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The electronic budget system shows a 6.31 trillion ruble deficit as of 14 October 2026

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‼️ Russia: “Instead of a "super-profits tax," big business proposed saving the budget by devaluing the ruble.” 🍿 ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/10/15/k...

Instead of a "super-profits tax," big business proposed saving the budget by devaluing the ruble.

The Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs—the country's largest business association, representing companies accounting for 60% of the national GDP—has criticized the tax hikes the government is introducing starting in 2027 to fill the deficit-ridden military budget.

According to Kommersant , in a letter sent by RSPP head Alexander Shokhin to Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, the union emphasizes that the new taxes run counter to the government's promise to maintain fiscal conditions until 2030.

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Alternate auto-translation

The body parts found in St. Petersburg gave the start to a criminal case

October 15, 2026, 18:42

Human remains, which were found in the Kirovsky district of the city on October 15, were laid out in packages and a bag. The Investigative Committee opened a criminal case of murder.

"Fontanka" wrote that parts of the body were found on the bank of the Ligovsky Canal near the People's Militia Avenue. The remains have decomposed so much that it is not possible to visually determine the sex and age of a person.

"The investigator and the criminalist are working at the scene of the incident, a set of investigative actions aimed at establishing all the circumstances of the incident is being carried out," the State Investigation Department of the Investigative Committee in St. Petersburg reported.

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Meanwhile in Russia… Dismemberment in St. Petersburg! www.fontanka.ru/2026/10/15/7...

INCIDENTS
Body parts found in St. Petersburg have sparked a criminal investigation.
October 15, 2026, 6:42 PM

The human remains found in the Kirovsky District of the city on October 15 were found in bags and a purse. The Investigative Committee has opened a murder investigation.
Fontanka reported that body parts were found on the bank of the Ligovsky Canal near Narodnogo Opolcheniya Avenue. The remains were so decomposed that it was impossible to visually determine the person's gender and age.
"An investigator and a forensic specialist are working at the scene of the incident, conducting a series of investigative actions aimed at establishing all the circumstances of the incident," the Main Investigative Directorate of the Investigative Committee for St. Petersburg reported.

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Here are my updated associated graphs Data source: cbr.ru/eng/hd_base/...

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Here is my updated Banking liquidity table, with column 2 sorted in descending order going back to the beginning of 2022. The red values are the month after the 2022 invasion. Purple is October 2026 Orange is September 2026 Yellow is August 2026

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Here is where you can find the banking liquidity data. You can adjust the date range. Remember that positive numbers in column 2 indicate a banking liquidity DEFICIT. I took all the data back to the beginning of 2022 and shoved it into a spreadsheet. cbr.ru/eng/hd_base/...

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Yesterday, told you I would have something interesting to share. I can now tell you how much the Russian government is having to pay in coupon payments in 2026 as a result of ruble denominated bonds placed in 2025 👉 961.4067 Billion rubles

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Here is the OFZ Forecast as of today.

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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 8h

Russian Government Bond Zero Coupon Yield Curve 15 October 2026 (Don’t yell at me for the lack of zero on the axis, this isn’t my graph) 20 year 👉 16.42% 15 year 👉 16.45% 10 year 👉 16.49% cbr.ru/eng/hd_base/...

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They agree minfin.gov.ru/ru/document?...

On the establishment of coupon income rates and coupon income on the twenty-fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29015RMFS, on the twenty-fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29019RMFS, on the fourth coupon OFZ-PC of issue № 29028RMFS and on the fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29029RMFS

15.10.2026. The Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation informs:

- according to the twenty-fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29015RMFS, the coupon income rate is set at 13.96% per annum. The coupon income on the twenty-fourth coupon of OFZ-PC issue № 29015RMFS will be 34 (thirty-four) rubles 81 kopecks;
- on the twenty-fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29019RMFS coupon income rate is set at 13.96% per annum. Coupon income on the twenty-fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29019RMFS will be 34 (thirty-four) rubles 81 kopecks;
- for the fourth coupon of OFZ-PC issue № 29028RMFS, the coupon income rate is set at 14.21% per annum. Coupon income on the fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29028RMFS will be 35 (thirty-five) rubles 81 kopecks;
- for the fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29029RMFS, the coupon income rate is set at 14.21% per annum. Coupon income on the fourth coupon OFZ-PC issue № 29029RMFS will be 35 (thirty-five) rubles 81 kopecks.

