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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧

@ricbdc.bsky.social
1.3K followers 480 following 623 posts

🔮🇪🇺🌍| analyst | columnist *Visto de Bruxelas* Revista Sábado | #foresight #trends #geopolitics #securitisation #europe #permacrisis | alumn University of Oxford • The Fletcher School | runner🏃‍♂️🌳|📍Brussels | EN * PT

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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Good to see @andriuskubilius.ec.europa.eu pushing for EU “hybrid defence” @henryjfoy.ft.com @financialtimes.com This is a conversation that should have started long ago. Reposting my piece from 24 Feb 2022 on EU’s “hybrid power”to face Russia threat www.euractiv.com/opinion/eu-h...
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Gesine Weber @gesineweber.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Good threat + Chinese MFA statement link.
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
A curious outcome of the Trump-Xi Summit for European watchers is that it seems that for Beijing the #China-#US relationship can be segmented in three layers: “cooperation is the mainstay”/ “competition is kept within proper limits” / “differences are managed”… 🇨🇳 MFA statement: lnkd.in/eiFDjuqR
lnkd.in
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Na @revistasabado.bsky.social à sexta, a *Visto de Bruxelas* regressa com um olhar sobre os últimos 10 anos, aqueles que coincidem com o mandato de António Guterres à frente dos destinos da ONU. Não teve vida fácil. Muito já vinha de trás. Para a frente, vamos ver. www.sabado.pt/opiniao/conv...
sabado.pt
10 Anos horribilis
Opinião de Ricardo Borges de Castro
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Thank you @znconsulting.com for including me again in your TOP50 #EUinfluencer rankings! And congrats on the 10th anniversary of the ranking!
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Moldova’s Dilemma ricbdc.substack.com/p/moldovas-d...
ricbdc.substack.com
Moldova’s Dilemma
In the coming years, the Moldovan authorities must deal with two strategic challenges: Accession to the European Union and the potential reintegration of Transnistria, a separatist territory internati...
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
New piece in #Encompass encompass-europe.com/comment/welc...
encompass-europe.com
Welcome to a pluripolar world
In this age of upheaval and global transition, Europe should prepare for a pluripolar world. Although harder to manage, rather than being squeezed by the US and China, the European Union may…
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Num mundo incerto em constante transformação podemos ter duas atitudes: ficar sentados à espera que o futuro aconteça ou agir de modo a tentar moldar esse futuro. Lembrando Vasco Santana, ‘futuros há muitos.’ Este ⬇️ livro ajuda a pensá-los. Venda online ffms.pt/pt-pt/livrar...
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Side by side my contributions to the @epc-official.bsky.social #NATOsummit 2025 and 2026 compendiums: “A more European NATO with or without America” & “The US pivot to America and the future of @NATO.” The link to both documents can be found here: www.epc.eu/publication/...
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Num mundo incerto em constante transformação podemos ter duas atitudes: ficar sentados à espera que o futuro aconteça ou agir de modo a tentar moldar esse futuro. Lembrando Vasco Santana, ‘futuros há muitos.’ Este ⬇️ livro ajuda a pensá-los. Venda online ffms.pt/pt-pt/livrar...
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
New piece in #Encompass encompass-europe.com/comment/welc...
encompass-europe.com
Welcome to a pluripolar world
In this age of upheaval and global transition, Europe should prepare for a pluripolar world. Although harder to manage, rather than being squeezed by the US and China, the European Union may…
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Reposted by Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧
Paul Adamson @padamson.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
encompass-europe.com/comment/welc... @ricbdc.bsky.social
encompass-europe.com
Welcome to a pluripolar world
In this age of upheaval and global transition, Europe should prepare for a pluripolar world. Although harder to manage, rather than being squeezed by the US and China, the European Union may…
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Oana Lungescu @oanalungescu.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Here’s the compendium incl Amanda Paul, Svitlana Taran, Juraj Majcin, Iana Maisuradze @cemoll.bsky.social Jamie Shea Paul Taylor @almutm.bsky.social @tacanildem.bsky.social Benedetta Berti, Chris Kremidas-Courtney, Torben Schütz @ricbdc.bsky.social d1xp398qalq39s.cloudfront.net/uploads/cked...
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Como se pensa o futuro sem uma bola de cristal 🔮 ? O dia 7 de junho está a chegar. A Sónia Ribeiro o @pimenteljm e eu vamos conversar com o @JPFrazao da @Renascenca no lançamento de “Pensar o Futuro: Portugal e o mundo em prospetiva estratégica”⬇️ Venham futurar!
