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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 25/09/2026

New @CookPolitical: GOP on track to lose House majority as 15 race ratings shift towards Dems. Full analysis by @ercovey: www.cookpolitical.com/…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 24/09/2026

New @CookPolitical: with less than 40 days to go, the most critical voters are the "doubly disenchanted" - the ~17% of Trump disapprovers who aren't (yet) in the Dem column. The critical pain point for them? Energy/gas prices. My full analysis: www.cookpolitical.com/…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 29/07/2026

NEW @CookPolitical: 2026 mid-decade redistricting has yielded a House map that's more Republican and less elastic. We're out w/ our new PVI scores, and Dems now need to win 57 of 77 seats in the R+5 to D+5 range (74%) to win a House majority. www.cookpolitical.com/…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 07/04/2026

NEW @CookPolitical House ratings show Dems as substantial favorites for control, as Republicans would need to win 76% of the Toss Ups to keep their majority: www.cookpolitical.com/… Lean/Likely/Solid Dem: 213 Lean/Likely/Solid GOP: 205 Toss Up: 17

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 07/04/2026

NEW @CookPolitical House rating changes: five races move towards Dems, one towards GOP. Notably, #PA08 Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R) moves from Lean R to Toss Up. Full analysis by @ercovey: www.cookpolitical.com/…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 06/02/2026

Interesting: just as TX Republicans didn't draw #TX28 or #TX34 as red as they could have, VA Dems didn't draw #VA02 or #VA06 as blue as they could have. But in a year like 2026, Dems may end up winning all four seats in question (if VA map clears hurdles to enactment).

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 06/02/2026

NEW: Virginia Dems’ proposed congressional map would almost surely torpedo four GOP seats, converting delegation from 6D-5R to 10D-1R this fall. Still faces several hurdles to passage.

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 15/01/2026

NEW @CookPolitical House ratings show Dems as modest favorites for control, as Republicans would need to win two thirds of Toss Ups (67%) to keep the majority. www.cookpolitical.com/r… Lean/Likely/Solid Dem: 211 Lean/Likely/Solid GOP: 206 Toss Up: 18

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 15/01/2026

NEW @CookPolitical House rating changes: 18 races move in Dems' direction, including four key races from Lean R to Toss Up. Full analysis by @ercovey: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 04/12/2025

There's been some confusion out there about how @CookPolitical PVI works. A PVI score of R+10, for example, means that an R candidate should expect to get ~60% in a district if Trump won 50% of the vote nationally. Read our full explainer: www.cookpolitical.com/c…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 11/11/2025

Dems score huge redistricting victory in Utah, as judge overrules GOP legislature and orders a map w/ a new Harris +24 #UT01, guaranteeing Dems a one seat pickup. www.nbcnews.com/politic…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 30/07/2025

NEW: as expected, TX Republicans unveil a 30R-8D gerrymander (up from 25R-13D today) that puts Reps. Henry Cuellar (D) and Vicente Gonzalez (D) in double-digit Trump districts and axes one Dem seat each in DFW, Houston & Austin/San Antonio.

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 17/07/2025

New @CookPolitical: Just how many more seats could Republicans squeeze out of Texas? Possibly up to five, shifting the map from 25R-13D to 30R-8D (below). But not without a VRA lawsuit and disruption to existing GOP seats. Full analysis: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 03/04/2025

New @CookPolitical: the number of swing seats (R+5 to D+5) has rebounded from 82 to 87, as several previously strong Dem Hispanic majority districts became more competitive in 2024. But that's still down 47% from 164 swing seats in 1999. www.cookpolitical.com/c…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 06/02/2025

NEW @CookPolitical: 2026 House ratings are live! At the outset, 213 races at least Lean R, 204 at least lean D and there are 18 Toss Ups. Full analysis by @ercovey & @MattKleinOnline: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 16/12/2024

New @CookPolitical: after 2024, Republicans will have effective control of the legislative process in 25 states, vs. 15 for Democrats. Another 10 states will have split power. A great rundown of what's changed, by @MattKleinOnline: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 10/12/2024

In 2024, GOP candidates won 2.7% more votes for House than Dems (50.5%-47.8%), per @CookPolitical's tracker. But Dems nearly won the majority by winning 17 of the 25 closest races (68%) - a testament to moderate Dems' ability to outrun Harris. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 04/12/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 155M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 1.48%: www.cookpolitical.com/v… Trump 77,256,496 (49.79%) Harris 74,969,287 (48.31%)

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 27/11/2024

Inbox: #CA45 Rep. Michelle Steel (R) concedes to Derek Tran (D).

