Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I'm in Copenhagen, so was awake to watch von der Leyen's speech calling for Canada's "associate membership" in the EU. No such category exists, so the meaning of the label is unclear. What matters more is that she highlighted deepening Canada-EU ties as a European strategic goal. 2232
Reposted by Roland ParisChatham House @chathamhouse.org · 10/09/2026The US–Canada trade war will test not only economic strength but also political will. On the latter, Canada may have an advantage. Read @rolandparis.bsky.social's latest analysis for Chatham House.chathamhouse.orgCanada's retaliatory tariffs put Trump's trade strategy to the testUS–Canada trade war will test not only economic strength but also political will. On the latter, Canada may have an advantage. 11210
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Me, on the escalating Canada-US trade war, written for @chathamhouse.org. www.chathamhouse.org/2026/09/cana...chathamhouse.orgCanada's retaliatory tariffs put Trump's trade strategy to the testUS–Canada trade war will test not only economic strength but also political will. On the latter, Canada may have an advantage. 081
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 07/04/2026Canada's official position per Mark Carney is that all parties to the Iran conflict, including the United States, must respect the international law of armed conflict. If there were ever a good day for Canada and like-minded partners to reiterate this position, it is today. 32611
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 23/03/2026My comments on the Carney government's cuts to Canada's foreign ministry in this article: www.hilltimes.com/2026/03/18/f... 0198
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 16/03/2026I enjoyed chatting with @mattgalloway.bsky.social and @bmomani.bsky.social today about Mark Carney's foreign policy and Trump's reckless war in Iran. on.soundcloud.com/Wz6iup0Sx68w...soundcloud.comOn Carney's foreign policy & the Iran war - interview on CBC The Current, 16 March 2026Listen to On Carney's foreign policy & the Iran war - interview on CBC The Current, 16 March 2026 by Roland Paris #np on #SoundCloud 0125
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 05/03/2026I just read this wonderful (and interesting) review of my mother Erna Paris' posthumous memoir: reviewcanada.ca/magazine/202... 060
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 03/03/2026This Carney statement is puzzling. If, as he says, we must accept "the world as it is" – including the purported failure of previous diplomatic efforts and of the international order – then why call for a diplomatic solution, de-escalation, and respect for international law? 196122
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 24/02/2026I was pleased to host foreign minister Anita Anand today at @uottawa.ca on the 4th anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. www.youtube.com/watch?v=T85E...youtube.comAnita Anand speaks on fourth anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – February 24, 2026YouTube video by cpac 062
Reposted by Roland ParisChatham House @chathamhouse.org · 23/02/2026The Supreme Court’s decision to invalidate Donald Trump’s emergency tariffs may have removed one instrument from his tariff toolkit — but it has done nothing to make US trade policy more predictable. Read @rolandparis.bsky.social's analysis for Chatham House⤵️chathamhouse.orgUS Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s tariffs: Early analysis from Chatham House expertsChatham House analysts give their Initial reactions to the Supreme Court’s tariffs ruling, its likely impact on President Donald Trump’s economic agenda, and his angry response to the ruling. 144
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 22/02/2026Chatham House asked for my quick assessment of the US Supreme Court tariff decision. Here's what I wrote: 043
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 30/01/2026A reminder of the risks of relying exclusively on the F35. Trump will use any available leverage to apply pressure, including on America’s closest allies. Derisking is essential. 48828
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 26/01/2026Amazing how many international relations "realists" who've spent decades arguing that material power not ideas matter in international affairs, are suddenly recognizing that destroying trust (an idea) and perceptions of the US (more ideas) may be materially damaging to the US. 1379
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 24/01/2026Fact check: The US trades a lot more with China than Canada does - not just in absolute $ but also relative to each country's total trade. * US trade with China = 10.9% of total US trade * Canada's trade with China = 7.9% of total Canadian trade Data sources: x.com/rolandparis/... 68439
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 22/01/2026I discussed the Carney speech and what might come next with Matt Galloway on CBC The Current this morning. To listen: on.soundcloud.com/NELsuOsg8awM...soundcloud.comOn Mark Carney's Davos speech and what comes next | CBC The Current | January 26, 2026Listen to On Mark Carney's Davos speech and what comes next | CBC The Current | January 26, 2026 by Roland Paris #np on #SoundCloud 042
