Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 8hThe folks at Vote Maximizer have used data - national opinion and local trends - to estimate how much moving a few votes can make a difference. votemaximizer.org Surprise, North Carolina has multiple competitive districts! NC11: Jamie Ager NC3: Raymond Smith Jr. NC7: Kim Hardy NC9: Richard Ojeda 3125
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 8hHere's a prime example: North Carolina. It was already gerrymandered - but the Republican-controlled legislature attempted some gerrymaxxing. They did this by cutting their margins close, in the hopes of flipping one seat with a Black representative. gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistrictin... 2103
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 08/10/2026As the Senate playing field widens, optimize your door-knocking – and your donations: samwang.substack.com/p/senate-mon... 142
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Voting today secures your ballot and frees you up to work on important races. Ciara's list includes key competitive Senate races in SD, ME, MN, NE, ME, & OH. Also, competitive Congressional races in VA, CA, NE, ME, MN & OH. And important legislative races in AZ! learn more: votemaximizer.org 01312
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 05/10/2026This last feature - highest-impact giving - is under development. Please weigh in as we polish it up and get it ready for wide distribution! samwang.substack.com/p/senate-mon... 130
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 05/10/2026But you have to use all the data: national trends, local history, and where available, polls. Use case: here in New Jersey, we learn that the swing districts are not just NJ-7 (everyone here already knows that), but also NJ-2. samwang.substack.com/p/catching-a... Pictured: NJ-2's Zack Mullock (D). 131
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 05/10/2026I've long held that polling data is very useful to guide your action. Call it Democracy Moneyball. Here, I dive into how the closest races and the smallest states and districts are where you can make the most difference in your get-out-the-vote activity. samwang.substack.com/p/maximizing... 2113
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Yes, turnout is critical! But let's be smart about it. At the Electoral Innovation Lab, we have a resource for you: Vote Maximizer. We use demographics and polling data to show you where you will have the most impact on the ultimate outcome. Not all votes will land equally. votemaximizer.org 11513
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Catching a wave in south Jersey: what happens when the rising tide of sentiment reaches New Jersey? Some surprises. NJ-07: no longer a swing district. NJ-02: goes on the knife-edge. Is an 11-1 delegation possible? A dive into the data with Vote Maximizer: samwang.substack.com/p/catching-a... 1257
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Tune in tomorrow, when I'll write about how to donate in a targeted manner in places where your dollar actually does something. Spoiler: some of those emails you're getting are for races that are (a) in the bag, or (b) hopeless. Avoid these! votemaximizer.org 163
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Inundated with requests for donations? Vote Maximizer uses hard data to calculate which races are worth your canvassing time - and your donations. Here, an explanation of how it works. It's a resource to find key federal and state races. Over 3,000 ratings! samwang.substack.com/p/maximizing... 32210
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Greetings from Matt’s Bar in Minneapolis, home of the Juicy Lucy! This baby is filled with molten cheese 3361
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I'm in Minneapolis for the Westminster Town Hall Forum. It's an honor to kick off their We The People series. I'll propose what we can do to preserve our democracy in 2027 - and build anew in 2029. westminsterforum.org And as a reminder of what's under threat, I visited the Alex Pretti memorial. 172
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 20/09/2026LOCAL NJ DATA CENTER ALERT: A new data center proposed in South Brunswick/Princeton. On Wednesday September 23 at 5:30pm, come make public comment on what you think of this massive plan. kingstongreenways.org 21919
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 30/08/2026Here’s an interesting study showing that zoonotic spillovet events are happening more and more often. The causes? Human population growth, climate change, and travel tl;dr: we should expect something like it to happen again. gh.bmj.com/content/8/11... 1177
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 29/08/2026If anyone wants to actually learn something about the entry into humans of the SARS-CoV2 virus, here is a great summary of evidence. It is a little technical but it actually considers both major hypotheses. The authors are leading virologists. journals.asm.org/doi/epub/10.... 25017
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Do professors indoctrinate their students? Here's a new study that suggests not. However, it is true that (a) students sort into majors that reflect their ideology, and (b) students influence one another (as in another setting, child development). The goods: micah-baum.github.io/files/baum-e... 0126
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 07/08/2026And here's an older article. I wrote it long ago, but every statement in it has held up over time. The cumulative evidence from hundreds of research articles, in one package: www.nytimes.com/2014/03/30/o... 011
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 07/08/2026This draft executive order revives a big lie about autism: a nonexistent connection with vaccines. Here, one look back at hundreds of scientific articles on the *actual* causes of autism. A contrast with the shiny obkects that journalists choose to cover. samwang.substack.com/p/tylenol-ca... 2177
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 07/08/2026Back at the dawn of COVID-19, Julian Zelizer and I interviewed Dr. Abdul El-Sayed. We spoke about what he called America's "epidemic of insecurity." He's an epidemiologist, a public health expert - and now, a rising star. Really worth a listen - check it out. samwang.substack.com/p/talking-wi... 041
