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Sertalp B. Çay

@sertalpbilal.com
4.5K followers 328 following 429 posts

Co-founder and Chair of @solioanalytics.com Principal Operations Research Specialist at SAS Institute. Optimization and sports analytics enthusiast sertalpbilal.com solioanalytics.com

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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
#FPL Optimized sample is completed, and we are ready for GW2
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
Last week, we have added an option to edit your team. By clicking at the leftmost 'root' node, you can enter your transfers, change the price, and adjust ITB. You can also go back to previous GWs to find your old plans: Top-left menu, plan settings, start gameweek
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
Solio is already back online for #GW3 planning. 🚄 #FPL
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/08/2025
Ready for #GW2
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 19/08/2025
Gudmundsson saving my GW wasn't on the bingo card… but he really is that gud!
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 27/05/2025
You can download analytics-oriented data about your #FPL team in Excel format from Season Highlights page. If you want this data, it is better to do it now, as they will wipe this season's data at one point. It's instant download, you don't need to wait. fploptimized.com/highlights.h...
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 25/05/2025
#FPL Got into top 100K like a champ 💪😎
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 18/05/2025
💛❤️ ⭐⭐🌟⭐⭐
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 02/05/2025
Didn't miss the deadline this time 😎
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 30/04/2025
Hi everyone, I will record a new Optimized podcast episode today. Planning to talk about my terrible GW 😅 (I missed the deadline and forgot to active my FH, and currently at 22 points with 2 players to go). Let me know if you have any questions for me. #FPL
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 27/04/2025
🔥🏆🔥
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 26/04/2025
Pretty much 🤣
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 26/04/2025
Gonna score more than my bench boost probably.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 26/04/2025
Forgot to use my FH and set my team. Here's the masterpiece for this GW. Feel free to rate my pain.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 25/04/2025
Apologies for the mix-up in #FPL Optimized episode #124! We forgot to remove the position filter, which caused the captaincy chart to show only forward options. We've fixed the visual (with all player positions) and republished the video. youtu.be/8xhkz3eju0U
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 19/04/2025
"Invasion of the boffins" - @irishtimes.com covered our League of Ireland fantasy takeover. 10 of us in top 15. And guess who's 2nd? 😏 Big shoutout to @swishfpl.bsky.social (Swish) and @cmusson.uk (Moose) from our Discord for the projection model and adapting the solver! #LOIFantasy #AnalyticsFC
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 16/03/2025
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 07/03/2025
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 03/03/2025
@cmusson.uk created this script gist.github.com/ChrisMusson/...
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 25/02/2025
Best forwards for next 6 GWs Sorted by (1) total points and (2) total points per price
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 25/02/2025
Best midfielders for next 6 GWs Sorted by (1) total points and (2) total points per price
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 25/02/2025
Best defenders for next 6 GWs Sorted by (1) total points and (2) total points per price
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 25/02/2025
Best goalkeepers for next 6 GWs Sorted by (1) total points and (2) total points per price
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 25/02/2025
Captaincy comparison
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 25/02/2025
Quick turnaround, so no pod episode for GW27, but here are all the visuals. Fixture Ticker
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/02/2025
#FPL 🤤
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 31/01/2025
#FPL AM EV by FPL Nik x.com/AnalystNik11...
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 23/01/2025
FPL towers seem to be adding Assistant Manager data to the API. 👀
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 22/01/2025
Getting ready to drop Episode 116 of the FPL Optimized podcast in a bit. In the meantime, check out this collage of our episode banners, crafted with a bit of Python magic.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 16/01/2025
Audio: cms.megaphone.fm/channel/COMG...
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 10/01/2025
Audio version: cms.megaphone.fm/channel/COMG...
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 03/01/2025
And finally, among FWDs below 7M (as Cunha alternative) Wood is leading with 26.45 prP. Good luck everyone!
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 03/01/2025
Top players by projected points for this GW (top 10) and also top 2 players for next 6 GWs.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 03/01/2025
Notable players from each team in terms of future projections (next 6) compared to their underlyings in recent GWs (last 6)
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 03/01/2025
Fixture ticker for next 6 GWs
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 03/01/2025
Top 15 players in each position with GW details. (Note that you might need to download the image to see the details, they are compressed in web view)
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 03/01/2025
No #FPL Optimized episode this GW, but here is a thread with latest data from projection models. Starting with top players, grouped by positions for next 6 GWs. Top 15 players in each position by ensemble (total only). (note that double gw probability affects liv/eve projections)
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 28/12/2024
#FPL And finally captaincy. Salah/Palmer seems like the combo to have.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 28/12/2024
Forwards
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 28/12/2024
Midfielders
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 28/12/2024
Defenders
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 28/12/2024
#FPL Top 15 players in each position, sorted by - total projections - total projections per price (PS: I'm not a fan of projected pts per price, as they might be misleading, but I understand they are useful in some cases.) Goalkeepers
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 28/12/2024
#FPL Top 30 players by ensemble of projections models for next 6 GWs.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 24/12/2024
On Fix (Opta) his stats are like this xG = 0.08 xA = 1.08 I think it is 0.08 * 5 + 1.08 * 3 + 2 (appearance) + 1 (bonus) + 0.99 (cs) * 1 = 7.63 Not exactly sure about appearance/bonus/cs calculation (should be the reason for the difference), but majority of xFPL is coming from xA, it seems.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 23/12/2024
#FPL GW17 was interesting...
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 23/12/2024
#FPL Comparison of Saka replacements (midfielders below 10.5M) for next 8 GWs. * Using FPLReview, Mikkel Tokvam, and Fantasy Football Fix projections * You can see that models differ a bit about when Saka will be back, so it might affect Ødegaard projections a bit.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 20/12/2024
#FPL Risk/Swing vs Projected Points Plot for next 8 GWs * Using current estimated top 1M ownership * Projected points are weighted average of Review and Mikkel Tokvam
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 19/12/2024
#FPL Looks like it's a close call between Palmer and Salah for captaincy. Salah is leading Scout's poll with 40% Palmer 18% Isak 10%
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 17/12/2024
Seems like model projections are quite different from each other, but I see Iwobi, Semenyo, Sarr, Amad in top 4 in the ensemble of models.
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Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal.com · 17/12/2024
And a bonus viz for forwards below 7.1M price.
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