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Well, that's something I wont forget in a hurry 😬 Ah, I see. That fella.

Text from Wikipedia which says William of Orange may have inciting the lynching/cannibalism.

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Maybe L801 in Sentinel 2 from the same pass, but I'll defer to @flattopfiesta.bsky.social's wizardry Circa: 50.221 -0.654

Sentinel 2 image showing a somewhat blurry image of a vessel.

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And that might explain what the CH-47s were up to

AIS Map showing HNLMS Johan de Witt, a Rotterdam-class landing platform dock, operating in the English Channel.

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Interesting long duration patrol by RAF Protector RG Mk 1 in the English Channel today; looks like a CH-47 might have operated in the general area as well. Also asked myself question - can you see an RG Mk 1 in Sentinel 2 imagery? Answer: maybe. Circa 50.190 -0.322 in today's pass.

ADSBExchange screenshot of RAF Protector active in the English Channel.

A very pixelated, zoomed in screenshot of a Sentinel 2 image from earlier today, showing the telltale RGB separation caused by an aircraft.

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Another interesting NOTAM - Franz Josef Land getting in on the fun from tomorrow. @spectrecrouton.bsky.social

X8703/26 NOTAMN Q)ULLL/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/7945N04603E027 A)ULLL B)2610150500 C)2610201700 D)15-20 0500-1700 E)TEMPO DANGER AREA ACT: 795107N0480000E-795048N0474738E-795052N0473521E-795121N0472324E- 795207N0471200E-795333N0465908E-795958N0462417E-800020N0462125E- 800000N0440000E-793000N0440000E-793000N0480000E-795107N0480000E. F)GND G)UNL

X8701/26 NOTAMN Q)ULLL/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/7956N04711E010 A)ULLL B)2610150500 C)2610201700 D)15-20 0500-1700 E)AIRSPACE CLSD WI AREA: 800000N0480000E-795107N0480000E-795048N0474738E-795052N0473521E- 795121N0472324E-795207N0471200E-795333N0465908E-795958N0462417E- 800020N0462125E-800000N0480000E F)GND G)UNL

David @puca.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

I wouldn't rule it out, but I don't think current vessel positioning supports a Burevestnik test from Pankovo, Novaya Zemlya. But I am just an egg. There is this GND-UNL NOTAM active today from White Sea to the Barents, however, suggesting some kind of activity.

X7938/26 NOTAMN Q)ULLL/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/6627N03700E201 A)ULLL B)2610050700 C)2610141600 D)05-07 14 0700-1600 E)AIRSPACE CLSD AS FLW: 1. WI 20KM EITHER SIDE OF LINE JOINING POINTS: 680907N0332752E-644053N0400350E-661603N0411409E-680643N0424628E. FL290-FL450. 2. AREA: 660500N0404500E-683000N0411200E-681000N0442500E- 660000N0415000E-660500N0404500E GND-UNL. F)GND G)UNL

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The aircraft still appear to be sitting in Rogachevo Air Base, much like the vessels in Matochkin Shar, waiting for another test attempt.

Sentinel 2 image showing the aircraft visible faintly beneath the cloud at Rogachevo Air Base in the south of Novaya Zemlya.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

This follows CELTIC EXPLORER's (9244439) similar survey of the Corrib wells & pipeline in September. assets.gov.ie/static/docum...

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David @puca.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

N-SEA PATHFINDER (9545663) has been conducting a survey of the gas interconnector pipelines in the Irish Sea over recent weeks. assets.gov.ie/static/docum...

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David @puca.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

This period remains, perhaps, the most interesting of the 2026 test season - so far. Vessel layout wise, basically a repeat of activity from the only confirmed test last year. The presence of Rossita in Severny at same time is interesting. There were other vessels that didn't transmit on AIS.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

"What is your fascination with my forbidden closet of mystery?" 📸 ESA Copernicus Sentinel 2, 11 October 2021

Sentinel 2 image of a snowy Novaya Zemlya taken on 11 October 2021.
It's a false colour image so the natural greens show as red.
The mountains are casting a shadow due to the low Sun.
The area shown includes Pankovo and Severny.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

x.com/Etienne_Marc...

Screenshot of Twitter post from Etienne Marcuz, full text below:
🇫🇷🚀☢️ French Ministry of Armed Forces just confirmed the successful launch of an M51.3 intercontinental ballistic missile from the SSBN Le Vigilant, confirming its return to the operational cycle after 3 years of maintenance.