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 22/01/2026To me, this was the most interesting and telling part of Trump's Davos speech. He doesn't even try to hide his imperial ambitions because he doesn't see any real problems with imperialism - now or in the past. Listen to his words. 32812
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 22/01/2026In this post-“rupture” world, the Canadian government must be more publicly transparent about the specific functions being performed by Canadian exchange officers inside the US military.economist.comCanadian soldiers are subject to Donald Trump’s ordersAs the American president becomes more aggressive, this is becoming a problem 33220
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 21/01/2026Translation: “Nice country you got there, Canada. Watch yourself.” 1177
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 21/01/2026Trump says his desire to acquire Greenland fits a long history of US territorial expansion—and likens it to Europe’s imperial expansion, which he frames as normal. He even seems to fault European countries for giving up their empires. 1153
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 21/01/2026What can “middle powers” actually do? I wrote about this for @chathamhouse.org during the first Trump Admin, when the threats were less severe and the rules-based order more intact, but the same principles apply: hang together or hang separately. www.chathamhouse.org/2019/06/can-...chathamhouse.orgCan Middle Powers Save the Liberal World Order?Many middle powers have been warning of the dangers inherent in the decline of the liberal international order. The time has come for these countries to translate their warnings into concerted action. 0174
Reposted by Roland ParisMiles Kahler @mileskahler.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Excellent analysis of the Carney speech. 173
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Bizarre as it seems, Trump may genuinely be unable to grasp that the Nobel Committee is independent - because the very idea of an institution remaining outside political control is alien to him. 1316
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 20/01/2026This is a good moment for Mark Carney to reconsider cuts to Canada's foreign ministry. He says that we face unprecedented, even existential, challenges and must manage very complex relationships while building new ones. Yet we're *reducing* our diplomatic capacity? 0297
Reposted by Roland ParisMartje @ De Vrije Zangvogel @martjezingt.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Listen till the very end! Luister Tot het einde! #Davos #WEF 021
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Some thoughts from me on Mark Carney’s important speech in Davos. youtu.be/Xj1VHwVgsAY?...youtu.beAnalysis of Mark Carney’s Davos speech | CBC | 20 January 2026YouTube video by rparis001 01911
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 20/01/2026This is one of the sharpest analyses of international affairs that I've heard from a Canadian leader - or any national leader - in a long time. And I suspect he wrote the main bits himself. paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...paulwells.substack.comThe Carney doctrineOpen comment thread on the PM's Davos speech 717155
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 20/01/2026History will judge, but this Greenland episode feels like a tipping point for a lot of things. 1182
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 20/01/2026It makes sense this model would include irregular warfare. Canada couldn’t hold off even a small US invasion conventionally – but it’s a vast country, and occupying and controlling it would be another matter entirely. All hypothetical, of course. 53112
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 19/01/2026Even by Trump’s standards, this is astonishing petty and childish. The neuroses of the most powerful man in the world are once again on full display to everyone – other than himself, that is. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/u...nytimes.comRead the Texts Between Trump and Norway’s Prime Minister About Greenland 0162
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 14/01/2026Reports that the Carney government pulled backbench Liberal MPs from an ongoing visit to Taiwan (ahead of Carney’s trip to China) are not an encouraging signal from the Canadian PM. 072
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 13/01/2026Trump says his so-called Donroe Doctrine "supersedes" the Monroe Doctrine "by a lot." And he might be right: His version is more openly avaricious and arbitrary - in short, more imperial. Read more below. 172
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 13/01/2026My commentary for @chathamhouse.org on Carney's trip to China amid growing concerns about the "Donroe Doctrine." www.chathamhouse.org/2026/01/carn...chathamhouse.orgAs Carney visits China to diversify Canada’s trade, the ‘Donroe Doctrine’ further strains US relationsMark Carney visits Beijing hoping to diversify Canada’s economic partnerships. But trade with the US remains vital, even as tariffs bite and security worries about Donald Trump’s intentions grow. 062
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 10/01/2026Stealing Venezuela’s oil at gunpoint isn’t enough. Trump now seems to want Machado to hand over her Nobel Prize too. He’s a villain, but utterly pathetic: His appetite – his neediness – couldn’t be sated by all the gold or prizes in the world. 32914
