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Sertalp B. Çay

@sertalpbilal.com
4.5K followers 328 following 429 posts

Co-founder and Chair of @solioanalytics.com Principal Operations Research Specialist at SAS Institute. Optimization and sports analytics enthusiast sertalpbilal.com solioanalytics.com

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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 19/08/2026
🎥 DECISION TIME! - GW1 FINAL PLANS @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @robtfpl.com and @sertalpbilal.com to discuss some new Solio features, the build-up to GW1 deadline, and their latest drafts. youtu.be/v0Qos93LA5Q
youtu.be
DECISION TIME! - GW1 FINAL PLANS - FPL 2026/27
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Jonny Currie 🚀 @jonnyc.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
Team value in FPL has never been less important than right now. In previous seasons, you could consistently expect around 0.30 to 0.35 extra projected points per gw per 1mill of budget (peaking as high as ~0.42 at the start of the 22/23 season). Currently it is around ~0.17
Caption reads: "FPL value-for-money"
"Calculated using SOlio projections in GW22 of the 2025/26 season"

A line graph showing the change in "Optimised projected points per gameweek for the next 10gws" over increase in "starting budget"
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John Muller @johnspacemuller.com · 24/12/2025
I calculated a soccer-specific chess rating for 4,400 online games between ~100 players' accounts Top 10: 1. Marten de Roon 2. Yussuf Poulsen 3. Antonee Robinson 4. Stefan de Vrij 5. Borna Sosa 6. Christian Pulisic 7. Michael Olise 8. Kevin Prince Boateng 9. N'Golo Kante 10. Josip Stanisic
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Rob T @robtfpl.com · 16/12/2025
💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW17 Sharp market projections for the next round of PL fixtures: goals & CS%, teams to target and WDL odds 👇
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 26/11/2025
📺 Gameweek 13 - Sertalp's Wildcard @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com to discuss analytics philosophy, team strength editing, Sertalp's wildcard, and how to think about FH13. youtu.be/Or3zaqn1Hn4
youtu.be
FPL Gameweek 13 - Sertalp's Wildcard
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 20/11/2025
📺 Gameweek 12 - James' Wildcard @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @trout-post.com, CTO of Solio Analytics, to discuss some recent Solio features, planning with risk, and James's chip strategy and wildcard draft (he has all his chips left!) youtu.be/Ic-JVdnwQGg
youtu.be
FPL Gameweek 12 - James' Wildcard
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 07/11/2025
#FPL Player baselines and projected minutes are updated on Solio for #GW11 based on press conferences and latest market numbers. fpl.solioanalytics.com
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 05/11/2025
📺 FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss Solio's new "wisdom of the crowd" feature and what we can learn from people's beliefs, as well as the current trend of defenders dominating the FPL points, and some Free Hit planning. youtu.be/gSr36PyXWHU
youtu.be
FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
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Rob T @robtfpl.com · 31/10/2025
📊 #FPL Defender DEFCON vs xGC tiers | GW1-9 As requested, a look at which defenders have best balanced: 🛡️ Clean sheet potential (team xGC p90) 🛡️ DEFCON bonus potential (CBIT p90) Converted using a Poisson-based model to map out equivalent points tiers🤓😅
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Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 22/10/2025
📺 GW9 - What's happening with Salah? @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss how we can evaluate Salah and his projections moving forward, as well as a dive into some of the popular midfield and forward options for the upcoming gameweeks. youtu.be/S2ZWdMRKHCk
youtu.be
FPL Gameweek 9 - What's happening with Salah?
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Rob T @robtfpl.com · 21/10/2025
💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW9 Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Rob T @robtfpl.com · 26/09/2025
📊 GW6: Solio projected #FPL points and picks A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇 Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Rob T @robtfpl.com · 24/09/2025
💹📊 Projected team goals and CS odds | GW6–19 From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Rob T @robtfpl.com · 23/09/2025
💹 PL GW6 matchups A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇 📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 12/09/2025
🤔
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 11/09/2025
At Tier 3 you get unlimited access to all our features, and you get new ones 4 weeks early. Details below. #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
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Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 11/09/2025
Throughout the day – at 12.00, 3.00, 6.00, and 9.00 PM (UK) – we’ll be revealing the contents of our subscription tiers. First up, the prices (and our season long discount offer below). #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 10/09/2025
GW4: Wildcard Active @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss wildcard timing and chip strategy, examining when and why to use your first wildcard of the season. youtu.be/B8FtDFIjF4g
youtu.be
GW4: Wildcard Active
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
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Rob T @robtfpl.com · 09/09/2025
With Ange Postecoglou set to take over at Forest, we went back to look at some DEFCON data from his Spurs spell His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 08/09/2025
🐐
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Rob T @robtfpl.com · 08/09/2025
Bruno has split time between deep & advanced midfield roles in Amorim’s 3-4-2-1 We re-scored his Amorim-era #FPL pts with the new DEFCON bonus & compared his data when starting in different roles So far, not much evidence that he struggles when deeper 👇
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 08/09/2025
Really fun game to try if you like solving puzzles and chess (and the football theme is a big bonus too!)
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 08/09/2025
It's really fun, but not being able to complete a bonus round is dropping my productivity 😅
