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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Following up on this, declines in consumer sentiment about the economy after inauguration came mostly from democrats and somewhat independents. Republicans sentiment shot up even higher

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 04/02/2025

Vibe shift? Consumer sentiment peaked in Trump’s first week but has been dropping down since then, mostly driven by dampened future expectations

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

A slightly smaller share of adults believed that interest rates were too high in December vs June, but that share was still more than 60%. Full report: t.co/qQnUndyfZB

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

The Fed has a communication problem with younger Americans: only 16% of GenZ adults and Millennials were aware the Fed had cut rates in December when we asked them (Dec. 19-22). I think this is part of a larger media ecosystem problem wrt the economy lately

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 21/01/2025

Morning Consult’s unemployment index continues to decline — updated through Jan 18

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

First episode of Consumer Says for 2025 is out — we talk 2024 biggest losers and winners globally for consumer sentiment as well as a deeper dive into rising sentiment in the US youtu.be/sl-TJdZLiGk

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 13/01/2025

“Providing Republicans with specific information on the likely consumer cost of Trump’s tariff proposals actually backfired, increasing support for the tariffs relative to the control group.” A very interesting survey and read from my colleague Sonnet: pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/tru...

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 10/01/2025

@kaylabruun.bsky.social called it in her memo yesterday: declines in Morning Consult’s Unemployment index "likely points to a potential downside surprise for December unemployment per the BLS but not a dramatic drop". Urate did in fact surprise to the downside today at 4.1%

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

Last Consumer Says podcast episode of 2024 with @kaylabruun.bsky.social and it’s all on what consumers think about tariffs + a mini Fed discussion at the end! Check out the full episode here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4Rb...

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

Not a surge but a bit of an uptick in our daily consumer sentiment survey. Mostly because Republicans are more optimistic about the future than Dems are pessimistic after the election

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

…but at the same time 45% think that costs are passed down to US consumers ultimately

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

Most voters think foreign companies or foreign governments pay for tariffs

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 20/11/2024

Retail expert Claire Tassin joined @kaylabruun.bsky.social and me to discuss consumer demand and holiday shopping trends for 2024. Check out the full episode here: m.youtube.com/watch?v=ezht...

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Is the comparison to the US government/economy to Argentina driving anyone else crazy? Or is this just a very particular pet peeve of mine. Argentina had way more government spending relative to GDP, ownership of companies in certain industries, currency controls, 100x US inflation, etc.

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Good news - Morning Consult’s unemployment index has been trending down ever since it peaked the second week of September. Updated through Nov 16

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Inflation is the incumbent killer!

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

I think the results for this survey question have a similar explanation — loss aversion. People feel inflation/high prices is something that happens unjustly *to* them whereas people feel they earn higher wages. ie wage gains don’t feel as good as price increases hurt

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

I guess I’m not the only one wondering if the proposed tariff policies are *actually* going to happen

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

here it is! More analysis/demos here: pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/con...

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

but interesting we also so a tick up at the all adults level, meaning optimism for the economy won out slightly despite the differences by party lines

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Sofia Baig @sofiabaig.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

Morning Consult’s consumer sentiment index swapped immediately for Democrats and Republicans following the election last week mostly due to changes in future expectations

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