Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloJake Broe @realjakebroe.bsky.social · 11/10/2026This tweet is from 500 days ago. Apparently the "really bad things" that would happen to Putin and Russia if they refused to stop their war would be Trump lifting sanctions on them and paying them billions of dollars for less than a days worth of America's diesel needs. 44778262
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 21hThings may ( will?) unwind very quickly for the US - midterm election shock => financial and bond market de-risk => all those ridiculous stock market valuations burst, and lowish interest rates go through the roof => very interesting 2 more years ahead 030
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 12/10/2026I have started a research project on UK car industry productivity. turns out, it went into accelerated decline post 2021. more results to follow 010
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026It is really sad news indeed. Hopefully, just the end of the first chapter??? 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Idea for research: The news on making Leonid Ragozin a persona non grata in Latvia exposed all members of the Russian disinformation network to come out and tweet against this decision. Can be considered how an exogenous shock propagate within a Russian built disinformation network. 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 06/10/2026World moved on since Brexit referendum, but it does not change the fact that EU is the closest and largest UK partner and productivity is linked to EU supply chain embeddedness www.productivity.ac.uk/news/the-opt...productivity.ac.ukThe options are familiar. The world around them is not. - The Productivity InstituteTen years after Brexit, what do we know about its impact on UK productivity? Jun Du explores the evidence and the changing UK-EU landscape. 041
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 05/10/2026In 2016 the UK built 30 cars for every 100 made in Germany. Today: 17. Before 2016 the UK outgrew Germany by 4.6pp a year. Brexit uncertainty cost 2.9pp a year. The TCA cost 8.2pp. Rules of origin, broken supply chains, and now "Made in Europe". shepotylo.com/blog/2026-10... 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 03/10/2026that's great, but beating Spain and Argentina is still on the wish list 010
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Tucker Carlson says Russia's economy is bigger than Britain's. He's wrong. At market exchange rates, Russia's economy is about 64% the size of the UK's. His number uses PPP, which compares living standards, not economic power. shepotylo.com/blog/2026-10...shepotylo.comIs Russia’s economy bigger than Britain’s? Nominal GDP, PPP and the economics of isolation – Oleksandr ShepotyloTucker Carlson says Russia’s economy is larger than Britain’s. At PPP it is; at market exchange rates it is about two-thirds the size. Why the gap exists, why isolation widens it, and what the Soviet ... 083
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 22/09/2026A sign of dictatorship? Russian prices: +50% since the full-scale invasion. Worst of any major economy. In the West, half that inflation toppled governments. Russians just gave United Russia its largest Duma majority ever — 355/450 seats. shepotylo.com/blog/2026-09...shepotylo.comFifty Percent: How Russia’s Cost-of-Living Crisis Became a Landslide – Oleksandr ShepotyloRussian consumer prices are up 50% since 2022, the worst inflation among major economies, yet the Kremlin just won its biggest parliamentary majority ever. A look at why the bill never reaches the bal... 000
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloBest for Britain @bestforbritain.org · 15/09/2026🚨 The headline numbers are large: a 53.8% decline in export product varieties to the EU and a 16.5% fall in export values (meaning that fewer types of products are now being sold by UK firms to the EU). Creating trade barriers with your largest trading partner is economically illiterate.britishchambers.org.ukAfter SPS: the EU trade barrier that needs fixing next - British Chambers of CommerceEAC member, Prof. Jun Du, explains how to solve the UK trade barriers with the EU. 718879
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Thanks 27th ETSG in Exeter and looking forward to next ETSG 28th in Toledo 011
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Joseph Stiglitz on how to build a better AI economy - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FTgiftarticle.ft.comJoseph Stiglitz on how to build a better AI economyA slow rollout will disappoint investors. A fast one risks undermining the industry’s own foundations. But managed carefully, this is a technology that could benefit us all 030
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloRoger Myerson @rbmyerson.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Yesterday the President offered to send $5000 to every adult American citizen. But where would he get the Trillion Dollars to pay for all these checks? Today the Market reacted. The 30-year US treasury rate jumped to 5.36%, highest since 2004. www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jon...morningstar.comU.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 5% as Oil Fuels Inflation Fears — 3rd Update 041
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloDavid Henig @davidheniguk.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Very long winded way of saying that nothing much new is expected to happen in UK EU trade. Though I'd add, compared to a few months ago, the UK has really slipped down the Brussels agenda (this is complicated by the uninformed always saying this) www.politico.eu/article/andy...politico.euAndy Burnham’s big new Brexit deal isn’t coming anytime soonThe new prime minister’s red lines are making a more radical reimagining of the U.K.-EU relationship implausible, EU officials say. 58633
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 09/09/2026It is time for citizens of Saxony-Anhalt to establish Saxony-Anhalt People's Republic and ask Russia to incorporate them into Russian Federation 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Another bigly win from a very stable geniusstatic.klipy.comBrooker2xALT: Brooker2x 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Trump set reducing trade balance as a primary objective of his economic policy. He thought that imposing "reciprocal" tariffs would help to achieve it. He was wrong and we (trade economist) told him so He presided over 5 most negative monthly trade balances in the whole history of the US 101
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloAdam Bienkov @adambienkov.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Nigel Farage filmed celebrating illegal foreign donations Undercover footage reveals plot to break the law by funnelling offshore funds through a UK donor. Donations funded a series of widely reported polls boosting Reform ahead of the local elections channel4news.substack.com/p/exclusive-... 1082087934
