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Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 2h

Isaias Public Advisory ISAIAS MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING THREAT SPREADS INLAND

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 5h

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, currently approaching the northern Gulf Coast. Tropical cyclone formation is n

tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, currently approaching the northern Gulf Coast.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Adams
NNNN

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, currently approaching the northern Gulf Coast.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Adams
NNNN

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 8h

Isaias Public Advisory CONDITIONS DETERIORATING QUICKLY WITHIN THE STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE SEEKING SAFE SHELTER

011

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 11h

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is no

tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN

010

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 14h

Isaias Public Advisory CENTER OF ISAIAS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST THIS EVENING. LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND DEVASTATING WINDS LIKELY ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA COASTS

110

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 17h

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is no

tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
NNNN

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
NNNN

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 20h

Isaias Public Advisory ISAIAS STRENGTHENING. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION AS THE WEATHER WILL GO DOWNHILL QUICKLY TODAY.

022

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 23h

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, located over the central Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expe

tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, located over the central Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, located over the central Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN

010

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Isaias Public Advisory ISAIAS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE ON FRIDAY. STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT

010

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, located over the central Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expe

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, located over the central Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Adams
NNNN

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Isaias Public Advisory HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT ISAIAS NOW HAS 100 MPH WINDS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM STORM SURGE AND DAMAGING WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaias, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NNNN

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Isaias Public Advisory ISAIAS STRONGER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM STORM SURGE AND DAMAGING WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY

001

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Isaias Public Advisory NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT ISAIAS CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM STORM SURGE AND DAMAGING WINDS ALONG THE WARNING AREA OF THE GULF COAST SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on upgraded Hurricane Isaias, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formati

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on upgraded
Hurricane Isaias, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts
NNNN

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Isaias Public Advisory ISAIAS NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH. HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST

021

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Isaias, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation i

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Isaias, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Hagen
NNNN

011

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Isaias Public Advisory ISAIAS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING, FORECAST TO BE A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY MORNING

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Isaias, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation i

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Isaias, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Isais are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaias are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNNN

001

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Isaias Public Advisory HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FOR STRENGTHENING ISAIAS

020

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Isaias, located in the southwestern Gulf of America. Tropical c

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Isaias, located in the southwestern Gulf of
America.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Isais are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Isaias are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNNN

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Isaias Public Advisory DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS. FORECAST TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

031

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nine, located in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nine, located in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NNNN

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Nine Public Advisory TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN

010

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Nine, located in the southwestern Gulf of America. Tropical cyc

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Nine, located in the southwestern Gulf of
America.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NNNN

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Nine Public Advisory TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE GULF OF AMERICA. FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN QUICKLY

100

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that showers and
thunderstorms are becoming better organized while surface pressures
are gradually falling. If these trends continue, advisories will
likely be issued on this system later today or tonight while it
moves slowly eastward. The low pressure area could bring gusty winds
and areas of heavy rain to the western portions of the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico in a couple of days.

The disturbance is expected to turn to the north or northeast toward
the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week. It is still too
early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but
interests from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely
monitor the progress of this system. The NOAA Gulfstream jet is en
route to sample the environment over the Gulf this afternoon and Air
Force and NOAA reconnaissance aircraft are scheduled to investigate
the system tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

001

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Continued development of this system
is expected, and a tropical depression is anticipated to form over
the next day or so while it drifts eastward. The low pressure area
could bring gusty winds and areas of heavy rain to the western
portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico in a couple of days.

The disturbance is expected to turn to the north or northeast toward
the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week. It is still too
early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but
interests from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely
monitor the progress of this system. The NOAA Gulfstream is
scheduled to sample the environment over the Gulf later today and an
Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

001

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
A trough of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although
environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for
development, a tropical depression is likely to form within the next
couple of days. The system is expected to drift east-northeastward
through the middle portion of the week before turning northward. It
is too early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf
Coast, but interests there should closely monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Gibbs

010

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
A trough of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although
environmental conditions appear to be only marginally conducive,
gradual development is becoming more likely, and a tropical
depression is expected to form during the middle portion of the
week. This system is expected to drift east-northeastward over the
next couple of days, before it turns northward. It is too early to
determine the specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but
interests there should closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

001

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
A trough of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although
environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive, gradual
development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is
expected to form during the middle portion of the week. This system
is expected to drift eastward over the next couple of days, before
it turns northward. It is too early to determine the specific
impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but interests there should
closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

010

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although
environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive, gradual
development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the middle or latter portion of the week. This
system is expected to drift eastward over the next few days, before
it turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Kelly

011

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A surface trough of low pressure has developed along the coast of
Mexico in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Although environmental
conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive, gradual
development of this system is possible and a tropical depression
could form by the second half of this week while it initially
drifts eastward before turning northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Papin

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is likely to form around the middle of the
week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Although environmental
conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive, some slow
development is possible and a tropical depression could form late
this week while the system drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

001

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is likely to form around the middle of the
week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Although environmental
conditions are only expected to be marginally conducive, some slow
development is possible and a tropical depression could form late
this week while the system drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Some subsequent slow development of
this system is possible while it drifts northward over the
southwestern Gulf.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

001

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Some subsequent slow development of
this system is possible as it drifts over the southwestern Gulf
waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Any development of this system
is expected to be slow to occur as it drifts over the southwestern
Gulf waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Gonzalo Public Advisory CENTER OF GONZALO NEARING THE EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS

010

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Fay Public Advisory FAY SLIGHTLY STRONGER

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gonzalo, located about 160 miles east-southeast of the southernmost Cabo Verde Is

012

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Gonzalo Public Advisory GONZALO STRENGTHENS AS GUSTY WINDS SPREAD ACROSS THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Fay Public Advisory FAY MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

011

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Gonzalo Public Advisory TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING

000

Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Fay Public Advisory FAY HOLDING STEADY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD

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Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located several hundred miles southwest of the Azores.

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Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Fay Public Advisory FAY CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC

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Rogue NHC Atlantic @rogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located several hundred miles southwest of the Azores.

tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fay, located several hundred miles southwest of the Azores.

1. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system could
become a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm later
today or on Friday while it moves northwestward to northward.
Increasing upper-level winds, however, should prevent further
development over the weekend. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands
should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds, areas of
heavy rain, and flash flooding are possible over the islands by
Friday. Heavy rain and flash flooding could also occur well to the
east along the coast of western Africa, particularly in western
portions of Senegal, The Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, and southwest
portions of Mauritania.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

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