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
💥 Desde dia 5 de maio nas bancas! Pensar o Futuro: Portugal e o mundo em prospetiva estratégica. E também on-line: ffms.pt/pt-pt/livrar...
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
🇪🇺 Happy Europe Day! "World peace cannot be safeguarded without the making of creative efforts proportionate to the dangers which threaten it." 🇪🇺
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
💥 Para a semana já estará numa prateleira perto de si e no site da @ffms_pordata para poder ser comprado. Nessa altura conto mais 😬 Next week it will be already available in many shelves or online to buy. This edition only in Portuguese 🇵🇹 #Pensar_O_Futuro #Think_The_Future
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Há primeiras vezes para tudo. Hoje foi uma delas: ver o “Pensar o Futuro” nas livrarias. Isto para dizer também que o livro já está disponível numa livraria perto de si! 😬@ffms_pordata #Pensar_o_Futuro #Think_the_Future
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Vivo fora de Portugal há 22 anos, muitos deles a falar principalmente inglês. Na Bélgica, para além do inglês, francês, espanhol e português fazem parte do meu quotidiano. Fico radiante por ser em #português o primeiro livro que publico. Feliz Dia Mundial da Língua Portuguesa!
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
Na @revistasabado.bsky.social, a *Visto de Bruxelas* está de volta. www.sabado.pt/opiniao/conv...
sabado.pt
Política externa europeia: unidade ou velocidade?
Opinião de Ricardo Borges de Castro
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Há primeiras vezes para tudo. Hoje foi uma delas: ver o “Pensar o Futuro” nas livrarias. Isto para dizer também que o livro já está disponível numa livraria perto de si! 😬@ffms_pordata #Pensar_o_Futuro #Think_the_Future
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Vivo fora de Portugal há 22 anos, muitos deles a falar principalmente inglês. Na Bélgica, para além do inglês, francês, espanhol e português fazem parte do meu quotidiano. Fico radiante por ser em #português o primeiro livro que publico. Feliz Dia Mundial da Língua Portuguesa!
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
Na @revistasabado.bsky.social, a *Visto de Bruxelas* está de volta. www.sabado.pt/opiniao/conv...
sabado.pt
Política externa europeia: unidade ou velocidade?
Opinião de Ricardo Borges de Castro
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Muitos parabéns ao João Cravinho @joaocravinho.bsky.social que acaba de ser nomeado Reitor do @collegeofeurope.bsky.social: www.coleurope.eu/college-euro.... Um currículo e uma experiência que assentam como uma luva ao Colégio. Portugueses e Portugal continuam a dar cartas na Europa. 🇵🇹 🇪🇺
coleurope.eu
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
💥 Para a semana já estará numa prateleira perto de si e no site da @ffms_pordata para poder ser comprado. Nessa altura conto mais 😬 Next week it will be already available in many shelves or online to buy. This edition only in Portuguese 🇵🇹 #Pensar_O_Futuro #Think_The_Future
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
From April 24 to 25, 1974, we went from "Portugal and the future" to "Portugal and the futures." Democracy brought openness, diversity of political projects for the country, and freedom to shape tomorrow together. There is still much to be done, but long live April 25! Photo: Eduardo Gageiro
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
De 24 para 25 de abril 1974, passamos de ‘Portugal e o futuro’ para ‘Portugal e os futuros.’ A democracia trouxe abertura, diversidade de projetos políticos para o país e liberdade para, em conjunto, moldarmos os dias de amanhã. Há ainda muito por fazer, mas viva o 25 de Abril! Foto: Eduardo Gageiro
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Something ‘rising’ soon, not just the sun…☀️ Algo está prestes a ver a luz do dia 👀 📕
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
Depois de umas peripécias nos meus bastidores em que tudo falhou (câmara, som, micro) safei a situação com o telefone e tive uma excelente conversa com a grande Teresa Dimas na SIC Notícias sobre Irão-EUA, Ormuz e o papel dos europeus, Rússia e G20, EUA-Espanha-NATO…
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Something ‘rising’ soon, not just the sun…☀️ Algo está prestes a ver a luz do dia 👀 📕
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
open.substack.com/pub/ricbdc/p...
open.substack.com
What security strategy for Europe?
It is high time to set a new security strategy for Europe.
