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Usama_Polani

@usama-polani.bsky.social
709 followers 121 following 80 posts

Stanford Research Scholar @ SIEPR Macro , labour and development

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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
Stanley Fischer— so many contributions but I want to highlight. His speech on need for an international lender of resort which argued for IMF to play that role. Over time as $-funding has become more important, CB swap lines led by the Fed mimic part of that role
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Possibly one dimension of Deepseek/ broader China success tech: -Large share of STEM grads -Increasing rates of MSc and Doctoral students -Growing share of grads in finance as W growth outpaced national but still absolute # of talented STEM grads is large talent reservoir
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
How Chinese Goods ate the world… Throwback to Feenstra et al(1998), examining growing US-China trade deficit back then(!) linking to -Macro forces -China crowding out East Asian imports “By 1995, China has displaced South Korea as one of the top 5 suppliers of "apparel and other textile products"
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
So I will try to use this site with an oversupply of screenshots. This shows how Gov Debt to GDP has evolved for a range of advanced economies, reaching extremely high levels. An increasing share of that extra issuance absorbed by domestic banks, possibly a source of fin repression.
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 31/10/2023
It’s fun posting currently both here and on Twitter as I can easily cope by pretending the low engagement is due to small audiences and declining Twitter engagement as Musk breaks the site down.. Rather than you know,my posts being bad.
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 31/10/2023
This is what happens when you let a true nerd design central bank communication without any guidance from generalists. Or you know the BoJ has no idea how to end this um great experiment in monetary policy
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 30/10/2023
Since Crafts passing every few days I pick another random work of his to read at night before bed. To add to Pseudos predictably good point, I’d add Crafts takes arguments of his opponents seriously & was devastatingly clear where they fell short. Tonight’s reading was a review of Allen & Mokyr
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 09/07/2023
Swiatek-Bencic and Azarenka-Svitolina 3rd sets occurring simultaneously and Djokovic-Hurkacz to follow under the lights. A great day of tennis and overall the best first week of a slam I can remember in some time
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 04/07/2023
In anticipation of (hopefully) becoming a dad one day I’ve started reading ‘The making of the atomic bomb’ so there will be one less thing to do when I have a child
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 04/07/2023
Remember when we used to judge people “selling out”? Millennials have been hit by so many economic shocks that we now seem incapable of holding out celebrities,artists and sports people to any moral standard if it conflicts with $$$$
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 04/07/2023
Looking through the graphs in central bank reports raises a challenge to the concept of ideas being non rivalrous and the fast diffusion of information in our modern era… Some of them clearly have not heard of ggplot2
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 02/07/2023
Very few academic papers have an opening paragraph as engaging as this from Allcott et al(2019) web.stanford.edu/~gentzkow/research…
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 02/07/2023
Starting dates with “I’m only funny through long-form bits developed via repeated interactions.” So they have something to look forward to after 9 years of marriage
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 02/07/2023
If you ever wonder what taking multiple Ls can do to your psyche and future performance just look at the multiple generations of mens tennis players post-Big 4.
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 02/07/2023
It is somewhat bizarre that we haven’t integrated tech into museums more to improve the user experience. Why am I still crowding around people to see the little text box next to the painting, why is that not on an app?? (Lourve gave you a little Nintendo 3DS for €5 to map your journey)
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 02/07/2023
The Fed needs to step in here to create a new lending facility for social media websites that serve as a central hub of expertise and analysis on inflation. (TSLA shares also need to be seen as eligible collateral)
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 01/07/2023
Musk is using an incremental based approach to test how bad does your site have to be to override pre-existing network effects..
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 26/05/2023
New inflation stabilization tool: a way to control the life cycle of durable goods that you’ve purchased Economy running hot: your appliances will last 5 years Economy sinking: everyone’s laptops start overheating
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 26/05/2023
In economics we are very good at identifying which mechanisms are important and then struggle at the more difficult task of ranking how important the various channels are.. It’s harder when it’s about a topic where we live in one closed system and have a few crumbs of relevant historical data.
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 14/05/2023
Just watched last weeks succession episode and that last Shiv and Tom scene was just visceral and hear breaking in the best way. The two tv shows I watch are good. Have no idea what else is on
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 11/05/2023
First alien communication (translated after decades of work): Do you understand the dynamics of this relationship, see attached JPEG??
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 10/05/2023
Love sport photographs.
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 09/05/2023
Nice little box on CRE exposure in the latest Fed FSR www.federalreserve.gov/publications… “Second, CRE property valuations are elevated, and current LTVs could rise considerably if CRE property valuations were to fall .”
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 09/05/2023
This is the last safe refuge from suits guy, may we continue to live in fashion ignorance
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 06/05/2023
All central banks quickly updating their nice charts on monetary policy transmission to add the rediscovered channel of sporadic bank runs
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Usama_Polani @usama-polani.bsky.social · 06/05/2023
I just learnt on this day of new kings that the original king has finally dropped Micro Foundations II! And I’m past prelims and am not going to be a micro-theorist but still very tempted to buy this and spend the summer flicking through it
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