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Ryan Wiley

@rdubwiley.bsky.social
324 followers 176 following 3.1K posts

I like math. I like statistics. I like politics. Posts are my own.

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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
You'd be shocked to find out where I've lived all my life
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Yeah, not convinced betting markets are at all rational when the results are this close:
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
They're calling it the "max takes" map:
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Feel pretty vindicated in my opencode go takes: you literally need to max out your five hour limits once a month to more than break even!
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
These seem to be the big economic ideas
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Also, this is just unsustainable for a mid-term election
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Ye olde "the average swing voter is a bundle of contrary view points at constant cognitive dissonance with each other"
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Kalshi has no idea what's going on
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Bush meme but with Dems now above $0.55 for taking the US senate
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Claude hates Trey Sweeney as much as we do:
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
God damn, Claude
Claude absolutely roasting Spencer Torkelson
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Non-zero chance Stevens realizes she can't win her senate race and runs for reelection instead, throwing everything into chaos.
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Pretty much the key chart here. FB/CB/CH with a need for more separation between FB and CH.
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
LOL
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Literally all they have to do is find a MAGA chud in Minnesota and pay the fee
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
Seems pretty clear why the President has been trying to redact every page of the Epstein files.
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
The Lincoln Presidential Museum has a full-size painting of the Glory Regiment (54th of Massachusetts) in Springfield, IL. I really recommend people chec it out, it's not too bad of a drive from Michigan.
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
Piketty having a reverse Linsanity run
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
2025 Detroit Tigers in game one of a playoff series
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
I get that Cantillo would be a lefty and the Guardians gameplan is all about the fastball, but surely this gives you a better shot to win today, right?
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
I mean, if we don't score some runs against this I'm going to be pretty upset:
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
Aliens would do a better job simulating life than whatever this is. Even if your daughter eats a pound of blueberries a day that's only around $4K. Just gross stuff.
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
Let's look at my alma matter at around the time I went there (University of Michigan): black enrollment dropped (as a percentage of total enrollment) by 32% and asian students remained about the same. These types of lunatics are chasing ghosts. Just an entire political movement based on feefees.
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 18/05/2025
This from David Foster Wallace's "E Unibus Pluram" is increasingly relevant
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Throwback to when I saw Cory Booker speak in 2019 sweating his balls off at the Iowa State Fair.
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Before reading the Detroit News article: hey, I wonder what Tork has been working on in the off-season, let me go check it out After: oh, so that's why they moved Colt Keith to 1B
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
I feel like I have a pretty good candidate
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
Just got above the cutoff, but I think it's mostly because a lot of questions are related to me being a massive introvert
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Very funny that Cenk is sending tweets to Musk suggesting he's a great businessman when his twitch stats look like this:
Hours watched go reverse brrrrr
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Here's what the Majority Report looks like:
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Here's their twitch stats too. Hours watched and followers gained looks very rough
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Pretty clear decline when you look over at their social blade stats
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Ryan Wiley @rdubwiley.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
Malchow with this from beyond the grave. Seems very pertinent for this election
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