This was the first operational launch of this new version of the missile from a SSBN.

For the occasion, @CalvaireDrach
and I prepared an infographic showing how such a launch unfolds, from the transmission of the order to the impact of the reentry vehicle(s) — without their nuclear warheads — in the Atlantic Ocean, 4,700 km West of the launch area.

This infographic is based on the analysis of American documentation, which is very extensive on the subject. There may be slight differences between the French and American systems (M51 vs. Trident II D5), but the general principles described here are common to this type of missile. The major differences lie in the details — network meshing and encryption, number and type of vectored objects, bus maneuvering capability and accuracy, weapon energy and governmental control systems, etc. These are protected by the utmost secrecy.

I will soon publish a more detail article on this on Letstalkdeterrence.

Many thanks to @CalvaireDrach
for the work — if you wish to reuse this diagram, please credit her🙏

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David @puca.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

A HM Coastguard King Air took a look earlier.

ADSBExchange screenshot showing the tracks of G-HMGG, in the seas northwest off Cornwall.

AIS map showing Sinegorsk off Cornwall earlier today.

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Also tracked over the area Yantar pinged from back in November 2024. "Nice pipeline you've got here..."

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A mistake to have one of the tracks the same colour as the gas pipes! For reference: ZP801/ZP805/ZP806 are the ones shown.

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Nice lines, if nothing else.

Map of the Irish Sea overlaying tracks from RAF P-8 aircraft in recent weeks.

A quick look at RAF P-8 tracks in the Irish Sea over recent weeks.

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Ah, shur, why would Yantar have any interest in us? Oh, oh, I see. In seriousness though, it's a big old world with plenty to snoop on, so it could be going anywhere 🤷

Map showing Yantar's trip to the Irish Sea in November 2024 - when it decided, just for the laugh, to lurk over a gas interconnector pipeline that Ireland is very dependent upon.

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What's French for "Let's mess with the Irish eggs maps!"? How it looks currently; and sure to be revised again. G0099/26 & G0100/26 are specifically for 06 OCT 2026 between 0630 - 1100 UTC.

Map showing the current NOTAMs and navigation warnings related to this possible upcoming French missile test in the Atlantic, roughly spanning the area from the Bay of Biscay to Bermuda.

NAVAREA IV 949/26
NORTH ATLANTIC.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS 0001Z TO 1100Z
DAILY 04 THRU 21 OCT IN AREA WITHIN
71 MILES OF 32-25.00N 057-21.00W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 220100Z OCT 26.

290339Z SEP 26

!CARF 10/001 ZWY AIRSPACE STNR ALT RESERVATION. DUE TO A FRENCH ROCKET LAUNCH, SMERITRIOS, NEW YORK OCEANIC/FIR WILL NOT ACCEPT IFR TRAFFIC WI A 71NM RADIUS CENTERED AT 322500N0572100W SFC-UNL DAILY 0630-1100 2610060630-2610271100

G0100/26 NOTAMN
Q) EGGX/QRDCS/IV/BO /W /000/999/4544N02119W102
A) EGGX B) 2610060630 C) 2610061100
E) TEMPO DANGER AREA (TDA) EGD173 INSTALLED AREA:
461624N 0233528W - 465944N 0194410W - 450759N 0190518W - 445957N
0194816W - 445958N 0230344W.
FLW SEPARATIONS WILL BE PROVIDED WITHIN OCEANIC AIRSPACE: MNPS/NAT
HIGH LEVEL AIRSPACE(HLA) 30NM, NON-MNPS/NAT HLA 60NM.
F) SFC G) UNL

G0099/26 NOTAMN
Q) EGGX/QRDCS/IV/BO /W /000/999/4716N00908W032
A) EGGX B) 2610060630 C) 2610061100
E) TEMPO DANGER AREA (TDA) EGD172 INSTALLED AREA:
472406N 0095140W - 470137N 0094721W - 470829N 0082433W - 473101N
0082817W.
FLW SEPARATIONS WILL BE PROVIDED WITHIN OCEANIC AIRSPACE: MNPS/NAT
HIGH LEVEL AIRSPACE(HLA) 30NM, NON-MNPS/NAT HLA 60NM.
F) SFC G) UNL

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And here come the HYDROLANTs.... Full text(s) in the alt text, suffice it to say: MISSILE OPERATIONS, FRANCE.

