Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 4hYes, that impact fee justification study, with that statement, was published in 2026! 170
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 4hLink to the 2026 impact fee justification study and other LAUSD impact fee-related publications: impactfee.lausd.org/apps/pages/i...impactfee.lausd.orgImpact Fee Office Publications 160
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 4hI'll note that the fee studies use total enrollment, which includes independent charters, but I couldn't find a clear chart showing the long-term combined enrollment history. In any case, the 2024 and 2026 fee justification studies show a 9.6% decline in combined enrollment. 2130
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 4hAnother entry for the "impact fee nexus studies are bullshit" file! Student enrollment at LA Unified has fallen for 24 years straight, ~48%. And yet! We have an impact fee because: "As new development occurs, additional school facilities will be needed to house the growth in the student population." 58915
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 30/09/2026If you're looking for a primer on programs for reducing homelessness, the challenges with measuring success, and what we know about the effectiveness of different kinds of interventions, this is a great place to start: lewis.ucla.edu/2026/09/30/1...lewis.ucla.eduEpisode 124: Reducing Homelessness with Rapid Rehousing with Brian BlackwellRapid rehousing provides short-term rental assistance to help people experiencing homelessness find market-rate housing. Brian Blackwell shares new research finding that it may be more effective than ... 020
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Lots of great stuff in this episode, including a conversation about the role of caseworkers in implementing these kinds of programs. 110
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 30/09/2026This might sound unsurprising, but the best-known prior study of rapid rehousing suggested that it might not be effective, at least for families—and it didn't look at the benefits to single adults at all. 100
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 30/09/2026In their analysis of roughly 3,500 participants in Los Angeles' RRH program, Brian and Max found that it *does* work for many people, and the benefits continue after they exit the program. 100
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 30/09/2026But for that model to work, the homelessness-reducing effects of RRH have to continue after the participant stops receiving assistance. 100
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 30/09/2026RRH can support multiple individuals or families over time: someone gets help for as little as a few months or as much as a few years, then, when they're able to support themselves, that money can go toward helping someone else. 100
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 30/09/2026New episode! We talked to Brian Blackwell at California Policy Lab about his research on the effectiveness rapid rehousing (RRH), a program that provides short-term rental assistance to help people experiencing homelessness find market-rate housing: lewis.ucla.edu/2026/09/30/1...lewis.ucla.eduEpisode 124: Reducing Homelessness with Rapid Rehousing with Brian BlackwellRapid rehousing provides short-term rental assistance to help people experiencing homelessness find market-rate housing. Brian Blackwell shares new research finding that it may be more effective than ... 161
Reposted by Shane PhillipsNed Resnikoff @resnikoff.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Left-NIMBYs love to pit welfare state expansion against land use reform, but the latter can 1) can achieve significant poverty reductions 2) without means testing or administrative burdens, and 3) at a net gain for the public budget, which can then be used to expand the welfare state. 119334
Reposted by Shane PhillipsJames Medlock @jdcmedlock.bsky.social · 27/09/2026The GOP cut funding to the IRS because *audits work* and they fundamentally don't believe rich people should have to play by the rules. 273298771
Reposted by Shane PhillipsJoey Politano🏳️🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 27/09/2026NEW from me: Over the last 4 years, America has lost more than 200k jobs in creative fields like publishing, film, TV, or graphic design. It's the worst stretch for arts jobs outside of recessions. How much is AI to blame? And can the arts' business model survive?🧵 www.apricitas.io/p/ai-and-the...apricitas.ioAI and the Fall? of the Creative ClassAmerica is Losing Hundreds of Thousands of Jobs in Media, Film & the Arts. How Much is AI to Blame? 16681219
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 26/09/2026At the same time, we see people wanting to tax developers because they're wealthy, but taxing development specifically (rather than wealth) just means we encourage investment by rich people into other assets/ventures, and that's bad for housing abundance and affordability. 050