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 07/09/2025
🙌
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 05/09/2025
Analytics in FPL 📽️ @pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com, co-founder of Solio Analytics, for an in-depth discussion about the analytical foundations behind successful Fantasy Premier League strategy. www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q4k...
youtube.com
Analytics in FPL
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 24/08/2025
Our new FPL app at fpl.solioanalytics.com 😊
fpl.solioanalytics.com
Solio FPL
Solio FPL Planner
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
#FPL Optimized sample is completed, and we are ready for GW2
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
Last week, we have added an option to edit your team. By clicking at the leftmost 'root' node, you can enter your transfers, change the price, and adjust ITB. You can also go back to previous GWs to find your old plans: Top-left menu, plan settings, start gameweek
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
Solio is already back online for #GW3 planning. 🚄 #FPL
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
Thank you! Yep, CBIT, Bonus, Penalty (Taker) adjustments are in the pipeline. We noticed that people really liked the idea of adjustable projections, so we are improving the structure to make everything editable (easily). Hopefully will give an update on it soon.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
OPTA stats are pretty expensive (as we have no income right now). Will raise other items to the team and will discuss.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
Ready for #GW2
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Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 21/08/2025
Solio consists of five major building blocks. The second: a stochastic optimiser that works through uncertainty 👇 #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
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Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 21/08/2025
Solio consists of five major building blocks. The first: stress-testing every scenario 👇 #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
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Aris @arisfpl.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
Very impressed with @solioanalytics.com. I have a robust irl background in data analytics & this is the most interesting FPL tool I've seen. BUT, you must understand how it works to get real value from it. Congrats to @jonnyc.bsky.social @trout-post.com @pras-fpl.bsky.social @sertalpbilal.com
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 21/08/2025
We have spent a good amount of time to write, test, and further improve it. We are very proud its capabilities and how fast it is. A good amount of R&D time is spent, but it was worth it imho.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 21/08/2025
It is the same, we are just highlighting for people who haven't tried yet. Our solver is capable of solving tree-like structures, can deal with uncertainty directly. It is big edge in my opinion, as we used to solve FPL only deterministic (no surprises) which leads to different results.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 21/08/2025
Would be happy to answer! Which part specifically? Stochastic solver?
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 20/08/2025
We're extending the free trial period of our #FPL tool one more month. 🙌 When subscription options are available, we will have a free tier, too. We encourage you to give a try and let us know what you think ❤️
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Solio Analytics @solioanalytics.com · 20/08/2025
GW2: What did we learn @jonnyc.bsky.social is joined by @bakerfpl343.bsky.social to review the key lessons from the first round of fixtures, and discuss early insights into players and teams. They analyse the market odds for GW2 matches, and their transfer plans and strategies youtu.be/XdM774FQ7Yg
youtu.be
GW2: What did we learn
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 19/08/2025
@cmusson.uk generated it, we are very proud 😅
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 19/08/2025
We also have a Solio Discord server for you to chat with other users, report bugs, share feedback, and send us recommendations. discord.com/invite/2H74S...
discord.com
Join the The Solio Community Discord Server!
Check out the The Solio Community community on Discord - hang out with 1038 other members and enjoy free voice and text chat.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 19/08/2025
If you are a @solioanalytics.com user, we would LOVE to see you in our mini league. The code is 35soon fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto...
fantasy.premierleague.com
Fantasy Premier League, Official Fantasy Football Game of the Premier League
Official Fantasy Premier League 2025/26. Free to play fantasy football game, set up your fantasy football team at the Official Premier League site.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 19/08/2025
Gudmundsson saving my GW wasn't on the bingo card… but he really is that gud!
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 17/08/2025
It is actually the correct behavior: Dubravka's projected point is higher if both play 90. Since GKs rarely get subbed, it is better to start Dubravka. You can set both players minutes to 90 and compare.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 11/08/2025
We will have a fix for the WC issue, it didn't occur to me when we first added it, but should be relatively easy. We have too much in our plate rn, but will try to implement it soon.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 10/08/2025
Thank you for trying ♥️ 1. Unfortunately not, as a workaround you can try locking player in GW1 and GW6. Is your use case something to do with wildcard planning? 2. We will have an ITB constraint, yes, working on it. TR across range is a great idea, will add to the list.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 10/08/2025
We are working to make the pen share available, not available yet.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 10/08/2025
Will raise to the team and will investigate.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 10/08/2025
Thanks for the feedback! Agreed that it is quite different than other tools in the market, but hoping to make the transition smoother with more coverage in our YouTube and short tutorials.
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