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 05/08/2026I'll hold the ball, Charlie Brown. Then you run up and kick it! 060
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Wednesday 3pm ET: At Fixing Bugs in Democracy, next we'll get into multimember districts & ranked-choice voting. This nerdy reform is all the rage. It could end gerrymandering. Would it a) decrease competition or b) increase voter leverage? The weird answer: both! open.substack.com/live-stream/... 293
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Wednesday 2pm ET: A dive into the John R. Lewis Voter Empowerment Act, with Nuzhat Chowdhury from N.J. Institute for Social Justice. - Can we fight the loss of the Voting Rights Act? - Can councils become more diverse? - Do closed primaries hurt Asian voters? open.substack.com/live-stream/... 162
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 04/08/2026At the Electoral Innovation Lab, our summer fellows have been busy! Tomorrow (Wednesday) join us for **two** Substack Live broadcasts. 2pm ET: New routes to voting rights in New Jersey, thanks to a state law enacted last month! 3pm: A hidden benefit to multimember districts! samwang.substack.com 173
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Your assertion is not supported by survey evidence. DSA voters are extremely motivated to vote this year (66%) compared to other Democrats (57%). Both groups overwhelmingly support Democratic congressional candidates (99% of DSA and 94% of non-DSA). www.cnn.com/2026/07/30/p... 161
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 04/08/2026In current polls that asked both Rogers-vs-Stevens and Rogers-vs-El-Sayed questions (n=4), the differential is anywhere from a six-point advantage for nominating Stevens over El-Sayed to a three-point advantage for El-Sayed. The median difference is 2.5 points, at present. 171
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Here's a larger data set. Note that the rank order is pretty good! The correlation coefficient is +0.934, where +1.0 is perfect. And a measure of getting the order right, which is called "rank correlation", is an amazing +0.980. tl;dr we're good at comparing, but we are the pits at quantifying 45712
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 22/07/2026Well, it's been two weeks and we have already basically forgotten about Platner. And, the first survey's out: 711714
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 13/07/2026Now the project 2025 crowd wants to set up $1 trillion patronage system. This would subvert how we decide scientific grants, construction projects, education, and public health. To learn how to fight this go to samwang.substack.com. Public comment ends today. 0153
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 13/07/2026You can help stop the Project 2025 attack on science - but you need to act *today*. Tune in to Fixing Bugs in Democracy. Veteran science policymaker Elizabeth Ginexi will help us make an effective public comment & get Congress to act. Join us today 3pm Eastern: samwang.substack.com/p/fixing-bug... 04023
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 11/07/2026Ironically, a narrow loss is not "getting slaughtered." It was a narrow loss, in a series of narrow Presidential and Congressional elections since 1994. We must get a grip on the fact that small changes in voting are leading to massive instability. We need to break out of this second Gilded Age. 2478
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 29/06/2026What's next for primary elections in New Jersey? Tonight at 6:00pm, Princeton Public Library, a public discussion: samwang.substack.com/p/whats-next... 022
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 28/06/2026What's next for New Jersey party primaries? Tomorrow (Monday, June 29) at 6:00pm at the Princeton Public Library, locals, a discussion of how to build a system where most voters have a way. Featuring New Jersey Spotlight’s Colleen O’Dea, FairVote’s Dave Daley, and myself. We hope you can attend! 080
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 28/06/2026Thank you, @dieworkwear.bsky.social (via Walter Olson): 0365
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 14/06/2026Fastest cleanup ever - the aftermath at Washington Square Park. Thank you city workers and Mamdani administration! 2607
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 03/06/2026A bit hoarse from too much blowing off steam last night (including a karaoke duet with an opponent!). Thank you friends around the world, around the nation, and here in central New Jersey! More soon, but until then, one friend sent me this: 2280
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 02/06/2026In Princeton, we’re meeting lots of neighbors who haven’t voted yet. But the primary is where your vote is most powerful! Democrats and unaffiliated voters, cast your ballot by 8pm! SamForNJ.org 0102
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 02/06/2026Hello East Brunswick! Brad and I are here, thanking poll workers. Vote by 8:00pm! 1105
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 02/06/2026With state Senator Andrew Zwicker on the platform today. We're two scientists, working to make change! 0143
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 02/06/2026All gas, no brakes...and stop texting! You have until 8:00pm to vote. AND...unaffiliate voters, you can vote in the Democratic primary! Go there, ask for the ballot, and vote for SamForNJ.org 130
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 02/06/2026All gas, no brakes...and stop texting! Central Jersey, vote by 8:00pm today. And have a great day out there - it's a beautiful day! SamForNJ.org 1112
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 02/06/2026Hi, I’m Sam Wang. My opponents Jay, Squire, and I say: West Windsor, Plainsboro, Princeton, Hopewell, Pennington – get out there and vote today! SamForNJ.org 4374
Sam Wang @samwang.bsky.social · 02/06/2026Central Jersey, today is election day. Vote by 8 PM tonight for Sam Wang! Great minds think alike. Here at Princeton Junction station with NJ-12 opponents Jay and Squire! SamForNJ.org 35010