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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 25/09/2026

We both have five star lists

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 25/09/2026

Well we can agree to agree then.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 25/09/2026

Fair enough. I am frustrated because it feels like a lot of chatter online is as if editorial choices were made about the placement of various shows. When it just appears to be the tabulation of votes. It's not like the Sulzberger family list.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 25/09/2026

The other side of the coin here is more popular shows tend to make the list because more people have seen of them. This list would not be my list, but it's an accurate canon that captures the perspective of people who make TV and people who write for the NYT.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 04/09/2026

I assume you have been sent the play if Carson Benge’s throw hitting the batter’s bat a million times by now?

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 03/09/2026

Thank you for the reverse jinx

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 06/07/2026

A friend of mine makes beats and he told me The Lonely Island buys beats from him and others the way that actual non-comedy lower case p postars would

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 03/07/2026

Posted my first batch of updates. This was one of my favourite things I did last year and I am excited to do it again. www.puntoftheday.com/p/punt-of-th...

puntoftheday.com

Punt of the 2026 WSOP Main Event

A Running Thread: Last Updated July 2nd 2026 at 7:07AM PST

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 02/07/2026

Doing a prediction contest for POTD and giving out some free subscriptions. Respond to this post with a players who you think will end up in my top 10 punts of the WSOPME.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 19/06/2026

The main reason I like the deal is the floor is pretty high. If he is the 2024-2025 Raddysh it’s a bad deal, but he is still a good hockey player

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 19/06/2026

I think the deal is fine if he ends up being LTIRetired at some point. 6x8.5 with two years on LTIR where MLSE spends not my money. Sounds a-ok.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 17/06/2026

Chayka’s second move is not making me happy

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 16/06/2026

Given Treliving's first moves were signing Reaves and extending Kampf. I am just happy that Chayka's first move is recognizing that Benoit is bad.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 05/05/2026

The nicest thing I can say is I am truly unsure if he'd be better or worse than Evan Gold/Scott White types. I would have much,much,much rather hired Mehta (or for them to have hired Tulsky when Dubas left), but I still would rather have a mystery box like Chayka than a "proven" gm like Chiarelli.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 16/04/2026

John Schneider is your man

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 15/04/2026

I think getting an LLM to help you with prompts like "name all players under 25 with a cap hit of between x and y" could be useful, but this could also be done via spreadsheet. I think Pelley's real problem is the confidence to treat LLM trades like they're the Glengarry leads and not a dumb lark.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 15/04/2026

I have friends who use LLM as a lazy way to stimulate their creativity. Prompting "give me 100 Knies trades" and reading through them would cost very little in time/money and could give you some ideas. Asking "what's the best Knies trade" and trading him for Shea Weber. You have a problem.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 15/04/2026

Honestly, I don't really care about Pelley using LLMs. Every business in the world is using them. Most NHL front offices will have an exec doing something stupid with them. Pelley's outward persona being "i'm just a business guy" and then spitballing trade ideas is much more concerning.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 02/04/2026

I was on the Double Pivot podcast talking POTD, Canadian soccer, (sadly we recorded before Italy blew it) and I got to elaborate on my theory that most former online poker players became professional button clickers in other arenas. open.spotify.com/episode/1DdQ...

open.spotify.com

Poker, Analytics, and the Optimized Online World with Sam Greenwood

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 19/03/2026

Read this great @sammillerbb.bsky.social article that came from an offhand prompt I gave him months ago. Also allow me to gloat that I stumped @benlindbergh.bsky.social pebblehunting.substack.com/p/we-were-al...

pebblehunting.substack.com

We Were Always Coming Back

A brain shaped by win expectancy.

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Reposted by Sam Greenwood

Mike Goodman @themlg.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

Come read about me bluffing off all my chips with 8 high! This is honestly probably the best played hand I’ve submitted to @puntoftheday.com open.substack.com/pub/samgreen...

open.substack.com

Sunday Special #11 Mike Goodman Three Barrels

Taking a 20-year break from poker and then picking it back up again in the solver era has been a really fun and unique experience.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 09/03/2026

I’d also imagine PK1 gets a rough go of it because they often get DZ starts vs PP1. However, given everything about this team‘s play, I tend to think their PK was bailed out by goalies

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 09/03/2026

Good podcast. I agree with most of what was said. I gotta push back on @actingthefulemin.bsky.social parroting the consensus that this Leafs PK and Laughton specifically were okay. They've had .905 4v5 SV% and as a team are bottom 5 in every stat. Laughton is a below avg Leaf in all those stats.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 22/02/2026

The last time I saw Larkin drinking champagne with a Nazi sympathizer after a big win, it was Barry and Marge Schott.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 22/02/2026

As always, I am looking for submissions. If you submit, I promise I will not compare you to Dougie Jones.

