iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

I’ve done it before! Just post your plan before the govt makes the data public.

Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

#EconSky, we are hiring a TT position here at @ubuffaloecon.bsky.social. Seeking someone in IO, micro theory, or macro. Apps from advanced assistant profs are welcome! Ad will be on JOE soon, but you can apply now on UB’s jobs site. Let me know if you have Qs. www.ubjobs.buffalo.edu/postings/64511

ubjobs.buffalo.edu

Assistant Professor, Economics (Tenure-track)

The Department of Economics at the University at Buffalo seeks to hire, at the level of Assistant Professor (tenure-track), an economist specializing in industrial organization, microeconomic theory, ...

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Reposted by Scott Barkowski

Economics | University at Buffalo @ubuffaloecon.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Why study economics? This paper gives one reason: A huge boost in your earnings! Read about it here: www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=... Or come talk to us about it in the UB Economics Department!

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

The business school at the U at Buffalo is hiring for a strategy position that might be of interest for some economists. They are looking for strategy, entrepreneurship, innovation, international business, sustainability, and related fields. See the ad here: www.ubjobs.buffalo.edu/postings/64230

lnkd.in

This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

P.S. Search chair @toddpugatch.bsky.social confirmed it will be posted soon. It will flow applications through to the link I posted though.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

The deadline has been extended until Monday (Sept 14)! So there is still time if you are interested!

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

UBuffalo Econ is hiring a non-tenure track position. 3 yr appointment and renewable after that. 3 courses a semester, and you'd be a core dept member. Looking for someone to start next semester! But next fall possible for a terrific candidate. #EconSky www.ubjobs.buffalo.edu/postings/64272

ubjobs.buffalo.edu

Assistant Teaching Professor, Economics (Non-Tenure-Track)

The Department of Economics at the University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, seeks to fill one Assistant Teaching Professor (Non-Tenure-Track) position for an economist committed to ach...

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Reposted by Scott Barkowski

NIHCM @nihcm.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

🚨Less than a month left to apply for #NIHCM’s 2026-27 Health Care Journalism Grant! Proposals are due by October 2, 2026. Learn more and start your application today at bit.ly/NIHCM_JG26

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Do any traditional PMs exist anymore? These days, PMs like Kalshi have become just gambling sites. They bear little resemblance to PMs as economists would describe them.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

@ubuffaloecon.bsky.social is hosting a health econ (and adjacent) conference on Oct. 9. Come for the beautiful fall, maybe visit Niagara Falls while here, and also meet some fellow health econ researchers! Submit your abstract by Sept. 11! Submit here: sunybuffalo.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

Great work Kegon! Congrats to Julia and Mariyana, too!

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 02/05/2026

What’s about to happen? At least Memphis has an NBA team.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

It is available for USA consumers. They could have bought it.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

No, I don’t think we could. Besides, it’s not really about whether we could or not, it’s about the cost. It would be far higher than any gain in oil price you might produce.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

This is a good idea. But I’m wondering if its dsta would be useful as an economic indicator.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Are these actually estimates? Or are they more like AI guesses?

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Reposted by Scott Barkowski

NIHCM @nihcm.bsky.social · 29/04/2026

Congratulations to #NIHCMs 32 Annual Policy Research Award Winners Joshua Gottlieb, Maria Polyakova, Kevin Rinz, Hugh Shiplett, and Victoria Udalova for their piece “The Earnings and Labor Supply of U.S. Physicians” in @qjeharvard.bsky.social! Learn more here:https://bit.ly/NIHCM2026PRAWinner

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Justin, oil tends to be priced at the world market level. Exports or not, the usa price will be similar to the rest of the world, aside from relatively short deviations. It would be very hard to close down the country enough to effect a different price level In the USA.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 23/04/2026

Do you think it is dept chairs that request these or is it admin people in HR that add the letter requirement because they don’t realize the letters don’t matter?