Map showing HYDROLANT areas/maritime navigation warnings regarding "missile operations" extending from the Bay of Biscay out into the mid Atlantic ocean.

HYDROLANT 1944/26
BAY OF BISCAY.
CELTIC SEA.
NORTH ATLANTIC.
FRANCE.
1. MISSILE OPERATIONS 0001Z TO 1100Z DAILY
04 THRU 21 OCT IN AREAS BOUND BY:
A. 46-16.38N 023-35.45W, 46-59.73N 019-44.15W,
45-07.98N 019-44.15W, 44-26.03N 022-49.63W.

HYDROLANT 1944/26
BAY OF BISCAY.
CELTIC SEA.
NORTH ATLANTIC.
FRANCE.
1. MISSILE OPERATIONS 0001Z TO 1100Z DAILY
04 THRU 21 OCT IN AREAS BOUND BY:
B. 47-44.70N 005-23.50W, 47-48.72N 004-31.00W,
47-39.00N 004-01.00W, 47-21.72N 004-09.58W,
47-16.47N 005-17.68W.

HYDROLANT 1944/26
BAY OF BISCAY.
CELTIC SEA.
NORTH ATLANTIC.
FRANCE.
1. MISSILE OPERATIONS 0001Z TO 1100Z DAILY
04 THRU 21 OCT IN AREAS BOUND BY:
C. 47-24.10N 009-51.67W, 47-31.00N 008-28.28W,
47-08.48N 008-24.55W, 47-01.62N 009-47.35W.

HYDROLANT 1944/26
BAY OF BISCAY.
CELTIC SEA.
NORTH ATLANTIC.
FRANCE.
1. MISSILE OPERATIONS 0001Z TO 1100Z DAILY
04 THRU 21 OCT IN AREAS BOUND BY:
D. 47-31.00N 008-28.28W, 47-44.70N 005-23.50W,
47-16.47N 005-17.68W, 47-08.48N 008-24.55W.

HYDROLANT 1944/26
BAY OF BISCAY.
CELTIC SEA.
NORTH ATLANTIC.
FRANCE.
1. MISSILE OPERATIONS 0001Z TO 1100Z DAILY
04 THRU 21 OCT IN AREAS BOUND BY:
E. 42-58.33N 034-54.68W, 43-46.17N 032-20.02W,
42-49.37N 031-48.72W, 42-02.25N 034-21.48W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 211200Z OCT 26.

301416Z SEP 26

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Context: NOTAM B1511/26

Map showing GNSS interference NOTAM east of Bedford, active today between 0900 UTC and 1400 UTC.

Full text below:
B1511/26 NOTAMN Q) EGTT/QGWXX/IV/BO /E /000/999/5206N00003W011 A) EGTT B) 2610010900 C) 2610011400 E) GNSS (GPS) SIGNAL AND RADIO FREQUENCY JAMMING. JAMMERS LOCATED WI 1NM PSN 520549N 0000325W (BASSINGBOURN). ACTIVITY MAY AFFECT ACFT WI 10NM SFC TO 34600FT AMSL OR ABOVE (ALL DIRECTIONS). MAY ALSO AFFECT AIRBORNE ELECTRONIC SITUATIONAL AWARENESS DEVICES AND UAS CONTROL. GNSS (GPS) RECEIVERS MAY SUFFER INTERMITTENT / TOTAL FAILURE OR GIVE INCORRECT POSITION INFO. SOME ELECTRONIC SITUATIONAL AWARENESS DEVICES AND UAS SYSTEMS MAY SUFFER INTERMITTENT / TOTAL FAILURE OR GIVE INCORRECT NOTIFICATION. FOR INFO / CEASE JAMMING 07976 878695 / 07976 434412 AR-2026-7888/01.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Updated NOTAMs for this possible upcoming French missile test in the Atlantic. @marcolangbroek.bsky.social

Map showing series of five NOTAM areas extending roughly from the Bay of Biscay off France, toward Bermuda. One NOTAM includes the following text:
!CARF 09/386 ZWY AIRSPACE STNR ALT RESERVATION. DUE TO A FRENCH ROCKET LAUNCH, SMERITRIOS, NEW YORK OCEANIC/FIR WILL NOT ACCEPT IFR TRAFFIC WI A 71NM RADIUS CENTERED AT 322500N0572100W SFC-UNL DAILY 0630-1100 2610030630-2610271100

