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Sam Almy

@sfalmy.bsky.social
630 followers 132 following 373 posts

Democratic politcal strategist who also tracks early ballots. Numbers are approximate. @Uplift Campaigns

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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 4h
AZ Early Voting Day 10 (PM) Returns | Turnout Total: 277k | 3.6% 🔵: 109.2k | 9% 🔴: 104k | 6.9% ⚪: 63.7k | 4% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +5.2k D County updates below Pima's first large file update. +13k Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 15h
AZ Early Voting Day 10 (AM) Returns | Turnout Total: 255.8k | 3.6% 🔵: 99.4k | 5.2% 🔴: 97.6k | 3.8% ⚪: 58.8k | 2.3% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +1.8k D County updates below Maricopa County Update +78k Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 16/10/2026
Comparison to 2022 of Day 8 of early voting. Total ballots cast are a little lower (the power of hindsight maybe) Turnout is about the same. The GOP registration advantage as almost doubled since 2022 (166k vs 313k). Dems will be counting on large crossover numbers if GOP turnout holds.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 16/10/2026
AZ Early Voting Day 9 (PM) Returns | Turnout Total: 157k | 3.6% 🔵: 63.3k | 5.2% 🔴: 57.4k | 3.8% ⚪: 36.4k | 2.3% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +5.9k D County updates below Pima County Update +4k Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 15/10/2026
AZ Early Voting Day 9 (AM) Returns | Turnout Total: 147 k | 3.4% 🔵: 59k | 4.9% 🔴: 54k | 3.6% ⚪: 34k | 2.1% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +5k D County updates below Maricopa County +75k Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 15/10/2026
AZ Early Voting Day 8 (PM) Returns | Turnout Total: 61 k | 1.2% 🔵: 25k | 1.7% 🔴: 21.3k | 1.2% ⚪: 15k | 0.8% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +4k D County updates below Pima County refresh Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
AZ Early Voting Day 8 (AM) Returns | Turnout Total: 19.5k | 1.2% 🔵: 21k | 1.7% 🔴: 18.5k | 1.2% ⚪: 12.8k | 0.8% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +2.4k D County updates below First large Maricopa File posted today. Pima late tonight Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
AZ Early Voting Day 7 (AM) Returns | Turnout Total: 19.5k | 0.5% 🔵: 8.1k | 0.7% 🔴: 6.4k | 0.4% ⚪: 5k | 0.3% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +1.7k D County updates below Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Pinal and Yavapai are still processing, should have updates in the morning along with Maricopa. To those thinking tens of thousands of people would rush out and vote need to touch grass. Here's the comparison through Day 3 of voting vs 2022.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
AZ Early Voting Day 6 (AM) Returns | Turnout Total: 7k | 0.2% 🔵: 2.8k | 0.2% 🔴: 2.3k| 0.2% ⚪: 1.7| 0.1% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +500 D Maricopa reporting from Friday Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
First maricopa county ballots reported this morning. Dems have an advantage, but it's likely to vanish later this week because of registration advantages by the GOP.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
First Maricopa returns (1,400) reported today. Posting shortly.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
AZ Early Voting Day 3 Returns | Turnout Total: 4k | 0.1%(🎉) 🔵: 1.8k | 0.1% 🔴: 1.3k| 0.1% ⚪: 959| 0.1% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +542 D Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Mornings would be more fun if Maricopa County could post an early returns file. I'm sure they'll get to it eventually.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
AZ Early Voting Day 2 Returns | Turnout Total: 2,261 | 0.1%(🎉) 🔵: 1,246 | 0.1% 🔴: 506 | 0.0% ⚪: 509 | 0.0% Dem vs Rep Advantage: +740 D Dashboard Link: tinyurl.com/3ukshf3j
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Day 1 of early voting in AZ. 1,117 total returns reported day 1. Please don't overreact, we're only at 0.03% turnout. Dashboard link likely tomorrow.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Well I was going to maybe have some secy UVOCAVA ballots to post this morning. But had a bit a delay from the suicide lanes this morning. If only there was a better way to manage those 💁‍♀️
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Cake on Sunday. Ballot returns on Wednesday. Tracker is coming back
Triple chocolate cake that really just teases the returns of my AZ early ballot tracker
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Codify Baseball @codifybaseball.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
if you build it hill come
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Codify Baseball @codifybaseball.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
It's the first time in MLB history that all five teams in a single division won their season-opening game.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Truly the leadership I’m proud to have voted for.
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Ken Jennings @kenjennings.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
If you're at the airport and Kristi Noem is doing the ominous little message from the TSA screens, you no longer have to do anything she says. Leave your laptop in the case, whatever.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Kid’s first bar chart 🥲
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Roku wanted to highlight the growth of streaming consumption. And I'll give them credit, the graph goes up and to the right. #graphcrimes #noyaxis
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
There is nothing funny about nitrous oxide.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
It rattles when you enter and exit!
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 21/12/2025
Great camera shot #GoBirds
5 flags and a hat after a brawl on the eagles commanders game
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
The European mind cannot comprehend this cookie (or biscuit or whatever they call it) Popcorn Bucket Cookie courtesy of @nytcooking.bsky.social
Popcorn bucket cookies with reeses, m&m, heathbar, popcorn, nerd clusters, and sour patch kids
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Brahm Resnik @brahmresnik.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
NOW Pentagon says it's investigating Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly over video aimed at service members.
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Lupita Nihongo @otsumamiboy.blacksky.app · 11/11/2025
Holy shit finally an Op-Ed that Gets It
An meme generator produced image based on a New York Times article featuring some chucklefuck but now replaced with the great Bolo Yeung 