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 26/09/2026FWIW, I think that we'd be better off taxing wealth directly in general *and* I still think it's important to tax land based on its value regardless of the owner's circumstances, because (e.g.) an underused site can have negative social consequences that are agnostic of who owns it. 150
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Could you elaborate this? Could Oregon (or any other state) not just adopt the international standards and buy elevators through that market? I guess even if they could do that, there's the question of who will install and maintain them... 120
Reposted by Shane PhillipsMichael Andersen @andersem.bsky.social · 25/09/2026There are other things, like mandatory fire curtains that lack demonstrated safety benefits but add $7k/floor. The Coalition for Elevator Reform, launched this month by accessibility-forward housing developer The Kelsey, has model legislation. elevatorreform.orgelevatorreform.orgElevatorReform.orgWhere to take action on elevator reform. 1311
Reposted by Shane PhillipsMichael Andersen @andersem.bsky.social · 25/09/2026I have a confession to make. The townhomes I & others spent most of a decade trying to legalize are popping up all over Oregon & elsewhere...and I love that...but they're a problem in one big way. (get ready for a twisty thread about the housing report @sightline.org just published) 1215040
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Maybe I'm just a partisan hack and this happens all the time with both parties, but it seems like putting the flag of a major geopolitical rival literally on top of the Oval Office is kind of insane??? 0102
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 26/09/2026People say it wouldn't make a difference if [pick your city] built more housing because it can't meet a whole region's demand, and it strikes me that in a place like SF those same people believe (rightly IMO) that we should invest in climate solutions even though the US can't solve it on their own. 0161
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 26/09/2026It's like saying Rivian is a top 10 US automaker lol (It have no idea if it's actually in the top 10, but there aren't many so it sounds plausible) 0100
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 26/09/2026So many problems, in so many states, are downstream of our unwillingness to tax real estate at its market value, and more generally of our unwillingness to acknowledge that housing wealth is, in fact, wealth. 122535
Reposted by Shane PhillipsUrban Land Rent 🇸🇴🚰 @urbanlandrent.bsky.social · 23/09/2026My new market rate apartment is affordable to households making ~80% AMI. It was built 5 years ago. I need every skeptic of “filtering” to spend five minutes looking at rentals on Zillow for Sacramento. Actually, let’s do it together: www.zillow.com/sacramento-c...zillow.com 414020
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 25/09/2026I was at an event a few years ago and made a point about Texas building a lot more housing than us, and some high-up labor person went absolutely unhinged on me in front of like 100 people, saying how I wanted to adopt Texas' labor practices, etc. I was genuinely so taken aback by the reaction. 0150
Reposted by Shane PhillipsShane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026On this week's reading list we cover the supply and affordability impacts of suburban expansion, tight mortgage lending standards, tools for estimating housing development feasibility, growing the urban tree canopy, and more. uclahousingvoice.substack.com/p/ucla-housi...uclahousingvoice.substack.comUCLA Housing Voice Reading List (9/23/26)The supply and affordability impacts of suburban expansion, tight mortgage lending standards, tools for estimating housing development feasibility, growing the urban tree canopy, and more. 132
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 24/09/2026You just discovered the next opposition argument in the sequence: Sure, building housing isn't going to be dangerous or unhealthy for the kids, but they'll be so obsessed with the big trucks and cranes that they won't be able to focus on their studies!! 070
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026I haven't looked at it in a while, but this resource is also regularly updated by Todd Litman at VTPI: www.vtpi.org/sg_save.pdfvtpi.org 010
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Full report here: www.pew.org/en/research-...pew.orgBuilding Homes Near Jobs, Stores, and Transit Saves Public DollarsAmid a national housing shortage, momentum is growing at the state and local levels to make it easier to build more homes—a proven way of reducing unaffordable rents and home prices. A key question fa... 120
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Not anything I'm aware of that's super in depth, but the report we summarize here is helpful: uclahousingvoice.substack.com/p/ucla-housi...uclahousingvoice.substack.comUCLA Housing Voice Reading List (7/29/26)Investigating which conditions are most likely to lead to redevelopment, comparing infrastructure costs for urban vs. suburban housing, checking in on a major Los Angeles zoning reform, and more. 120