Text of other NOTAMS:
A5665/26 NOTAMN
Q) LPPO/QRALW/IV/NBO/W /000/999/4254N03322W070
A) LPPO B) 2610030630 C) 2610271100
D) 0630-1100
E) AIRSPACE RESERVATION FOR MISSILE LAUNCH WILL TAKE PLACE ON
AREA 2 - LPD2SM, BOUNDED BY:
425821N 0345442W - 420215N 0342129W - 424922N 0314844W -
434611N 0322002W - 425821N 0345442W.
F) SFC G) UNL

A5663/26 NOTAMN
Q) LPPO/QRALW/IV/NBO/W /000/999/4501N02126W071
A) LPPO B) 2610030630 C) 2610271100
D) 0630-1100
E) AIRSPACE RESERVATION FOR MISSILE LAUNCH WILL TAKE PLACE ON
AREA 1 - LPD1SM, BOUNDED BY:
442602N 0224938W - 445956N 0230343W - 445953N 0194840W -
442602N 0224938W.
F) SFC G) UNL

G0087/26 NOTAMN
Q) EGGX/QRDCS/IV/BO /W /000/999/4544N02119W102
A) EGGX B) 2610030630 C) 2610031100
E) TEMPO DANGER AREA (TDA) EGD173 INSTALLED AREA:
461624N 0233528W - 465944N 0194410W -
450759N 0190518W - 445957N 0194816W -
445958N 0230344W. FLW SEPARATIONS WILL BE PROVIDED WITHIN OCEANIC
AIRSPACE: MNPS/NAT HIGH LEVEL AIRSPACE(HLA) 30NM, NON-MNPS/NAT HLA
60NM.
F) SFC G) UNL

G0085/26 NOTAMN
Q) EGGX/QRDCS/IV/BO /W /000/999/4716N00908W032
A) EGGX B) 2610030630 C) 2610031100
E) TEMPO DANGER AREA (TDA) EGD172 INSTALLED AREA:
472406N 0095140W - 470137N 0094721W -
470829N 0082433W - 473101N 0082817W.
FLW SEPARATIONS WILL BE PROVIDED WITHIN OCEANIC AIRSPACE: MNPS/NAT
HIGH LEVEL AIRSPACE(HLA) 30NM, NON-MNPS/NAT HLA 60NM.
F) SFC G) UNL

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One thing that has fascinated me about Kosvinsky Kamen since I first started gawking at it a while ago, are the apparent mining operations that take place around it. I have visions of miners accidentally knocking through to the command and control facilities.

Google earth satellite image showing the command and control facilities on one side of the mountain, with tailings from mining operations in the foreground and stretching to the left of the image.

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Landsat imagery from: glovis.usgs.gov/app

Screenshot of https://glovis.usgs.gov/app showing settings used for North Dakota Landsat image data:

Selected Data Set(s)
Landsat 1-5 MSS C2 L1

Common Metadata Filters
Acquisition Date Range
25/09/1983 - 25/09/1983

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And a closer view over North Dakota and the missile silos. Even though this is hours before - you can kinda see how a system primed to detect launches, could possibly interpret these as trails from ICBMs...

A closer view of the Landsat image of North Dakota taken on 25th of September 1983, with silo positions overlaid.

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And the silo fields of North Dakota on this one. Data: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/341st_M... en.wikipedia.org/wiki/91st_Mi...

Map now showing the missile silos of North Dakota, overlaid on a Landsat image from 25th of September 1983.

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A neat thing with historical Landsat data - you can go back to 25th of September 1983 and see the wispy high altitude clouds over North Dakota around 17:00 UTC, roughly 3-4 hours before the false alarm. On the left, the missile fields of Malmstrom overlaid on Landsat image from 26th of September.

Map showing a section of the border between the United States and Canada. On the left side of the screen are markers showing missile silos at Malmstrom in Montana, and a Landsat image from 26th of September. On the right of the screen, the wispy clouds of the 25th of September over North Dakota.

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I guess we can expect more footage from Rize again soon. They're apparently always launching from Sinop. İğneada remains an enigma.