The New Work Times
OPINION
BINYAMIN APPELBAUM
Mamdani Isn't the Future of the Democrats. This Guy Is.
Nov. 9, 2025
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NY Times Pitchbot @nytpitchbot.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
Dick Cheney shot his friend in the face the right way. by Ezra Klein
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Capitol Media Services @azcapmedia.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
UPDATED: @adelitaforcongress.bsky.social, @azagmayes.bsky.social sue House over failure of Speaker Johnson to swear her in, claim he has no choice since she was elected. Grijalva says big problem right now is inability to help constituents. tucson.com/news/local/g...
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
My friends know I have a very particular set of skills.
Friend asking me for urgent help on a critical bar chart the needs edits
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Wayne Schutsky @wschutsky.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
AZ AG Mayes said she will sue Speaker Johnson if doesn’t swear in Grijalva in the next 2 days. “We will likely, if this doesn't get resolved very quickly, be seeking a declaratory action from a federal judge and trying to get her sworn in,” she said. www.kjzz.org/politics/202...
kjzz.org
Congresswoman-elect Grijalva's win is certified. Mayes threatens litigation if she's not sworn in
Arizona leaders certified Congresswoman-elect Adelita Grijalva's win Tuesday and demanded she be sworn in. Southern Arizona voters elected Grijalva in a special election on Sept. 23, but she still has...
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
On my first attempt my princess cake got stuck in the bowl. Glad i tried a different method the 2nd time
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Saw takes about Adelita's win in AZ-07 way outperformed both Harris and Raul in 2024. This is supposed to be a signal that voters are swinging back towards the dems? Comparing a presidential election to a special is silly But if Dems can increase their vote share 14% in 2026, hello blue wave 🌊
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Arizona has ~1,700 voting precincts. Since 2012, 176 have shifted left 3x in presidential elections. 66 have shifted right 3x. I'm calling these Triple Trending precincts Triple Right precincts tend to have a higher share of Latino voters The precincts still vote Democratic, but a rate than 2012
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
Zoom, Google Meets, Microsoft Teams, and WebEx are all the same software. But somehow Teams is always the worst.
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NY Times Pitchbot @nytpitchbot.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
There is no strict Constitutional prohibition against spitting on another player so it's hard to see why Jalen Carter was ejected from the game. by Jonathan Turley
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Arizona Secretary of State @azsecretary.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
State Election Director Lisa Marra and Maricopa County Director of Election Services and Early Voting Rey Valenzuela were inducted into the Election Officials’ Hall of Fame at the 40th Annual National Conference in Salt Lake City, Utah. Election Center photos by Karl Dukstein
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
Oh you went for a run 100 days straight? That’s nice, I did the Wordle instead.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
Oh, it wasn’t a for a geology lesson? 🤷‍♂️
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
*Hank Hill Voice I don’t want a password for milk. I want hot water for tea!
Overly fancy coffee machine at work is out of milk so the manager needs to enter a password. #MildlyInfuriating
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 03/08/2025
If you’re not donating directly to a candidate or local political party, it’s probably a scam.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 02/08/2025
Imagine if No Labels could even get organized enough to gather the minimum number of signatures to simply appear on a primary ballot.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Looking a little more at AZ-07, @dejafoxx.bsky.social unsurprisingly did well among younger voters. Generally speaking, precincts with a higher share of under 35 voters also saw a higher share of Foxx vote %. Her best* performance in Pima county was in and around the U of A precincts.
2025 AZ-07 Deja Foxx results by precinct and under 35 voters. As the % of under 35 voters increased for each precinct, so did Foxx's vote %.2025 AZ-07 Special election Deja Foxx results. Tucson Area shown, the darker precincts represent a higher vote share. Some of Foxx's best precincts were around the University of Arizona main campus.
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Ian Petrie @icpetrie.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Orion's Belt
Screenshot of Phillies' reliever Orion Kerkering pitching with a red arrow pointing to the belt on his uniform
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
FWIW in AZ-07 Foxx won 32% of the poll vote vs 20% of the early vote. Election day voters often skew younger. Adelita won 56% of poll voters vs 62% of early voters.
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
This article didn't age well BUT I hope this isn't Deja's last run for office. AZ needs candidates like her. AZ-07 has an outsider progressive candidate. AZ-01 could use some new energy...
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
The semi-annual tradition of F5 at results.arizona.vote has begun
results.arizona.vote
Arizona Election Results
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Sam Almy @sfalmy.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
AZ-07 7/15 Election Day Update 64k total returns in the district, just under 50k on the Democratic side. I'd estimate this ~85% of all ballots cast in the race. 65+ voters make up 53% of returns, down 2% from 7/11. Voters 20-54 increased their vote share 24.8% to 26.2% since 7/11
2025-07-15 AZ-07 Early ballot return update. Dem turnout increased to 26% overall. Yuma County has more ballot returns, but Maricopa County has more Democratic ballot returns.AZ-07 Electorate is getting younger, but not by much. Voters aged 65+ still make up 53% of all returns.
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