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Rogue NHC Pacific

@rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social
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Not official. Not going to sit idly by either though. Please visit www.nhc.noaa.gov/mobile directly for more weather info. @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social @rogue-hc-centpac.bsky.social

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Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 32m
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the southern tip of the
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane 
Simon, located about one hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by the middle or latter half of next 
week as the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Evans/Gibbs

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane 
Simon, located about one hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by the middle or latter half of next 
week as the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Evans/Gibbs
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 3h
Simon Public Advisory SIMON A MAJOR HURRICANE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEAR COMPLETION
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
022
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 3h
Rachel Public Advisory TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 6h
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja Calif
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Simon, located a 
couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by the latter half of next week as the 
system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Adams

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Simon, located a 
couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by the latter half of next week as the 
system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Adams
001
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 9h
Simon Public Advisory SIMON CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 9h
Rachel Public Advisory TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 12h
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja Cali
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Simon, located a 
couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by late next week as the system moves 
generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Brown

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Simon, located a 
couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by late next week as the system moves 
generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Brown
021
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 15h
Simon Public Advisory SIMON FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO AS A DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE THIS WEEKEND. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
010
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 15h
Rachel Public Advisory TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 18h
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja Calif
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Simon, located a 
couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression could form as the system moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster D. Zelinsky

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Simon, located a 
couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression could form as the system moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster D. Zelinsky
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 21h
Simon Public Advisory SIMON RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. EXPECTED TO BECOME A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BY SATURDAY
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
021
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 21h
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY NOW ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
011
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja Cali
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Simon, located a 
couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form as it moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.





Forecaster Evans/Gibbs

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Simon, located a 
couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form as it moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.





Forecaster Evans/Gibbs
010
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Simon Public Advisory SIMON BECOMES A HURRICANE. RAPID INTENSIFICATION FORECAST
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
010
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD LATER TONIGHT
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
010
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja Calif
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Simon, 
located a couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form as it moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.





Forecaster Adams

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Simon, 
located a couple of hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form as it moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.





Forecaster Adams
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Simon Public Advisory SIMON ALMOST A HURRICANE. HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY. EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND HEAD TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA ON FRIDAY
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja Cali
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Simon, 
located a couple of hundred miles off the coast of southwestern 
Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form as it moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Katz/Cangialosi

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip 
of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Simon, 
located a couple of hundred miles off the coast of southwestern 
Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form as it moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Katz/Cangialosi
001
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Simon Public Advisory HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO. SIMON FORECAST TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL HOLDS STEADY OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern t
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
downgraded Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west 
of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and on 
Tropical Storm Simon, located a couple of hundred miles off the 
coast of southwestern Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form as it moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Katz/Cangialosi

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
downgraded Tropical Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west 
of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and on 
Tropical Storm Simon, located a couple of hundred miles off the 
coast of southwestern Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter, and a 
tropical depression could form as it moves generally 
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Katz/Cangialosi
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Simon Public Advisory SIMON EXPECTED TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN SOON. TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL NOW A TROPICAL STORM
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja Californi
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Simon, located 
more than 100 miles southwest of coast of the Mexican state of 
Guerrero.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form as it moves 
generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Evans/Papin

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Simon, located 
more than 100 miles southwest of coast of the Mexican state of 
Guerrero.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form as it moves 
generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Evans/Papin
010
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Simon Public Advisory SIMON FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
010
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula, and on recently upgraded Tropical 
Storm Simon, located about 125 miles offshore of the coast of the 
Mexican state of Guerrero.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward at 
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Pierce/Hagen

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula, and on recently upgraded Tropical 
Storm Simon, located about 125 miles offshore of the coast of the 
Mexican state of Guerrero.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward at 
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Simon are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Pierce/Hagen
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Simon Public Advisory DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM SIMON
5-day forecast cone for SimonSurface wind field for Simon
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL MAINTAINS HURRICANE INTENSITY
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja Californi
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula, and on newly formed Tropical 
Depression 20-E, located several hundred miles south-southeast of 
Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward at 
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Depression 20-E are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression 20-E are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Katz/Pasch

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula, and on newly formed Tropical 
Depression 20-E, located several hundred miles south-southeast of 
Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico.

1. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward at 
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Depression 20-E are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression 20-E are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.


Forecaster Katz/Pasch
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Twenty-E Public Advisory NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO
5-day forecast cone for Twenty-ESurface wind field for Twenty-E
010
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located offshore of southern Mexico are becoming 
better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development, and this system is expected to become a 
tropical depression within a day or so. The disturbance should 
continue to move slowly west-northwestward to northwestward for the 
next few days. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is forecast 
across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through this 
week. Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system. For additional information, 
including Storm Warnings, see High Seas forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward around 
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


Forecaster Katz/Pasch

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located offshore of southern Mexico are becoming 
better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development, and this system is expected to become a 
tropical depression within a day or so. The disturbance should 
continue to move slowly west-northwestward to northwestward for the 
next few days. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is forecast 
across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through this 
week. Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system. For additional information, 
including Storm Warnings, see High Seas forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala during the early portion of next week. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward around 
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


Forecaster Katz/Pasch
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL HOLDS STEADY AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
001
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is expected to form within the next day or so while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Regardless 
of development, heavy rainfall is forecast across portions of 
southern and southwestern Mexico over the next few days. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system. For additional information, including Gale Warnings, 
see High Seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


Forecaster Evans/Papin

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is expected to form within the next day or so while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Regardless 
of development, heavy rainfall is forecast across portions of 
southern and southwestern Mexico over the next few days. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system. For additional information, including Gale Warnings, 
see High Seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


Forecaster Evans/Papin
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL HOLDING STEADY OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Regardless 
of development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of 
southern and southwestern Mexico over the next few days. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Pierce/Gibbs

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Regardless 
of development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of 
southern and southwestern Mexico over the next few days. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Pierce/Gibbs
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL SLIGHTLY WEAKER
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Regardless 
of development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of 
southern and southwestern Mexico over the next few days. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Kelly

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Regardless 
of development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of 
southern and southwestern Mexico over the next few days. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Kelly
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Shower and thunderstorm coverage has been increasing in association 
with a broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern 
Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the 
next day or two while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to 
northwestward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected 
across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico over the next 
few days. Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Kelly

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Shower and thunderstorm coverage has been increasing in association 
with a broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern 
Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the 
next day or two while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to 
northwestward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected 
across portions of southern and southwestern Mexico over the next 
few days. Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coast of 
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it 
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Kelly
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE CONTINUING WESTWARD
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
011
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (92E):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while 
the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. 
Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the 
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (92E):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while 
the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. 
Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the 
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located just under 500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja C
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located just under 500 miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (92E):
A broad area of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next few days while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located just under 500 miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (92E):
A broad area of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next few days while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja C
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (92E):
A broad area of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is expected to form during the next few days while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (92E):
A broad area of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is expected to form during the next few days while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Interests 
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Rachel Public Advisory RACHEL SLIGHTLY WEAKENS AND CONTINUES WESTWARD
5-day forecast cone for RachelSurface wind field for Rachel
000
Rogue NHC Pacific @rogue-nhc-pacific.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja Ca
tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located just to the south of the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, 
and a tropical depression is expected to form during the middle to 
latter portion of the week while the system moves slowly 
west-northwestward to northwestward, just offshore of the southern 
to southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Kelly

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Eastern Pacific Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located just to the south of the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, 
and a tropical depression is expected to form during the middle to 
latter portion of the week while the system moves slowly 
west-northwestward to northwestward, just offshore of the southern 
to southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Kelly
000