft.com/content/7b53... Gift link: as.ft.com/r/bd82d62c-f...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 21/07/2026
"Exactly the book for this moment" Thanks to the Society of Professional Economists for this great review of "How to Win a Trade War"! spe.org.uk/reading-room...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 21/07/2026
what an intro as.ft.com/r/0dc77fc7-1...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 20/07/2026
The new tariffs threatened against imports from Canada don't seem to cover cars / car parts as they're already covered by an earlier section 232 www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 20/07/2026
WHO WOULD DO SUCH A THING?? (The US.)
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 20/07/2026
ah yes that time the Canadians started boycotting American booze for no good reason at all - completely unprovoked - silly, really
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 20/07/2026
"How to Win a Trade War" spotted in the Stansted airport - enjoying that the average buyer seems to be more interested in learning how to take drugs than how to win a trade war, but given the state of the world maybe it's not that surprising
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Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 18/07/2026
Very exciting to see "How to Win a Trade War" given a special spot in Waterstones! "An insightful, accessible and timely explainer of our new economic climate ... [an] informative and frequently very funny guide" Waterstones link (UK): www.waterstones.com/book/how-to-...
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