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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF

@predict-addict.bsky.social
289 followers 30 following 12K posts

Experienced Data Science Leader | PhD in Machine Learning | 7x Author | Black Belt 🥋 in Time Series | Chief Conformal Prediction Promoter| Mathematician | valeriy.ai

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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 28m
In 1884 a schoolteacher in Voronezh paid a printer to publish his own arithmetic textbook. No publisher. No ministry order. At first it was used only in the two cities where he taught. Then it spread — school by school — against about fifty rival textbooks. It won.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 1h
The most complete reference on generalized functions ever written is free. Gelfand and Shilov, all five volumes — distributions, differential equations, harmonic analysis, integral geometry. My Awesome Math Books list had Volume 1. I just added the other four. The complete set in one place.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 1h
Amazon’s AI knows that CatBoost is all you need for machine learning on tabular data — and it’s putting serious real money behind that call. For a limited time, the book is heavily subsidized: 40% off. www.amazon.com/Maste...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 1h
After many months of work, it is done. The complete Kiselev series is in English. For over 70 years these were the mathematics textbooks of Russian and Soviet schools. More than 80 million students learned from them.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 1h
You can now build a full school math curriculum from the Kiselev track. russianmathbooks.com now has: • searchable tables of contents for every book • US / UK / Canada grade mapping • the full sequence — overlaps, textbook + problem-book pairings, and what comes next
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The best paper on matrix calculus openly admits what every other treatment hides. Magnus says his tutorial exists to present "some of the tacit knowledge that is prevalent in this field" — the things everyone is assumed to know and nobody ever teaches. That sentence is why the paper works.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
In 1772 an eye operation left Leonhard Euler almost completely blind. He could still do the mathematics. He could not read it or write it. So he needed someone. Not a copyist — someone who could follow him. Euler turned to his old friend Daniel Bernoulli in Basel.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Applied Conformal Prediction course is back. Sign up here to learn of the hottest machine learning topic conformal prediction maven.com/valeriy-ma...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Enrollment is open for Modern Forecasting Mastery — the highly rated course on building forecasting models and systems that work in production, not just on social media. maven.com/valeriy-ma...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Even supposedly prestigious universities often teach courses that are not fit for purpose and do not equip students for jobs in 2026. You don’t have to take my word for it. Look at Berkeley’s Introduction to Time Series: it teaches very little, and what it does teach is badly out of date.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Something unusual just happened. Amazon is promoting my book — and subsidising the print cost. The full-colour premium edition is now <50% of its usual price. No promo on my side. Just the algorithm pushing it. Won’t last.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The secret is out. Savvy U.S. parents have been putting their kids in after-school Russian Math for years. Fox 5 just put it on air for millions. www.youtube.com/watc... russianmathbooks.com
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Amazon’s AI knows that CatBoost is all you need for machine learning on tabular data — and it’s putting serious real money behind that call. For a limited time, the book is heavily subsidized: 40% off. www.amazon.com/Maste...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Stop using Platt scaling by default. It’s the bug, not the fix. If you’re serious about shipping calibrated models, that one-line reflex is quietly making your best classifier worse. We ran Platt scaling across 21 classifiers, 30 binary datasets, 150 cross-validation folds (arXiv 2601.19944).
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Enrollment is open for Modern Forecasting Mastery — the highly rated course on building forecasting models and systems that work in production, not just on social media. maven.com/valeriy-ma...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Very nice paper. Back in 2017 Vovk and myself have published several papers introducing conformal predictive distributions and developing them for general case AI/ML?
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
It's 2026… and for time series forecasting, Transformers & LLMs are STILL what you don't need. This repo has been delivering the truth for couple of years now.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Gotta love Walmart. You can buy pretty much everything there — including great math books. Large American stores are the best in the world. Nothing even comes close. russianmathbooks.com
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Something unusual just happened. Amazon is promoting my book — and subsidising the print cost. The full-colour premium edition is now <50% of its usual price. No promo on my side. Just the algorithm pushing it. Won’t last.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Amazon’s AI knows that CatBoost is all you need for machine learning on tabular data — and it’s putting serious real money behind that call. For a limited time, the book is heavily subsidized: 40% off. www.amazon.com/Maste...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The only way to learn math properly is to solve lots of problems. Vereshchagin’s "Collection of Arithmetic Problems: For Secondary Schools' is finally available in English for the first time — 3,238 carefully selected problems with a complete answer key. First published in 1891 by St.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Machine learning is incredibly powerful, but that doesn’t mean ML academics can easily beat the stock market. www.youtube.com/watc...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
After many months of work, it is done. The complete Kiselev series is in English. For over 70 years these were the mathematics textbooks of Russian and Soviet schools. More than 80 million students learned from them.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Enrollment is open for Modern Forecasting Mastery — the highly rated course on building forecasting models and systems that work in production, not just on social media. maven.com/valeriy-ma...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