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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 13h

‼️ Russia: “The Kuzbass Governor proposed locating data centers in abandoned coal mines.” 🇷🇺: What could possibly go wrong? www.interfax.ru/russia/1122626

IN RUSSIA
1:40 pm, october 15, 2026
The Kuzbass Governor proposed locating data centers in abandoned coal mines.

Moscow. October 15. INTERFAX.RU - Placing data centers in abandoned coal mines will help support the coal industry and improve the site's security, Kemerovo Region Governor Ilya Seredyuk stated during a session of Russian Energy Week.

"Data centers can be located in abandoned open-pit mines, in the quarries of our coal companies, which today coal miners must reclaim, fill, and improve," he said. "This is, roughly speaking, a large pit, 300 meters deep. If the entire infrastructure of a data center, a computing center, a mining center were placed there, the capital expenditures for creating such data centers would be minimal. There's no need for reclamation; this money should be used to create a new economy."

The governor estimates that a monolithic building "of 10 stories, 12-16 stories not up, but down" could be lowered into the depleted quarry, and the water in the quarries and underground rivers would help reduce operating and capital costs for cooling systems.

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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 13h

Here’s what I’ve got on these 4 bonds, we’ll see if the Min of Fin agrees

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Look, after at least 5 people have been killed by bears in Irkutsk this year already, I can understand being a little jumpy. But how big was the cat? www.gazeta.ru/social/news/...

October 14, 2026, 9:01 PM
Society
A Russian man called emergency services after mistaking a cat for a bear.
In the Irkutsk region, a man called 911 after mistaking a cat for a bear.

In the Irkutsk region, a man mistook a cat for a bear and called emergency services, according to Nikolai Khrychov, mayor of the Chunsky District.

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You just place bonds TODAY with a yield of 16.77% And there still wasn’t enough demand to meet your Q4 goals. This isn’t “winning” www.gazeta.ru/business/new...

October 14, 2026, 11:03 PM Business
Siluanov predicted that Russia will maintain its leading position in the
G20 in terms of government debt.
Siluanov: Russia's public debt will not exceed 25% of GDP by 2030

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Still growing slowly on people Very slowly bluefacts.app/profile/prun...

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What are we thinking about next week’s key rate decision? Do you think they might actually increase it? www.interfax.ru/business/112...

ECONOMY → INFLATION IN RUSSIA
8:00 pm, october 14, 2026

The Bank of Russia has removed its July forecast for the year from its inflation commentary.

The Central Bank will issue a new forecast after its October key rate meeting.

Moscow. October 14. INTERFAX.RU - The Bank of Russia has removed its July inflation forecast for 2026 and 2027 from its commentary, promising to present a new estimate following the board's key rate meeting in October.

"The Bank of Russia's monetary policy is aimed at returning annual inflation to the target level of 4%. The inflation forecast, as part of the Bank of Russia's medium-term forecast, will be published following the key rate meeting on October 23, 2026," the Central Bank said in a commentary.

In a similar document assessing inflation for August, the Bank of Russia noted that in the baseline scenario, taking into account the current monetary policy, annual inflation will amount to 6-7% in 2026, return to 4% in 2027, and remain on target thereafter (July forecast).

Annual inflation in the country exceeded the Central Bank's upper forecast in the first week of October amid tariff increases. Based on calculations based on Rosstat data, this figure rose to 7.22% on October 12, up from 7.13% on October 5 and 6.35% at the end of September.

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Here are my related charts. I’m not sure what is going on other than maybe the market still being overly optimistic about statements made by Trump. cbr.ru/eng/hd_base/...

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Russian Government Bond Zero Coupon Yield Curve 14 October 2026 (Don’t yell at me for the lack of zero on the axis, this isn’t my graph) 20 year 👉 16.40% 15 year 👉 16.45% 10 year 👉 16.51% cbr.ru/eng/hd_base/...

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‼️ Russia: “The size of the fire at the OSB plant in Tomsk has tripled.” 🔥🔥🔥 www.interfax.ru/russia/1122442

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The electronic budget system shows a 5.99 trillion ruble deficit as of 12 October 2026

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Does someone want a loan? 🇷🇺: 👉👈 www.interfax.ru/business/112...

ECONOMY
6:30 pm, october 14, 2026
Siluanov called on the IMF to return to its core objectives rather than "optional" ones.

Moscow, October 14. INTERFAX.RU - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) should return to its original, exclusively economic mandate, restore uniform and non-discriminatory approaches to lending to countries, develop fiscal recommendations, and develop oversight tools to ensure their strict implementation. This opinion is contained in a statement by Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov ahead of the meeting of the International Monetary and Financial Committee (IMFC), which will be held in Bangkok on the sidelines of the annual meeting of the IMF and World Bank Group governing bodies on October 15-17.