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Na @revistasabado.bsky.social à sexta, a *Visto de Bruxelas* está de volta👇 www.sabado.pt/opiniao/conv...
sabado.pt
Que estratégia de segurança para a Europa?
Opinião de Ricardo Borges de Castro
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
#NATO turns 77. We may not know the future, but we know that the collective defence Alliance provided close to 8 decades of peace & security to Europe and North America. That is no small feat. The lesson of History is that we ought to strengthen it, not undermine it. #NATO 🎉
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
The world is worse off today, because the most powerful nation on the planet is led by a narcissistic, cruel, and ignorant near-octogenarian surrounded by a coterie of opportunistic sycophants who continue to bend their backs to curry favour. A tragedy.
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Farewell to Mr Veto? substack.com/@ricbdc/note...
substack.com
Farewell to Mr Veto?
The European Union may be a few weeks away from seeing Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s long-time premier, go.
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
The @epc-official.bsky.social and I have been speaking about this “securitisation of everything” trend for at least 3 years. In her speech to #EU ambos today, @vonderleyen confirms it very clearly: “In all our assets and policies, we must mainstream security considerations. In fact, security…
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
In King’s Landing they knew this already…
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Na @revistasabado.bsky.social à sexta, a *Visto de Bruxelas* regressa com o destino de Viktor Orbán www.sabado.pt/opiniao/conv...
sabado.pt
Adeus ao Sr. Veto?
Opinião de Ricardo Borges de Castro
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Farewell to Mr Veto? substack.com/@ricbdc/note...
substack.com
Farewell to Mr Veto?
The European Union may be a few weeks away from seeing Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s long-time premier, go.
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
The world is worse off today, because the most powerful nation on the planet is led by a narcissistic, cruel, and ignorant near-octogenarian surrounded by a coterie of opportunistic sycophants who continue to bend their backs to curry favour. A tragedy.
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Farewell to Mr Veto? substack.com/@ricbdc/note...
substack.com
Farewell to Mr Veto?
The European Union may be a few weeks away from seeing Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s long-time premier, go.
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Na @revistasabado.bsky.social à sexta, a *Visto de Bruxelas* regressa com o destino de Viktor Orbán www.sabado.pt/opiniao/conv...
sabado.pt
Adeus ao Sr. Veto?
Opinião de Ricardo Borges de Castro
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
10 years today. I can still relive almost every hour of that tragic day 22.03.2016. Never forget. Honour the victims. Remember their families, friends and loved ones. Thank emergency responders. #BrusselsAttacks🇧🇪🌹
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
open.substack.com/pub/ricbdc/p...
open.substack.com
The test
The European Union’s crash course in geopolitics continues.
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
www.linkedin.com/posts/ricard...
linkedin.com
#securitisation #pandemic #ukraine #eu #trend #securitisation #eu #epc #foresight #pensar_o_futuro #anticipation #trends #signals #policymaking | Ricardo Borges de Castro
“Security must become the organising principle of our action.” Ursula von der Leyen, 9 March 2026. The European Policy Centre, Raul Villegas and I have been speaking about a “#securitisation of every...
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Maybe Orbán can supply the 1st Riverine Flotilla from the Danube to the Strait of Hormuz?
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Without nuclear weapons Iran found its ‘nuclear option’ or ‘trump card’. Excellent @gideonrachman.bsky.social “Iran has discovered a powerful future deterrent that is quite independent of nuclear weapons. If the regime survives this war, it may yet emerge in a stronger position internationally.”
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Does Trump even understand that #NATO is a defensive alliance? It is not ‘I-attack-with-no-consultation-and-with-no-clear-plan-come-support-me-when-things-go-south-or-else-Alliance’…
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
5yrs after #FabianZuleeg @jaemmanouilidis.bsky.social & I published #Permacrisis piece, I wonder what #EU policymakers think after saying it was too gloomy. It was a call for foresight, adaptation & action to face a more volatile & shifting world @epc-official.bsky.social www.epc.eu/publication/...
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Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🟧 @ricbdc.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
www.linkedin.com/posts/ricard...
linkedin.com
#securitisation #pandemic #ukraine #eu #trend #securitisation #eu #epc #foresight #pensar_o_futuro #anticipation #trends #signals #policymaking | Ricardo Borges de Castro
“Security must become the organising principle of our action.” Ursula von der Leyen, 9 March 2026. The European Policy Centre, Raul Villegas and I have been speaking about a “#securitisation of every...
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