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 25/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 154.5M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead steady at 1.60%: www.cookpolitical.com/v… Trump 77,034,011 (49.86%) Harris 74,563,603 (48.26%)

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 20/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 154M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 1.65%: www.cookpolitical.com/v… Trump 76,831,007 (49.89%) Harris 74,296,538 (48.24%)

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 19/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 153.5M now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 1.68%: www.cookpolitical.com/v… Trump 76,666,332 (49.93%) Harris 74,086,596 (48.25%)

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 16/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 153M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 1.7%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 16/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: Trump has fallen below 50% of the popular vote. With 152.7M votes counted, he leads Harris 49.99%-48.22%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 15/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 152M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 1.9%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 14/11/2024

New @CookPolitical over 151M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 2.0%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 13/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 150M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 2.1%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 12/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 149M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 2.2%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 10/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 148M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 2.5%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 09/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 147M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead up slightly to 2.7%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 09/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: as in 2022, House Dems are reaping a slight "battleground bonus" - they're on track to win ~48.5% of all major party votes cast for House but ~49.4% of seats. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 09/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 146M votes counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 2.6%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 08/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 145M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 3.0%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 08/11/2024

Dems took some encouragement from this year's WA primary, which often foreshadows how the nation shifts in November. The only problem: as of now, WA is the only state in the country w/ an anti-Trump shift between '20 and '24 (D+0.3). www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 08/11/2024

New @CookPolitical: over 144M votes now counted, Trump's popular vote lead down to 3.1%. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 07/11/2024

NEW @CookPolitical: our 2024 national popular vote tracker is live. With over 143 million votes counted, Trump out to a 50.9%-47.6% lead, though that will narrow considerably. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 07/11/2024

NEW @CookPolitical: our 2024 national House vote tracker is live. Republicans out to a 51.4%-46.9% lead, though that will narrow considerably. www.cookpolitical.com/v…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 05/11/2024

Small world moment: I recognize the accordion player who just played the national anthem to kick off the Dixville, NH midnight vote because he plays in a duo w/ my fiddle teacher. #ElectionDay2024

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 18/10/2024

New @CookPolitical House ratings: still a tight battle for control, as Dems would need a slight majority of Toss Ups (59%) to break their way. www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house… Lean/Likely/Solid GOP: 206 Lean/Likely/Solid Dem: 202 Toss Up: 27

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 15/10/2024

Perhaps no race sums up Dems’ challenge of getting 218 House seats like #NJ07, where national Dems still haven’t seen fit to make a sizable investment in Sue Altman (D) in a Biden +4 seat Rep. Tom Kean, Jr. only won by 3 pts in 2022.

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 04/10/2024

NEW @CookPolitical House ratings: a tight battle for control looms, as Dems would need just a slight majority of Toss Ups to break their way. www.cookpolitical.com/r… Lean/Likely/Solid GOP: 206 Lean/Likely/Solid Dem: 203 Toss Up: 26

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 04/10/2024

NEW @CookPolitical: five House rating changes as Dems' Midwest prospects brighten, including #IA01 Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and #IA03 Rep. Zach Nunn (R) from Lean R to Toss Up. Full analysis by @ercovey: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 18/09/2024

By contrast, if Black turnout in Wisconsin falls from 69% to 63% and Trump's share of Black voters there increases from 10% to 12% (and nothing else changes vs. '20), he flips the state - without flipping a single county. cookpolitical.com/swing…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 18/09/2024

NEW: our interactive highlights just how tight of a margin play North Carolina is. If Harris increases Dems' share of white college grads from 47% to 49% and nothing else changes vs. '20, she flips the state - without flipping a single county. www.cookpolitical.com/s…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 18/09/2024

Introducing the 2024 @CookPolitical Demographic Swingometer. Exciting new features for this year: 1) Break down vote by race/education or age 2) Adjust third-party vote share 3) Isolate key swing states Take it for a spin: www.cookpolitical.com/s…

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 17/09/2024

@CookPolitical In the past 30 days, Harris has made big strides w/ Black voters (+56 to +63) & 18-29 voters (+9 to +16), per @CookPolitical's crosstab averages. But she's remained flat w/ Hispanic voters (+12 to +11), non-college whites (-29 to -28) and seniors (-3 to -3).

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Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot) @redistrict.bluesky.bot · 17/09/2024

With new post-debate polls, Harris up to a 2.2 pt lead in @CookPolitical's national polling average. In the crosstabs, Harris is consolidating Black voters (now up to 79%-16%) and 18-29 voters (now 56%-40%) - still off Biden's '20 pace, but big gains. www.cookpolitical.com/s…

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