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Wouldn't it be nice! I think the case is quite strong that development isn't reducing tree canopy coverage, but the reality is that any large *increase* is going to be the result of investments and programs completely unrelated to development. 020
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026And we share some highlights from California YIMBY's check-in on SB 79's first month, and a few different resources on the federal 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act uclahousingvoice.substack.com/p/ucla-housi...uclahousingvoice.substack.comUCLA Housing Voice Reading List (9/23/26)The supply and affordability impacts of suburban expansion, tight mortgage lending standards, tools for estimating housing development feasibility, growing the urban tree canopy, and more. 000
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026We talk about expanding the tree canopy in Seattle amid rapid housing and population growth (though I argue that the numbers presented in the linked blog are misleading), and I'm reminded of these Tree People from a few years ago www.youtube.com/watch?v=30C8...youtube.comYouTubeShare your videos with friends, family, and the world 200
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026We cover a few dashboards built to help people understand what determines the cost and feasibility of new housing, and a nice little tour through new French suburbs with Eric Kronberg 110
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026We also cover Pew Charitable Trusts' report on overly restrictive lending standards. Lots of great stuff in here, and a call-back to our previous Housing Voice episodes with @kerdmann.bsky.social 100
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Our research overview is on "How Housing Supply Expansions Reshape Cities" by Marco Giacoletti, Matthijs Korevaar, and Franklin Qian (2026). It's about what happened when the Netherlands expanded the areas open to development around its major Randstad cities in the 1990s. (Hint: good stuff.) 100
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026On this week's reading list we cover the supply and affordability impacts of suburban expansion, tight mortgage lending standards, tools for estimating housing development feasibility, growing the urban tree canopy, and more. uclahousingvoice.substack.com/p/ucla-housi...uclahousingvoice.substack.comUCLA Housing Voice Reading List (9/23/26)The supply and affordability impacts of suburban expansion, tight mortgage lending standards, tools for estimating housing development feasibility, growing the urban tree canopy, and more. 132
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 23/09/2026This one was wild to me: Only 63% of people who voted for Bass in the primary know they're voting for her in the general, compared to 89% for Raman. Raman is also supported by likely voters who didn't vote in the primary by more than 2-to-1, though with lots still undecided. 1221
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Ha, I had the same thought. bsky.app/profile/shan... 060
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I agree it's useful. Having done it, I also agree with the spirit of the original post that it's completely impossible to nail down even with a very wide confidence range. But valuable to think about how you'd do it, if nothing else to help reveal your theory of change! 190
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I'm talking about when you have to replace or upgrade public infrastructure as a condition of building the project, most often water and/or sewer. Particularly where as a first-mover putting demand over existing capacity, and later developers can just tap into the infrastructure you built. 100
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Oh interesting point! Seems like you could set things up to transfer the ownership of the claim on those funds, but point taken that this creates another barrier. 010
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 21/09/2026It's a good question! I suspect it would be difficult to get right, which is sort of unfortunate because I think a system where everyone pays roughly the same (if not upgrading off-site infra) is actually probably more pro-housing than first-movers paying a ton and others paying nothing. 010
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 21/09/2026In what sense? I'm not sure I follow. The reimbursement money would be coming in after the project is complete either way. 000
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 21/09/2026(But to be doubly clear, this is still a cool project, and it's important to have a broad and deep empirical basis for this association, if it exists, before you can assert it in places where noise hasn't been measured directly. I'm just thinking about how this scales up.) 190
Shane Phillips @shanedphillips.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Question for Michael and for anyone else out there: How much does street (car) noise simply correlate with road width (lanes) and vehicle speed? This is a cool project, but if road width and speed are what matter, we can do this for basically any street, not just ones where we install monitors. 391