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Reposted by Scott Barkowski

Erzo F.P. Luttmer @erzoluttmer.bsky.social · 03/04/2026

Lots of questions about AI in the editorial process these days. Thank you, Ray, for sharing the reviewer guidance. Bottomline, you can use AI tools, but we are looking for your judgment, not that of AI. We appreciate it if you let us know if/how you used AI.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

In medicine they’ve got 20 people on papers, half of which have no idea what the study is about. The people who do usually don’t know what they‘re doing. I’m not sure I ready to believe medicine is closer to finding the true distribution of effects over any other field.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Joe what does the true distribution of effects look like?

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

You can’t make a cool acronym with those.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

Wasnt the whole point of prediction markets originally that insiders will trade? The concept being that we pay to release hidden info to create better predictions?

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

I think people do this. They’ll talk about a policy or something that people can’t respond to. But you Can’t respond to a blind critique of, “well that’s endogenous.” IMO, the second is much more common than people trying to claim theyve controlled for everything.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 27/02/2026

Hard to believe there wouldn’t be better policy options than just, hey let’s make you ignorant.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 30/01/2026

Seems harsh to give *zero* points for that first answer.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

I am not familiar with this code so I could be wrong, but I think you need one more restriction.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

I feel like one way to look at it is you can do a one sided test if you are willing to make a bet and sacrifice your power on the other side. But given the incentives, we should stick to two sided tests in this case unless we prespecify the use of a one sided test, so that we have to stick to it.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

A ton of negative measurement error or just randomness.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

I think you are close. You wanna re-paramaterize so that you have d1=b1-b2, d2=b1-b3, and d3=b2-b3, then you can do what Adam did and test H0: d1‎ = d2=d3=0 vs H1: d1<0, d2<0, d3<0 using that paper he posted.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

Yeah I can see that happening! And I also don’t mean it as a critique, seem like you made a reasonable approach. But if you find bhat>0, then arent you implying b1>0 and b2>0 and b3>0, not b1>0 and/or b2>0 and/or b3>0?That would seem to be a higher rejection threshold.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

This is a good suggestion. But is the alternative in the test you did the same as the one you wanted to test? Seems like it is a higher threshold, meaning you are less likely to reject/ less powerful.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

Alternatively maybe you can express your hypothesis as a conditional moment and use this? users.ssc.wisc.edu/~xshi28/rese...

users.ssc.wisc.edu

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

One way to do this could be to do restricted least squares to estimate your restricted model.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

Can you embed these assumptions into your model to get a restricted version of your full model? If so, then you should be able to do a standard f test.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

Their numbers likely reflect their decades of exposure to recent finances since then, at least in part. So you’re overstating what they considered financially successful back then.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

Seems like you’re comparing inflation adjusted (at least implicitly) numbers to ones that weren’t. Hard to imagine boomers recall exactly what they would have thought financially successfully meant in 1973 precisely when they were asked about it in 2024.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

I Would consider the issue with calling his work at McKinsey as peer reviewed as potentially a problem for a university president, but it would also be a problem for a Dean, too. So why wasnt it an issue before?

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

Apparently he was hired as the business school dean 10 years ago straight from McKinsey, and he did not have a PhD (or maybe just earned it at the time). So wasnt it totally apparent that the guy is not an academic? If so, is it still fair to critique the guy basically For not being an academic?

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Reposted by Scott Barkowski

John Cawley @johncawley.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

One last (sobering) update on the #EconJobMarket before the winter holidays; data as of 2025-12-14. In terms of # of job listings on Job Openings for Economists (JOE), this is the worst job mkt in recent yrs for PhD Economists. # jobs down 20% from last yr, even 18.9% lower than during COVID (2020).

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

Interesting experiment! That said, couldn’t some of the response have been fraudsters? And couldn’t there be more fraud that didn’t respond not respond at all? I don’t see why we should expect compilers to be a large portion of the population of fraudsters.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 04/02/2025

Sorry Mike that is *really far* something they’d consider. Lebron is still putting up 24/8/9. Besides, that wouldn’t work under the cap. Salaries would be extremely far from being matched.

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 14/01/2025

Enrollment increasing doesn’t mean the FAFSA didn’t ramp down on college going, though. So don’t draw conclusions until we can estimate the counterfactual!

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Scott Barkowski @scottbarkowski.bsky.social · 14/01/2025

Which one? The one who was right about them, or the one who was wrong?

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