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Quantian

@quantian.bsky.social
17K followers 260 following 3.9K posts

Locked in and posting regularly on here now

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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
No, it is proving that a bunch of things we assumed were optimal because they “looked nice” in a certain sense were wrong because a far uglier solution was better. Example: the tightest way to pack 9 squares into a big one is with a 3x3 grid of side length 3. The best way to pack 11 is this:
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Ok so basically what half these proofs show is that every beautiful and perfect result in mathematics is just another fucking Borwein integral under the hood and we never bothered calculating hard enough for the scales to fall from our eyes.
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Fucking WHAT
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Are you fucking kidding me with this one
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
1T parameters and it performs midway between Qwen 3.8 run on my GPU and Gemini Flash for search overview. This is not the Jupiterian sovereign AI performance La France needs, people, I understand this is the first big release since vacation ended on Sep 15 but please lock in.
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Here is the original “stochastic parrot” definition. It claims that LLMs cannot have “any model of the world” and “haphazardly stitches together sequences of linguistic forms observed in its training data”. That is much stronger than “good for verifiable domains [and having] some scientific value”
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
She is implying there’s a secret calculator in closed models (that open models don’t need somehow) and the fact that there’s errors (which are quite rare) are more likely the be text classifier mistakes than the model having innate ability but occasionally messing up. Not very occam’s razor of her!
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Bender is clearly arguing that modern LLMs are secretly running a text classifier and routing arithmetic to a calculator because they are incapable of solving it. My post might be a straw man of some arguments, but it is not a straw man of hers! She is literally making that exact claim!
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
It is also interesting (to me and six holdouts at DeepMind and exactly nobody else) that *diffusion models* can also perform shockingly well at math tasks despite not doing next token prediction at all. It's like how early image models learned basic physics facts before they could draw hands well!
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
This was going around Twitter today, if you ask Claude “is X lat Y long land or water?” and plot the results, it has clearly embedded a map of the globe in its weights over time
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
For what it’s worth, arguing LLMs can’t do addition now is flat earth-level science denialism. Here’s Gemma 4b, a non-reasoning model that could only theoretically memorize binary operations up to 65535 x 65535, oneshotting a eight digit addition and hex conversion *on my phone* with no tool calls
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Not joking about the Kalshi bit, to be clear:
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Elon Musk has broken up with baby mommy 9/10/12/14, announced via Twitter unfollow alert post sponsored by Kalshi
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Nice quote/function preview on the homepage today
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Sometimes I come across a screenshot of a normie using ChatGPT with memory on (viz. this from TikTok via Twitter) and people get crazy cooked even just through bare chatbot interactions. Persistent interaction with long-running agents via texting/voice will be another 4o style mass psychosis event.
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
LMFAO the official America.gov AI website uses a Chinese open source model
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The Iranian letter to America is a very good piece of propaganda—certainly better than anything e.g. Russia is capable of producing right now—but there’s still a few points where the mask accidentally slips
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
People constantly talk about "cheap Chinese AI models" but other than the latest MiMo no Chinese models are on the Pareto frontier- you get better results cheaper by using US models at lower efforts. Qwen in particular is so token hungry that 3.8 Max is *more expensive than Fable* for worse output!
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Friendly reminder that the Platonic ideal of a 10-year treasury pays a 6% coupon:
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Gaunter O'Dimm: TOTALLY EXONERATED, No wrongdoing. ________________________________ Authorized By Gaunter O'Dimm And Paid For By O'Dimm For Witcher.
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
For all the discussion about the bond selloff, the calculated risk premium of long bonds over implied fair value from expected moves in short rates + rolldown + convexity option value is still quite muted, only ~18 bps if my math is correct. Much lower than during the 22 hike cycle!
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Now this is the situational awareness I’ve come to expect from an OpenAI employee!
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
lol two months ago OpenAI was signing a letter about how important open weights models were and now their house propagandist is saying “we will ban open weights and you will thank us for it”. You can’t hate this company enough
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
>The PR narrative is spiraling out of control and people are freaking out, how do we fix this? >Quick, deploy Sam Altman to reveal he was intimately involved in the entire process and to personally reassure everyone they acted with all the integrity and generosity he’s famous for
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
this tweet is mocking a prior tweet made by an Anthropic employee. real If I Did It-type shit
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Dancing very very VERY close to saying “OpenAI stole our almost-complete proof of Navier-Stokes from internal access to our ChatGPT sessions because they were desperate to scoop Anthropic” which is absolutely 100% a believable thing OpenAI would do right now cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/st...
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Fable gets weirdly annoyed/exasperated if you tell it to use Haiku agents and complains about their work product, but is much happier to manage Opus agents and praises their diligence. Strange emergent behavior.
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Well we did it, we successfully embodied all human knowledge into a single fully general computational program. Now all we have to do is to back and enjoy our 1.75%/year annualized excess productivity growth…
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Useless goddamn clanker burned a week’s worth of Fable tokens trying to transcribe an Arxiv paper into optimized code only to tell me it couldn’t actually read the PDF so it just made up some code doing what it thought I wanted. AGI in five months tops.
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
“Spine” yep it’s Claudeslop for sure
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Sharon besieging a furniture factory in rural Pennsylvania, 2028 (colorized)
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
r/wine ass response get the fuck out of here you stupid meme clanker
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
This one is a bit more niche but I've met six of these guys
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
I can't stress enough that this book (Money Game) was written in nineteen sixty six, and it might as well have been published yesterday:
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Checking the house my dad grew up in on a single steel worker’s salary and damn Gary real estate went crazy since COVID
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Labor share has indeed fallen but it is entirely due to a 200 bps rise in “taxes on production and imports less subsidies plus business transfer payments”, AKA tariffs, plus a surprising rise in corporate tax receipts
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
This is a very annoying national accounting brained “well actually”, but the right way to calculate corporate profits is real nonfinancial unit profits per unit of real nonfinancial gross value added, which strips out relative size effects of the corporate sector, offshoring, and financial profits:
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
They’re calling me Quant of Arabia
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Oversized tourbillon watches are always ugly and cringe but this is by far the ugliest and cringiest one I’ve seen, “if AGI.aligned: deploy()” 🙄 👋 🍆 💦
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
I do regret to inform you that this is an ultra rare triple platinum Yud W anecdote:
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Montreal if everyone said “Bom dia-hi” instead:
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
The list of alleged US demands is fucking insane? How did they even get this far, by point #3 I would be throwing the water pitcher at the negotiation team
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Idk works fine for me, and it only cost $5,000 to do this out of the box
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Want to feel old? This is what this guy’s current business card looks like:
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
We need to end the trade war ASAP for the good of Canadians, because if this is the kind of swill the chuds of Alberta are cooking up they are getting absolutely mogged by the chuds of Kentucky
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
Here is the chart, thank you Claude for compiling the data. Also, wow, what a disaster by Hoover, two full years with no stimulus.
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
There also hasn’t really been catchup by China either, Kimi K3 is relatively further from the US frontier than DeepSeek R1 was, the lag is a pretty consistent 6-9 months.
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
There hasn’t been any notable plateauing on the ECI but there also hasn’t been any observed takeoff either and benchmarks keep getting saturated with very minimal real world impact. Everyone has something to be disappointed in!
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Quantian @quantian.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
The prompt was "take a real stab at the Riemann Hypothesis" and the only other prompting was just cheerleading
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