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Reposted by Sam Greenwood

Mike Goodman @themlg.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

Wrote about another poker hand for @puntoftheday.com. I check caller three times with middle pair and kinda felt gross about it. open.substack.com/pub/samgreen...

open.substack.com

Sunday Special #MLG

On POTD this week Sam has been looking at hands where he’s barreled off twice and then been faced with a river decision.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 25/01/2026

We combined for so many words that I kept getting the warning from Substack that this post was too big to fit in one email. If you'd like to read something while watching the Jarrett Stidham show this afternoon, I've got something for you.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 18/01/2026

I continue to have fun analyzing hands that people who aren't myself misplay. It's free for all to read and I am taking submissions from anyone who is a proficient writer and wants to do free work for me in exchange for me telling them they made mistakes.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 17/01/2026

Ran another quiz on POTD. www.puntoftheday.com/p/week-in-re...

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 11/01/2026

Mike pitched this feature to me and I think the first one came out very well. If you are interested in submitting yourself to my critical eye. Let me know. I am more interested in finding writers that can deliver clean copy than good poker players.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 29/12/2025

For the final week of the year. I am rerunning five posts for free. All content, including video analysis is unlocked and has been posted on POTD. Today's hand is one where I made a huge fold to Jesse Lonis and I was incorrect. www.puntoftheday.com/p/potd-56rr

puntoftheday.com

RERUN POTD #56 Monte Carlo Monday I Fold QQ vs KK

But was it a good fold?

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 23/12/2025

2025’s final POTD is posted. Over the holidays POTD will be in reruns. You hate reruns, but these ones will have all paywalled content gratis. HH analysis, videos, and tips cut for space. If you are not subscribing. You should. Get these posts in your inbox tomorrow! www.puntoftheday.com/subscribe

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 23/12/2025

I prefer when my favourite artists make art instead of posting

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 19/12/2025

A “feel player” made a huge fold on the biggest stage and was wrong. I wrote it. Unlocked and free for all www.puntoftheday.com/p/potd-194

puntoftheday.com

POTD #194 Jesse Lonis Hero Folds A Set

Ryuta Nakai represents the nuts, but does he have it?

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 15/12/2025

Have any of my followers seen the 2018 Das Boot TV show? Is Vincent Kartheiser's performance as Samuel Greenwood as iconic as his performance as Pete Campbell in Mad Men.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 13/12/2025

In a POTD first we have a quiz that some subscribers are calling "phenomenal" and "my favorite POTD post of all time" Take the quiz yourself here www.puntoftheday.com/p/week-in-re...

puntoftheday.com

Week In Review #38 December 7th-13th Quiz Time!

In the Bahamas $250k when Pros play vs Pros, surely no one will make any mistakes.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 10/12/2025

In the introduction to today’s free post. I wrote about how to play preflop with unequal stack sizes. Click to read more and take advantage of the sale, which expires at the end of the day. www.puntoftheday.com/p/potd-188

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Reposted by Sam Greenwood

Dr. K @drkamikaze.bsky.social · 06/12/2025

Not only is @puntoftheday.com blog the best, Sam kindly takes suggestions of hands to analyze, as he did today with a hand from the APT main. I requested it because I would feel like puking facing a jam on the river, and puking usually = indifference. Heuristic held! www.puntoftheday.com/p/potd-185

puntoftheday.com

POTD #185 "Hand Of the Year" at APT Taipei

One of the most daring bluffs, I've seen all year, but is it a punt?

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 05/12/2025

The sheer number of football vs soccer jokes

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 05/12/2025

Please more bits about "soccer" vs "football". There simply have not been enough.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 05/12/2025

I have watched a lot of horrible TV productions in my day and this might be the worst.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 27/11/2025

Everyone here seems to hate Nate Silver, so why don't you read about a poker hand he played poorly www.puntoftheday.com/p/potd-179

puntoftheday.com

POTD #179 Nate Silver's NAPT Punt

A Thanksgiving Punt. Who will be Leon Lett? (yes it was technically a FG bear with me)

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 26/11/2025

FREE POST: I analyze a mistake Maria Konnikova made in the North American Poker Tour event in Las Vegas. Tomorrow, I review a mistake made by her podcast host, the most beloved man on BlueSky, Nate Silver www.puntoftheday.com/p/potd-178

puntoftheday.com

POTD #178 Winning Wednesday: Maria Konnikova's NAPT Punt

A hand from the $10k High Roller before her Second Chance victory (Photo: Risky Business YouTube page)

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 17/11/2025

It's leading week at POTD. I write about how to play versus leads and when to lead yourself. The first hand is unlocked for all and we have four more leading spots coming this week. Hope you enjoy the strained "lead" "led" pun in the splash image. www.puntoftheday.com/p/potd-171

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 16/11/2025

When McCreesh references Woody Allen, Charlie Rose, Harvey Weinstein, Brett Ratner et. al it is because he thinks they are cool and good.

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 14/11/2025

Wrote about the hot button issue tearing up the poker world. When should tournaments start? www.puntoftheday.com/p/week-in-re...

puntoftheday.com

Week In Review #34 November 10th - November 16th

What time should poker tournaments start?

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Sam Greenwood @puntoftheday.com · 14/11/2025

I do not want to defend Mariner's fans, but at least they are not complaining about not winning co-Manager of the Year.

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