A lot of data scientists in 2026 still either skip EDA or do it wrong. They think EDA is about making pretty charts. It is not. EDA is not a gallery of polished plots. EDA is not a box-ticking exercise before modeling. EDA is not “let’s run a few charts and move on.”
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
In 1772 an eye operation left Leonhard Euler almost completely blind. He could still do the mathematics. He could not read it or write it. So he needed someone. Not a copyist — someone who could follow him. Euler turned to his old friend Daniel Bernoulli in Basel.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Why Soviet Math Students Were Strong People often ask: Why were Soviet and Eastern European students so strong in mathematics? Why do Eastern European students dominate math olympics? Part of the answer lies in the textbooks.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
The most rigorously written introduction to school algebra has six chapters and 126 numbered paragraphs. Signed numbers. Polynomials. Algebraic fractions. Equations of the first degree in one, two, and three unknowns. Square roots. Quadratic equations.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Amazon’s AI knows that CatBoost is all you need for machine learning on tabular data — and it’s putting serious real money behind that call. For a limited time, the book is heavily subsidized: 40% off. www.amazon.com/Maste...
000
Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
The best book in forecasting metrics is now available on Amazon in: 1) paperback (colour) -> www.amazon.com/dp/19... 2) hardcover (luxury premium colour) editions- > www.amazon.co.uk/dp/... Why forecasting metrics?
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
In 1866 August Davidov founded the Moscow Mathematical Society and became its first president. He held the office until he died in 1885. In the middle of that career he wrote an algebra textbook for fourteen-year-olds. I've spent the last months translating it. It's out today. 🧵
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Enrollment is open for Modern Forecasting Mastery — the highly rated course on building forecasting models and systems that work in production, not just on social media. maven.com/valeriy-ma...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Something unusual just happened. Amazon is promoting my book — and subsidising the print cost. The full-colour premium edition is now <50% of its usual price. No promo on my side. Just the algorithm pushing it. Won’t last.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
In any forecasting project, the model is often only about 5% of the work. Getting the metrics wrong is one of the primary reasons forecasting projects fail.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Last year’s Nation’s Report Card recorded a first: 45% of American 12th graders scored below Basic in mathematics — the highest share ever measured. Only 33% were judged academically prepared for entry-level college math, down from 37% in 2019. The instinct is to blame calculus instruction.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
People keep asking how to actually learn trigonometry properly. So I translated this excellent book: "Rectilinear Trigonometry and Goniometry" www.amazon.com/dp/18... russianmathbooks.com...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
If you want to learn trigonometry this is the book for you. 'Derzhavin's Rectilinear Trigonometry' is now for the first time available in English www.youtube.com/watc... www.amazon.com/dp/18... russianmathbooks.com...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
A short, but awesome arithmetic textbook - Rashevsky's 'Short Course in Arithmetic' This is the second book by the same author now available in English following Rashevsky's Trigonometry www.youtube.com/watc... www.amazon.com/dp/19... russianmathbooks.com Rashevsky's Trigonometry
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
In any forecasting project, the model is often only about 5% of the work. Getting the metrics wrong is one of the primary reasons forecasting projects fail.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
A new youtube video just dropped. www.youtube.com/watc...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Anyone who have followed me for long time knows I have been saying “forecasting is a game of relatives” and it applies well not only to point forecasting but also to probabilistic forecasting.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Calibrating forecasting intervals across forecasting horizons is the cardinal sin. The plot below from my book “Applied Conformal Prediction” shows what happens as a result.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
The three sins of naive conformal forecasting. This is from my forthcoming book “Applied Conformal Prediction”.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Enrollment is open for Modern Forecasting Mastery — the highly rated course on building forecasting models and systems that work in production, not just on social media. maven.com/valeriy-ma...
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
One of the best (the best?) short courses in mathematical analysis was written in eight lectures. Khinchin — the man behind Continued Fractions and the classic probability books — compressed a full course into eight lectures that build real understanding, not exam tricks.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
The only way to learn math properly is to solve lots of problems. Vereshchagin’s "Collection of Arithmetic Problems: For Secondary Schools' is finally available in English for the first time — 3,238 carefully selected problems with a complete answer key. First published in 1891 by St.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
You can now build a full school math curriculum from the Kiselev track. russianmathbooks.com now has: • searchable tables of contents for every book • US / UK / Canada grade mapping • the full sequence — overlaps, textbook + problem-book pairings, and what comes next
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
After many months of work, it is done. The complete Kiselev series is in English. For over 70 years these were the mathematics textbooks of Russian and Soviet schools. More than 80 million students learned from them.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Can you differentiate a matrix with respect to a matrix? Most machine learning practitioners cannot — and the ones who think they can are often using a layout convention that does not survive contact with the chain rule. Magnus wrote the definitive tutorial.
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF @predict-addict.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
After many months of work, it is done. The complete Kiselev series is in English. For over 70 years these were the mathematics textbooks of Russian and Soviet schools. More than 80 million students learned from them.
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