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‼️ Russia: “Putin announced that cyber threats to the Russian economy have reached a new level.” 🇺🇦: What about kinetic threats to your digital system? 😈 🇷🇺: 🤐 🇺🇦: You’re bots & trolls don’t seem to have as much to say 😎 www.interfax.ru/russia/1122402

IN RUSSIA
3:37 pm, october 14, 2026
Putin announced that cyber threats to the Russian economy have reached a new level.

In this regard, it is necessary to improve all digital security mechanisms, the president noted.

Moscow. October 14. INTERFAX.RU - Russian President Vladimir Putin stated the need to improve all digital security mechanisms in light of current threats.

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Worth noting that RUONIA is running low right now. cbr.ru/eng/hd_base/...

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Tomorrow, we should get the last data point on these 4 bonds.

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For fun, you can see what it will do to the 2027 totals

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Here is the OFZ forecast as of today. Remember that PD-26251 & PD-26245 have no coupon payments remaining in 2026.

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Here’s all the information on the coupon payments and repayments made so far this year.

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Here is the information on the coupon payment made today minfin.gov.ru/ru/document?....

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And they still only managed to satisfy about half of the demand. Everyone one else wanted a higher rate.

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The yield of 16.77% is the HIGHEST weighted average yield since 👉 February 2025

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Switching to accounting coordinates, I’ve got estimated 132.4 billion rubles towards their Q4 goal based on preliminary results. Which means they’re still falling behind where they need to be.

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Here it is on my little calculator chart. There aren’t any additional 2026 coupon payment obligations as a result of today’s placements.

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Here are the PRELIMINARY results of today’s OFZ Auction Day (14 October 2026) minfin.gov.ru/en/document?... minfin.gov.ru/en/document?... minfin.gov.ru/en/document?... minfin.gov.ru/en/document?...

Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation hereby announces the results of the auction of 14 October, 2026:

- bonds offered: OFZ № 26251RMFS (maturity date 28 August, 2030);
- notional amount offered: amount available for placement in the issue;
- notional bid amount: RUB 110.976 bn;
- notional amount placed: RUB 41.771 bn;
- net proceeds: RUB 35.487 bn;
- cut-off price: 83.8200%;
- yield at cut-off price: 15.74%;
- weighted average price: 83.8355%;
- yield at weighted average price: 15.74%.

The information does not contain the results of the additional placement after the auction.
The additional placement after the auction was conducted at the weighted average price.

Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation hereby announces the results of the auction of 14 October, 2026:

- bonds offered: OFZ № 26245RMFS (maturity date 26 September, 2035);
- notional amount offered: amount available for placement in the issue;
- notional bid amount: RUB 187.264 bn;
- notional amount placed: RUB 73.479 bn;
- net proceeds: RUB 59.574 bn;
- cut-off price: 80.8113%;
- yield at cut-off price: 16.77%;
- weighted average price: 80.8138%;
- yield at weighted average price: 16.77%.

The information does not contain the results of the additional placement after the auction.
The additional placement after the auction was conducted at the weighted average price.

Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation hereby announces the results of the additional placement after an auction (APPA) on 14 October, 2026:

OFZ № 26251RMFS:
- notional amount offered – RUB 51 256.111 mln;
- notional amount placed – RUB 24 743.391 mln;
- net proceeds – RUB 21 020.624 mln;
- placement price – 83.8355%;
- placement yield – 15.74%.

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‼️ Russia: “Estonia has announced plans to shut down a backup gas pipeline supplying Russian gas to the Kaliningrad region.” 🇪🇪: 😎 ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/10/14/e...

Estonia has announced plans to shut down a backup gas pipeline supplying Russian gas to the Kaliningrad region.

Estonia plans to decommission a backup gas pipeline that Russia could use to supply fuel to the Kaliningrad region. According to Eesti Ekspress, Estonian Prime Minister Kristen Michal intends to block transit via this route either jointly with Latvia or through unilateral national sanctions.

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Here is Column 2 in descending order.

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✅ true (Data going back to beginning of 2022) Column 5 is sorted in descending order.

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lol www.moex.com/en/bonds/su2...

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‼️ Russia: “The RuNet suffered a massive outage following an attack on Sberbank's data center in the Saratov region.” ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/10/14/v...

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