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 07/01/2026If the US moves to take over Greenland – a threat we’d be foolish to dismiss – Canada would be forced to rethink every aspect of its relations with the US. Canadian officials need to start thinking though this nightmarish scenario now, not later. It would be a seismic event. 1916764
Reposted by Roland Parisjmbryden @jmbryden.bsky.social · 06/01/2026@rolandparis.bsky.social is bang on about Canada's approach to Trump: "Now, if we speak up, we put our economic security at risk, but if we retreat into silence, we risk losing the very international norms that protect our sovereignty, along with a sense of who we are.”thestar.comBruce Arthur: Donald Trump runs a big red line through Canadian politicsThe mercurial American president has divided us into those who see him as the monstrous danger he is and those who don't, Bruce Arthur writes. 11510
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 06/01/2026This is good and timely. I hope other Canadian ministers will accompany her to Greenland – to underscore Canada’s support. 1327
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 05/01/2026Careful silence when the US started killing people in international waters. Careful silence when a Canadian ICC justice was sanctioned by the US. Now we mumble vague things about international law and Venezuela. We’re losing more than just our voice. 6259102
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 05/01/2026For those Canadians cheering on Trump's military action in Venezuela, it might be worth recalling that you live in a country that Trump wishes to bend to his will through "economic force" and in a region that Trump says the US must "dominate." 1017253
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 04/01/2026Shared some thoughts about the implications of US military action in Venezuela, including legality and international reverberations, in a radio interview this morning: on.soundcloud.com/cYfhraqheMK7...soundcloud.comRoland Paris | Implications of US military action in Venezuela | CBC | 4 January 2026Roland Paris | Implications of US military action in Venezuela | CBC | 4 January 2026 195
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 03/01/2026So far the biggest parallel seems to be more Panama 1989 than Iraq 2003. Will depend on whether the US actually tries to “run” Venezuela. 1142
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 03/01/2026Carefully worded statement from Canada’s foreign minister. 284
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 03/01/2026I’ll be interested to see the Carney government’s statement today… 0141
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 12/12/2025I’m prohibited from traveling to Russia, have been advised not to travel to China, and have chosen not to travel to the United States. Great-power tourism in 2025 isn’t what it used to be. 2267
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 19/11/2025I support a lot of PM Carney’s agenda, but I can’t decide what’s the greater surprise: the apparent downgrading of climate change as one of his top policy priorities, or the public quiescence of so many Liberal MPs & cabinet ministers who didn’t used to support drill-baby-drill. 3243
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 17/11/2025So happy to launch my late mother Erna Paris's memoir in Toronto earlier this month. More here: www.indigo.ca/en-ca/huntin... 0100
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 12/11/2025I look forward to hosting Kevin Lynch and Jim Mitchell tomorrow at @gspia-esapi.bsky.social to discuss their book: "A New Blueprint for Government: Reshaping Power, the PMO, and the Public Service." Info & registration: www.uottawa.ca/faculty-soci...uottawa.caBook Launch - "A New Blueprint for Government: Reshaping Power, the PMO, and the Public Service" | Faculty of Social Sciences 051
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 11/11/2025Earlier today I spoke with Matt Galloway on CBC radio's The Current about the Carney government's foreign policy, including the challenges of "resetting" relations with China and India. on.soundcloud.com/APAZWSI0gmyF...soundcloud.comRoland Paris, CBC The Current, 11 Nov. 2025Roland Paris interview on CBC Radio's The Current on Canada's foreign policy so far under Prime Minister Mark Carney 092
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 04/11/2025The seemingly outsized cuts to Global Affairs Canada in Budget 2025 are hard to square with the government’s repeated call to expand and deepen Canada's international partnerships. Reinvesting in the military is welcome – but defence is just one tool of our international policy. 37331
Roland Paris @rolandparis.bsky.social · 30/10/2025I was happy to join Leslie Vinjamuri (@leslievinjamuri.bsky.social) of the Chicago Council on Global Affairs and Professor Robert Howse from NYU’s Law School on this week’s Deep Dish podcast to discuss "Trump - Canada's Friend or Foe?" Listen: brnw.ch/21wX4N6brnw.chTrump—Canada's Friend or Foe?As new tariffs, increased geopolitical tensions and a shifting rules-based order challenge the closest of allies, how will Canada and the US redefine their relationship? 182