A4284/26 NOTAMN Q) LTAA/QWMLW/IV/BO /W /000/999/4213N03624E214 A) LTAA B) 2609301000 C) 2610021130 D) 1000-1130 E) GUN FIRING WILL TAKE PLACE. RMK: AIR TRAFFIC FLOW REGULATION NOTAM SHALL BE ISSUED. AREA(LTTSA13R): 411046N0405049E 410450N0402933E 420119N0351329E 420321N0351026E 420609N0350053E 420630N0345606E 415834N0344138E 420347N0331910E 420500N0321641E 421210N0314407E 423945N0314045E 424452N0325013E 424454N0344823E 423747N0374300E 413521N0410155E 411046N0405049E WITHIN RIZE-ARTVIN TMA, TRABZON TMA AND SINOP TMA VERTICAL LIMITS: SFC-99500FT AMSL F) SFC G) UNL

David @puca.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I am guessing it just really doesn't fancy going into this

Map showing significant wave heights of 5-7.5M between Iceland and Norway.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Hopefully DREAM (IMO: 9628116) is just drifting between Northern Ireland & the Isle of Man and doesn't have an anchor out. Not a sanctioned or shadow fleet vessel - likely just waiting for poor weather in the open seas to the north, to pass.

AIS map showing vessel DREAM on its way from Turkey to Murmansk, drifting slowly over subsea cable.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Thanks! Zoomed in & slowed down version.

David @puca.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

RAF P-8, ZP806, active over the Irish Sea earlier today. Hopefully just training and no-one's lurking over the pipes. @guyyeomans.bsky.social

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David @puca.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Irish Air Corps C295 MSA (#285) appeared to take a look at vessel FIDAN (IMO: 9423736) on its way from Russia to Algiers, earlier today. Somewhat unusual to see ADS-B tracks at low level this far from land based receivers; possibly tropospheric ducting.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Not a shadow fleet vessel, or sanctioned, but Cpt Georgios S (IMO: 9262936) is currently on its way from Murmansk to Iskenderun, Turkey, making what appears from globalfishingwatch.org data, to be its first trip through the Irish Sea, at least since 2012. 👋

Map showing globalfishingwatch.org tracks of Cpt Georgios S, from 2012 to a few days ago - no tracks are visible through the Irish Sea, although it has visited the Shannon Estuary numerous times.

VesselFinder map showing CPT GEORGIOS S transiting the Irish Sea, a brief (~3 hour) slow down is visible between Northern Ireland and Scotland.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Wherever I expected DORRY wind up, it wasn't off Portugal. What a wild track.

AIS map showing track of vessel DORRY, which went north off the coast of Portugal, swung northwest of Ireland before turning south east, disappearing off AIS for days, only to show up heading southeast off the coast of Portugal.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

A less Twin Peaks update - spot the difference between vessel placement during the 21st of October 2025 test window and today. It does not mean a Burevestnik test is taking place - we cannot possibly know that from vessel placement alone - but it looks very, very similar.

Image showing vessel placement, NOTAMs, aircraft position around the only confirmed test of Burevestnik during 2025, on 21st of October 2025.

Vessel placement today, 17th of September 2026. It is very similar to that of 21st of October 2025.

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Lil spot of interference at Andøya showed up on @lemonodor.bsky.social's awesome gpsjam.org yesterday.

Map showing a red spot depicting high level of GPS interference over Andøya

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A quick look at some of the activity in the air around Andøya today. Fwiw, the NOTAM area shown doesn't kick in until 1800Z today 15th of September and runs to 0300Z on 16th of September. HYDROARC 222/26 runs through 09 - 19 September. HNoMS Otto Sverdrup is showing in the area on AIS.

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Dorry, for whatever reason, has decided to go back southeast. I think C285 (Irish Air Corps C295 MSA) took a look

Flightradar24 screenshot showing C285 - Irish Air Corps C295 MSA -tracking back towards Ireland after a mission over the Atlantic. Circled is a point where it was operating at lower altitude approx position: 51.65 -16.31

AIS track from VesselFinder showing DORRY backing away from its previous northerly track and going back south east.

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ae6838 and ae6878 active today.

ADSBExchange map showing the flightpath of two US P-8 aircraft, operating from Mildenhall and going toward the Atlantic Ocean, by tracking north of Ireland.

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