iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

#CHRNCL It is not clear that the problem has a solution. In fact, as more and more of our economic and cultural activities depends on the sharing of data, it is likely that the use of information for personal advantage will increase. Laws to prohibit this have never been very effective.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

#SCIX When you go to a McDonald's now and order at the drive-through, you are talking to their new AI ordering system. According to McDonald's, the AI understands a higher percentage of orders than the human employees that it replaced. (They have been assigned to other jobs inside the restaurant.)

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

#CHRNCL In poker, "insider information" would be knowledge of the other players' cards and would be cheating. But in a prediction market, "insider information" is simply knowledge of the world. A society may decide to keep some information secret, but that is a different sphere of influence.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

#SCIX This depressing video outlines a few of the most frightening things that experts think could go wrong with AI. youtu.be/FLcrvMfHUJM?...

youtu.be

MIT Explains the 12 Possible Endings for AI

YouTube video by Species | Documenting AGI

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

#CHRNCL There is much more to be said about AI, but this is not the forum for that discussion. If you are interested in going deeper, I would suggest searching "AI" at YouTube. Next: a return to "prediction markets".

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

#SCIX Human language is highly metaphorical. When Model-T Fords began appearing on the roads, a word was needed to describe their power. People chose "horsepower" – because horses were how they got around. But that doesn't mean that a 300 HP engine is the same as a wagon pulled by 300 horses.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

#SCIX Some examples. There already exist chemical and radiological treatments for cancer that would work extremely well if there was a way to deliver them to the tumors. Nanobots piloted by a cohort of AI agents could provide a straightforward way of delivering these medications.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

#SCIX The two most obvious problems mentioned earlier: accidental damage caused by AI agents - and intentional damage caused by people using AI agents. Until the OpenAI event, no one knew that agents could work together in large "swarms". This fact will now be investigated, extended, and put to use.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

#SCIX So, what happened? The first, and probably most important, thing to understand is that we have created a civilization that is completely dependent on computerized information and communication systems. We have built this civilization over the last 30 years without much regard to security.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

#SCIX OpenAI generated 10,000 AI agents and gave each of them a task in order to generate a set of test data. Each agent worked solo and each was provided with a link to the target and access to some downloadable modules.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

#SCIX youtu.be/LYP0lspVLr4?... This new post summarizes the information in the previous post on the OpenAI exploit in simple language in about five minutes. If you found the other ones too technical, this one is pretty easy to understand.

youtu.be

OpenAI’s Hugging Face Hack: The Story You Missed

YouTube video by ML Visualized

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

#SCIX I'm watching Bernie Sanders speak at a "pro human" event. He doesn't seem to connect AI to computers, and yet you can't have AI without a computer system to run it on. So Bernie needs to explain how we're going to get along without all of the electronics that we use every day.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

#SCIX I just heard a media expert say that AI was going to be an issue in the election because of "data centers". But while we need to build more data centers IF we want more AI, current AI works fine with the centers we already have. This is just an example of how even the experts are confused.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

#SCIX Two US politicians introduce the "Killswitch Act" - a proposal that would require all AI to have a button to turn it off. You can already turn off any computer program by simply pulling the plug on the computer. So here you have an example of a way to use the hype for political publicity.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

#SCIX: The OpenAI Event It is possible that the recent widely publicized AI "exploit" is a civilization-changing event on the level of the test of the first Atomic Bomb. It COULD be that big. It is certainly worth dropping everything else to talk about it. This post will try to explain the hype.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

#CHRNCL So, someone who works for a government agency and has knowledge that a particular policy is about to be put into place, could use a prediction market to place a bet on a future outcome. This problem occurs in all forms of competition that use information and involve risk.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

#CHRNCL The primary problem with prediction markets, identical to a problem in the stock market, is that of "insider information". If, for example, you work for a company and you know that it will be introducing a new product soon, you can buy stock with confidence.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

AI AGENT ILLUSTRATED (notes follow)

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

#CHRNCL A very similar situation already exists in what we call the "stock market". When you buy stock, you are placing a bet that its value will rise in the future. People working in the stock market are generally considered to be "analysts" and "experts", not "gamblers".

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

#SCIX A teenager writes an AI on her phone and transmits it to the computer at her school to tell the school's homework assignment program to shut down. The AI has errors, and these lead it to shut down the entire computer system at the school. The school is on a city-wide network. (And so it goes.)

