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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

📌 It has been a great pleasure to join Daniele Bellasio on his Macro podcast for il @sole24ore.bsky.social to discuss Turkey's role in the Iran war. 🇹🇷 🇮🇷 🔺 We looked at Turkish foreign policy directions and what's at stake for #Ankara. Thanks for having me! open.spotify.com/episode/0X7E...

open.spotify.com

Turchia, mediatore necessario o potenza ambigua?

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 31/03/2026

📌 I shared a few thoughts with Il Foglio on the Turkish role in the Iran war 🇹🇷🇮🇷 Thanks to Stefano Mazzola!

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 24/03/2026

📌 At @istanpol.bsky.social, we are launching our new Executive Program on Geopolitics & Political Risk Management for diplomats, analysts and policy professionals working on #Türkiye. 🇹🇷 🗓️ Two-week online program - April 27 - May 10 🔺 Applications and further info at: istanpol.org/en/post-exec...

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 24/03/2026

📌 Pleased to share the review of @fededonelli.bsky.social's book "Power Competition in the Red Sea: Testing the Post-Liberal International Order" for Middle East Policy. 🔺 The #RedSea is one of the clearest areas where the post-LIO is being tested. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/1475...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Middle East Policy

Click on the title to browse this journal

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

📌 It has been a great pleasure to deliver a guest lecture at Trieste University on Turkey’s domestic and foreign policy 🇹🇷 Thanks for having me!

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

📌 Thrilled to share our latest with Samuele Abrami for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social on #Turkey-#Spain relations! 🇹🇷🇪🇸 🔺 “What looks like symbolic ‘brotherhood’ is in fact a structural alignment built on security cooperation.” www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/turkey...

atlanticcouncil.org

The unspoken yet growing synergy in Turkey–Spain relations

Spanish-Turkish defense cooperation could help normalize Turkey as a security actor within the Euro-Atlantic perimeter.

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 11/03/2026

📌 Looking forward to speaking at @unitrieste.bsky.social on 20 March about Turkish domestic and foreign policy 🇹🇷 🔺Together with @fededonelli.bsky.social and Federico Battera, we’ll discuss how domestic political transformation shapes Turkey’s international activism. Thanks for the invitation!

Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

Well worth reading: on Turkey's response to the war on Iran.

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

📌 What looks like ambiguity in Türkiye’s foreign policy may actually be a strategy. 🇹🇷 Ankara’s approach combines de-escalation, diplomatic flexibility, and domestic stabilization to avoid being trapped in a widening regional confrontation. New with Seren Korkmaz. istanpol.org/en/post-kurd...

Kurds, the Iran War, and Türkiye’s Strategy of Preventive Stabilization

The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in joint U.S.–Israeli strikes on February 28 did more than decapitate a 47-year-long regime. It ac

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

📌 I spoke with Giovanna Loccatelli for La Stampa on how Turkey reacted and positioned itself following the outbreak of the Iran war. 🇹🇷 www.lastampa.it/esteri/2026/...

lastampa.it

Alleata Usa ma contro l'attacco: la posizione della Turchia nella guerra in Iran

Ankara vuole evitare l’escalation militare diretta ma è preoccupata per i curdi

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 04/03/2026

📌 Quoted in The National on Turkey’s response to the US–Israel–Iran war. 🇹🇷 Ankara is pushing for de-escalation and diplomacy, while preparing for potential spillovers—from refugee flows to security risks linked to Kurdish militant groups. www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/20...

thenationalnews.com

How is Turkey responding to the US-Israel-Iran war? | The National

Unlike Gulf countries, Turkey has not been targeted in Iranian retaliation

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

📌 Turkish decision-makers have long treated scenarios of rapid destabilization in Iran as inherently costly. 🇹🇷 🇮🇷 A few thoughts on the recent developments in the Middle East and #Ankara's role! substack.com/home/post/p-...

substack.com

Turkey’s Dilemma: Hawks Demand Action, Elites Choose Diplomacy Amid US-Israel Iran Strikes

Public support for confronting Iran clashes with Ankara’s de-escalation push, as NATO surveillance and mediation offers test strategic balance

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 28/02/2026

Turkey’s Iran paradox is stark: public hawkishness vs elite de-escalation. Ankara opposes strikes less out of sympathy for Tehran than spillover risk management (PKK security pressure, displacement, corridor disruption).

substack.com

Turkey’s Dilemma: Hawks Demand Action, Elites Choose Diplomacy Amid US-Israel Iran Strikes

Public support for confronting Iran clashes with Ankara’s de-escalation push, as NATO surveillance and mediation offers test strategic balance

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

📌 Guest lecture at Trieste University on the geopolitics of rare earths — on Turkey’s role 🌍 and the implications for the EU. Critical raw materials are central to geoeconomics, industrial policy, and foreign policy. Thanks to @fededonelli.bsky.social and Federico Battera for the invitation.

Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 23/02/2026

Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

This looks less like a change of model and more like an escalation in the means Turkey is willing to use to defend what it has already built in Somalia,” said @riccardogasco.bsky.social www-newarab-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.newa...

www-newarab-com.cdn.ampproject.org

From aid to F-16s: Turkey s hard-power turn in Somalia

Turkey's deployment of F-16s to Somalia marks a deepening military footprint in the Horn of Africa at a time of escalating Red Sea rivalries

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 23/02/2026

📌 I was pleased to be quoted in @thenewarab.bsky.social by Jonathan Fenton-Harvey on Turkey’s F-16 deployment to Somalia. 🇹🇷 🇸🇴 🔺 Somalia is becoming a strategic maritime platform linking the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean. Full article: www.newarab.com/analysis/aid...

newarab.com

From aid to F-16s: Turkey’s hard-power turn in Somalia

Turkey’s deployment of F-16s to Somalia marks a deepening military footprint in the Horn of Africa at a time of escalating Red Sea rivalries

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 13/02/2026

📌 It's always a pleasure to contribute to the top newsletter on Turkish affairs @turkeyrecap.bsky.social! Thanks to @diegocupolo.bsky.social for including my two cents on the recent developments between #Türkiye and the #EU! 🇹🇷 🇪🇺

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Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 25/01/2026

📌 Check out our new ISPI commentary with Federico Donelli on Türkiye's potential role for the #EU in securing critical raw materials. 🇹🇷🇪🇺 www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicaz...

ispionline.it

Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? | ISPI

Leggi l'articolo Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? sul sito dell'ISPI.

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

📌 #EU FTAs with #India + Mercosur redraw #Europe’s trade map. #Türkiye is inside the market, outside the rules—Customs Union exposure, no say. That asymmetry is now a strategic risk. 🇹🇷🇪🇺 ✍️Check out my latest analysis for @istanpol.bsky.social! istanpol.org/en/post-eu-t...

EU trade acceleration with India and Mercosur: How it is reshaping Türkiye's competitive perimeter

For Türkiye, the European Union’s (EU) accelerating trade diplomacy is no longer a distant story about Brussels’ external agenda. It is a direc

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

EU trade acceleration with India and Mercosur: How it is reshaping Türkiye's competitive perimeter

For Türkiye, the European Union’s (EU) accelerating trade diplomacy is no longer a distant story about Brussels’ external agenda. It is a direc

Federico Donelli @fededonelli.bsky.social · 25/01/2026

Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

📌Rare earths are becoming a key #geopolitical asset. With @riccardogasco.bsky.social, we analyze #Türkiye’s potential role for the #EU in securing #critical raw #materials. #ISPI online 👇 www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicaz...

ispionline.it

Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? | ISPI

Leggi l'articolo Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? sul sito dell'ISPI.

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 25/01/2026

📌 Check out our new ISPI commentary with Federico Donelli on Türkiye's potential role for the #EU in securing critical raw materials. 🇹🇷🇪🇺 www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicaz...

ispionline.it

Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? | ISPI

Leggi l'articolo Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? sul sito dell'ISPI.

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 09/01/2026

🎙️ Cose Turche News is back. New season, new format. 🇹🇷 New voices, longer episodes, and deeper dives into Turkey’s politics, society, and the wider region — every two weeks. 🎧 Episode 1 is out: a review of 2025 and early insights on what to expect in 2026. www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRvP...

youtube.com

Cosa è stato e cosa sarà in Turchia? - la prima puntata della seconda stagione!

YouTube video by Cose Turche News

Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

And in case you missed it, our 2026 Predictions issue. [5/5]

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

📌 The traditional Foreign Policy Review from the @istanpol.bsky.social is out! 🇹🇷 ✒️ Check out this year's expert comments and predictions for 2026 by Samuele Abrami, Soner Cagaptay, Dareen Khalifa, Eleonora Tafuro Ambrosetti, Ebru Turhan, and Sıtkı Egeli. istanpol.org/en/post-turk...