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 03/09/2026That is a very important question as many people think they understand economics and can call themselves economists like they think they can coach a national football team without proper training and specialist knowledge 010
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 28/08/2026But of course, this argument is ridiculous, as well as the argument of the positive effect of being a colony ( de jure or de facto) on welfare. GDP per capita in a colony is not a good indicator of quality of life if resources are extracted and distribution of wealth is not fare. 011
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 28/08/2026Also, notice that the fastest growth strongly correlates with countries of Nazi coalition - it was catching up after the WWII collapse and distraction, nothing to do with Soviet developmental policies, so perhaps you can move forward a thesis that losing a war is good for economic growth? 131
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 28/08/2026There was nothing special about Finland economic growth, it was a poor country terrorized by first Russian Empire and then USSR for decades, coming out of a devastating conflict. It was doomed to grow as Europe was having its growth miracle. So Finlandization was not beneficial for growth. 151
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloKristian Kiehling @kristiankiehling.bsky.social · 24/08/2026Inexplicably, Western journalists continue to perpetuate outdated imperialist stereotypes when reporting on 'Eastern Europe', despite knowing better. Bad Baltic Takes has therefore compiled a much-needed style guide to address this issue. www.badbaltic.com/if-eastern-e...badbaltic.comIf Eastern Europeans reported the world like the world reports Eastern EuropeHere’s what those tropes, clichés, and stereotypes sound like in reverse. 13114
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloDarth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 23/08/2026OTD in 1939 the Molotov Ribbentrop pact was signed. It remains one of the very few treaties we have honored. 271157306
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloSavchenko Volodymyr @savchenkoua.bsky.social · 19/08/2026🙏🇺🇦 People take shelter in an underground parking lot during the Russian missile strikes on Kyiv. Two people have already died in the attack, six people have been injured. ❗️A school building was damaged in the Solomyanskyi district of the capital, people are trapped in a shelter, — KMVA 512235
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 17/08/2026Claude has told me already 3 times to switch from VS Code to Positron. Coincidence? 011
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloJacob Öberg @profjacob.bsky.social · 11/08/2026🚨🚨 #EUsanctions: Austria's intelligence agency uncovered an international network #circumventing EU sanctions imposed against #Moscow to supply #Russian cruise missiles and fighter jets, the country's Interior Ministry announced yesterday. 🧵 kyivindependent.com/austria-unco...kyivindependent.comAustria uncovers international network circumventing EU sanctions to supply Russian cruise missiles, jets"We will continue to take decisive action, with full international cooperation, against those actors who attempt to circumvent legal prohibitions to support the Russian arms industry," Austrian State ... 17853
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloKate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 04/08/2026A Russian drone completely burned down the Holy Protection Church (Sviato-Vvedenska) in Boryslav, Kherson region, built in 1726. The church was an architectural monument of national significance and one of the few surviving examples of Cossack wooden sacral architecture. 17260124
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 26/07/2026Bloody hell, pine trees and submarine paintings. But where is your navy on the Russian Navy day? 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 26/07/2026When a country without a navy decimated your fleet, but you still celebrate the day of the Russian Navy 010
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 25/07/2026Putin is more and more isolated, looks pathetic in this video 000
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloMAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 23/07/2026🤬☢️ SBU documented new facts of Russia's use of depleted uranium ammunition The enemy began to install radioactive elements from R-60M missiles into Geran-2 type strike drones, with which it attacked the Chernihiv region. 918271
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 21/07/2026on how to respond to Russia's mental war epik.eu/publication/...epik.euGoing mental: Russia's cognitive war against EuropeThe Kremlin regards democracies as a direct threat to its survival. Its goal is not just to seize territory, but to conquer minds and undermine the foundations of Europe’s collective identity. How can... 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 05/07/2026I am speechless. Great ball! Brazil is beaten 100
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 05/07/2026Actually Norway still control the ball. Amazing 100
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 05/07/2026We are going tonsee 10 plus minutes of relentless Brazil attacks. Go Norway! 110
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 02/07/2026In the crazy world we live in, bad economic news on the state of the US economy triggers a rally in the US stock market 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 01/07/2026I do not remember when one team looked so dominant in world football as France at the US 2026 World Cup. Very impressive win yesterday. Polling markets were impressed as well. Now France's probability of winning is priced at 1/3. 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 30/06/2026Norway walked the ball in. Almost blew it as well 000
Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo.bsky.social · 25/06/2026Great news, it is an example of united Europe defending itself, relying on is own resources and shaping the future in its own interest in the wolrd where hostile powers like Russia are determined to destroy European project 000
Reposted by Oleksandr ShepotyloMAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 24/06/2026👀 For the first time, footage from a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV has been released online, which filmed the launch of Russian Geran-2/Harpiya-A1 from a car. The further fate of the pickup truck is destruction. 425231
Reposted by Oleksandr Shepotylofife4europe #FBPE #RejoinEU @fife4europe.bsky.social · 21/06/2026A decade after the vote, the reality for UK small businesses is grim. 63% of SMEs trading with the EU face "significant" barriers, and a third plan to downsize or stop entirely. "Sovereignty" shouldn’t mean replacing 24-hour deliveries with weeks of deadweight red tape. 📋📉 #Brexit #UKBusinessnewagebd.netA decade on, Brexit still bites for UK small businessesTen years on from a referendum that triggered Britain’s exit from the European Union, the nation’s small- and medium-size businesses find themselves caught between mountains of paperwork, rising costs... 144