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

#POLITX "AI" is not physical; it is algorithmic. An algorithm is mental – an idea - AI is just a set of ideas that have been programmed into a computer. Any sufficiently smart high school student can write an AI. The laws we use to control "things" like explosives and drugs will not work.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

#CHRNCL On the other hand, predictions on events such as when will the war end or who will the be nominated for the presidency, can be made by people with varying levels of expertise who believe their information and knowledge give them an advantage. If this is the case, then they are not gambling.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

#POLITX It's not that AI is going to become intelligent and try to conquer the world. It's that AI is designed to automate things, and that if an AI makes a mistake, it will continue to make that mistake millions of times. And if that damages the Internet, many sensitive software systems will crash.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

#CHRNCL Although there is no consensus yet, the general view seems to be that few people will use prediction markets to spend money trying to predict random events. It will always turn out to be futile, and it does not appear to be very entertaining.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

#POLITX "Even slight changes in the [technological] environment of the very well adjusted find them without any resource to meet new challenge. Such is the plight of the representatives of “conventional wisdom” in any society. [I]nnovation is for them not novelty but annihilation." [McLuhan]

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

#CHRNCL In a prediction market you do not place a bet, with odds – instead you buy either the "yes" or "no" answer to a question, for an amount that varies based on what previous buyers have chosen. If the outcome occurs, you receive the amount, if not, you lose it.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

#CHRNCL Suppose then that you place $100 in a prediction market on a prediction that it will rain tomorrow. On one hand that would appear to be completely random. On the other, if you are a meteorologist and know that a front is coming through, the results will be based on your skill.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

#CHRNCL So there is no certain way to determine if a particular contest is gambling or not. It is also worth noting that in the United States today, numerous states have approved gambling, particularly gambling on sporting events, and receive substantial revenues from licensing and taxation.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

#CHRNCL On the other hand, the courts have ruled that although there is a certain amount of skill in placing bets on a poker hand, the random aspect of the hand outweighs the skill aspect. And therefore betting on poker is considered gambling.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

#CHRNCL But some events are only partly gambling. For example, hands dealt in a game of bridge are random, but the bidding and play of the hand is based on the skill of the players. Courts have ruled that the skill aspect outweighs the random aspect, and so playing bridge for money is not gambling.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

#CHRNCL Gambling is defined as a process in which winning or losing is determined by luck. For example, if you roll a pair of dice you will get a number from 2 to 12, but the specific number you get will be random. Betting on purely random events is gambling.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

#CHRNCL: Prediction Markets AI has enabled a new financial enterprise that allows people to buy "stock" in the likelihood that an event will occur. When the time span of the event ends, the stock expires and the owners either receive cash or lose their stake. The question is: is this gambling?

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

#CHRNCL We could be doing "digital democracy" right now. All we need is a secure app to handle the voting. Ironically, the people most opposed to this method are our elected officials – who seem to feel threatened by the onset of change. Probably unfortunately for them, change is now the norm.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

#RLTIME If you have even a cursory understanding of what AI agents are, then please read this report. It is a description of the recent Open Ai/Hugging face AI exploit, written by an expert who has no connection to either of the companies. www.dwarkesh.com/p/openai-hug...

dwarkesh.com

The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations

The whole OpenAI/Hugging Face story in plain English

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

#CHRNCL This is actually the way true democracy works. Millions of citizens gather in groups and discuss an issue – eventually evolving a national opinion. That opinion then informs the legislative process.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

#CHRNCL This is happening right now. All over the world tens of thousands of groups of people are talking to one another about various subjects. Many of these people belong to more than one group. Some of them overlap. And the membership of the groups changes constantly.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

#CHRNCL Every node does not regularly connect to every other node, but it could if it needed to. This produces great flexibility. It means that groups of people can form, discuss, decide, and dissolve – only to reform as a different set of people at a different time to deal with a different subject.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

#CHRNCL One major change is that phones organize their users into a set of connected nodes on a data communications network. The data that travels through this network is useful, but the existence of the network itself changes society. Suddenly, anyone can talk to anyone, anywhere, at any time.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

#CHRNCL The news today is showing videos of a sudden flood that occurred along the Nepal/Chinese border yesterday. 50 years ago these kinds of pictures would've been technologically impossible. Their availability makes Nepal seem to be nearby.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

#CHRNCL WORTH REPEATING: it is not the utility of a technology that changes you, it is the very existence of the technology itself. Example: putting cameras at every intersection in a city, will change the way people behave. It is the knowledge that the cameras exist that produces the change.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

#CHRNCL This may seem like a set of trivial changes. But think about it. All of the time that you used to spend "on the phone", you now spend doing something else. And so do 3 billion other people. These are not huge changes, but there are a massive number of them ... every day.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

#CHRNCL You probably don't even notice the difference, but it greatly changes your behavior. For example, you answer a traditional telephone every time it rings. But you look at your email a few times a day. It is these changes in daily patterns that bring about the large scale changes in society.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

#CHRNCL It makes no difference whether the phone is bringing you a weather report, your daughter's voice, the daily Wordle game or a list of items that you have bought at Amazon. When you use the phone you are using your mind differently than you did before phones existed.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

#CHRNCL "The effects of technology do not occur at the level of opinions or concepts, but alter sense ratios or patterns of perception steadily and without any resistance." [McLuhan] It's not the CONTENT of the messages that changes society – it's the impact of the NEW MEDIUM on people's behavior.

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Solextre @solextre.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

#CHRNCL The word "phone" is a misnomer; conjuring up the image of a voice-oriented phone call. But the phone in your pocket can do text, video, images, and data as well as voice. Without much effort you can think of all of the phones in the world as nodes on an extensive global computer network.

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