Turkish Foreign Policy in Focus: 2025 in Review and 2026 Outlook

In 2025, Turkish foreign policy unfolded in a context marked by heightened strategic centrality and persistent political constraints. Rather than a year of radi

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 29/12/2025

📌 Thanks to @turkeyrecap.bsky.social for including me in its traditional New Year predictions alongside a great group of experts! I briefly reflected on what 2026 may bring for #Turkey – #EU defence relations. 🇹🇷🇪🇺 open.substack.com/pub/turkeyre...

Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

Sinem Adar @sinemadar.bsky.social · 29/12/2025

@turkeyrecap.bsky.social continues its great tradition of collecting predictions from experts for the new year. I also contributed with thoughts on Syria. 👇 www.turkeyrecap.com/p/2026-predi...

Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

Turkey recap @turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 23/12/2025

In 2025, Turkish foreign policy was less about choosing sides and more about managing risk exposure, preserving flexibility and maintaining relevance across multiple theaters. Looking ahead, however, the space for such hedging may narrow, argues @riccardogasco.bsky.social:

turkeyrecap.com

Op-ed | Hedging defined Turkish foreign policy in 2025. Next year may require a new approach.

When we look back at Turkish foreign policy in 2025, what stands out is not a major shift or a sudden change of direction.

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

📌 It was a great pleasure to speak yesterday at Bahçeşehir University about #Europe's emerging security architecture and the role of #Turkey and #Italy. 🇮🇹 🇪🇺 🇹🇷 Thanks to @seloner.bsky.social and Yüksel Alper Ecevit for their kind invitation!

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Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 05/12/2025

Over the past five years, Turkey and its Gulf partners have transformed competition into cooperation. What began as a cautious political rapprochement has matured into defense-industrial diplomacy linking technology, trade, and security. @riccardogasco.bsky.social & Francesco Schiavi

agsi.org

Blueprints for Autonomy: Turkey and the Gulf Partnership on Defense Industrialization - AGSI

As the Gulf states pursue defense localization and seek to reduce dependence on the United States and Europe, Ankara offers cost-effective technology and a model of how to build capacity.

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Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 02/12/2025

As the Gulf states pursue defense localization and seek to reduce dependence on the United States and Europe, Ankara offers cost-effective technology and a model of how to build capacity. – @riccardogasco.bsky.social & Francesco Salesio Schiavi

agsi.org

Blueprints for Autonomy: Turkey and the Gulf Partnership on Defense Industrialization - AGSI

As the Gulf states pursue defense localization and seek to reduce dependence on the United States and Europe, Ankara offers cost-effective technology and a model of how to build capacity.

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

📌 I'm happy to join the Bahçeşehir seminar series on December 10th with a talk on the repositioning of #Turkey in the European defence architecture and its relations with Italy. 🇹🇷 🇪🇺 🇮🇹 Thanks to Professor Selcen Oner for the kind invitation!

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Reposted by Riccardo Gasco

Howard Eissenstat @heissenstat.bsky.social · 26/11/2025

Very much appreciated @istanpol.bsky.social's invitation to participate, with Özgür Ünlühisarcıklı and Aslı Aydıntaşbaş to talk about Turkey-US relations, and moderated by @riccardogasco.bsky.social. I learned a lot from my fellow panelists. www.istanpol.org/post-turkiye...

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 26/11/2025

📌 It's always a pleasure to moderate @istanpol.bsky.social Foreign Policy Talks. 🇹🇷 🇺🇸 🎙️ Check out our speakers' insights on Turkey-USA relations!

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Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 24/11/2025

📌 Happy to share my chapter written for Carocci Editore in a book edited by Edoardo Corradi and Giampiero Cama on the #Syrian Civil War! 🇹🇷 🇸🇾 ✒️ I look at #Turkey and post-Assad #Syria, exploring #Ankara’s ambitions in the new regional landscape. 🔗 bit.ly/48jhMXb

Riccardo Gasco @riccardogasco.bsky.social · 19/11/2025

📌 Great to see my latest out for @istanpol.bsky.social on #Turkey's place in #Europe’s #SAFE Program! 🇹🇷🇪🇺 🔺 Four scenarios ahead: functional integration, selective partnerships, conditional re-engagement, or strategic divergence. 🔗 Read it here: istanpol.org/en/post-betw...