iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Trump’s second term in two charts. A bit more context at my (Free!) substack: charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/trumps-sec...

0219

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Trump approval has continued down, and is especially bleak on the economy, war with Iran , gas prices, and inflation & cost of living. . New @MULawPoll *National* survey. On my (free!) Substack. charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/part-2-tru...

0113

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Every time I use Claude I think of this line: “Here I am, brain the size of a planet and they ask me to take you down to the bridge. Call that job satisfaction? 'Cos I don't.” It induces a little guilt on my part.

071

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Primary day in Wisconsin. Who supports Francesca Hong? charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/primary-da...

092

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

The path to the Wisconsin Democratic nomination The primary horserace has been "eventful". I review the bidding (my Substack is free.) charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/the-path-t...

162

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

No. See my reply with GSS data 1972-2024. No age effects there.

020

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

You have to squint pretty hard to see an aging effect. The cohort differences are a bit larger. My @MULawPoll data has more cases/year since 2021, so more per cohort. GSS has much longer time frame & # cohorts, 1972-2024 but fewer cases/year..

140

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

My data is US only. I thought about shooter drills too, but the decline is there for the 1960s and 1970s cohorts too, who didn't have shooter drills.

000

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

Several folks ask if this is recent. It isn't. The GSS asks a different question and gets lower trusting responses, but the decline in trust across birth cohorts remains. This goes back a long way in cohort time.

250

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

No..My Marquette Law School Poll, national surveys.

110

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

In my data from 2021-2026 there is no general increase by year except for the two youngest cohorts, which would be where I'd expect to see age effects. So some age effects for youngish, or confounded with period effects. Even so the 2000s cohort remains at the bottom and the 1990s is second lowest.

282

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

If you think it's social media use, it isn't.

280

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

Who do you trust? How old are you? Trust in other people is dramatically lower among younger people than the olds charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/who-do-you...

94821

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

For the second day in a row the public agrees with the Supreme Court on 2 of 3 major rulings. On birthright citizenship and limits on transgender athletes the public and Court come down on the same side. On campaign coordination the public disagrees with the Court. open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

open.substack.com

The Court and Public Opinion, day 2

The Court and public agree on 2 of 3 rulings on last day of term

021

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 29/06/2026

The Supreme Court, on June 29th, allowed counting of late arriving ballots, rejected an attempt to fire a member of the Federal Reserve, but allowed the president to fire heads of other independent agencies for any reason. The public agrees on the first two, but not on the third. Link below--

open.substack.com

The Court and Public Opinion

The Supreme Court and the public agree on 2 of 3 cases today

032

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

Who do you trust? Be a doctor, a marine or a cop. Don't be Congress, AI companies or Facebook. substack.com/home/post/p-...

053

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

Thank you David. Much appreciated. It is always a joy to have a former student replace me as the teacher.

010

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

I posted yesterday about favorability to the Democratic Socialists of America among Democrats. Today, by popular request, I’ve added tables about DSA favorability among all adults at the bottom of that post. A useful comparison & context. charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/opinion-of...

charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com

Opinion of Democratic Socialists of America among Democrats

Views of DSA among Democrats are driven more by ideology than age or urban residence

083

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 04/06/2026

Comparing adults, registered and likely voters. Generally modest differences but a few notable shifts. The table is too large for X, so go to my (free!) substack to see it. Attached is a hint. My Substack. Did I mention It is free? charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/comparing-...

041

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

Trump approval is low overall, but on the economy and inflation it is terrible. Inflation is #1 and economy is #2 most important issue. New @MULawPoll national survey on Trump approval across issues. Full post on my (free!) substack: open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

0163

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

Dem vs Dem and Rep vs Rep in Wisconsin. Wisconsin budget surplus bill gets both bipartisan support and opposition. And is defeated. open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

020

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 22/05/2026

Consumer Sentiment, presidential approval and the midterms Consumer sentiment helped Trump in his 1st term, is damaging him now. Full post: open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

0100

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

How to spend a surplus: Property tax relief, schools, both? For now, the answer is neither Voters want both property tax relief and more special education funding; partisan divide is less strong than other issues. You'd think an opportunity for the compromise bill open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

open.substack.com

How to spend a surplus

Property tax relief, schools, both? For now, the answer is neither.

010

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

A GOP problem in one response. Even among Trump loyalists the cost of living is a problem. And this response was from my January poll, when 50% said gas prices were DOWN. Now 93% say they are UP. P.S. My substack is free. See the full post here: substack.com/@charlesatpo...

062

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

Ninth Republican incumbent retires in Wisconsin Assembly This is the 2nd GOP retirement in a competitive Assembly seat. See on my (free!) Substack: charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/ninth-repu...

180

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

Boys and girls! Young and old! And Donald Trump All but the olds soured on Trump in 2025. charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/boys-and-g...

074

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Was. But that was also a switch for him from a safe seat to a competitive one. A rare choice but in order to be back at home after redistricting moved his district.

100

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Of the senate seats up in 2026, 12 are held by Republicans, 6 of whom have announced their retirements. Two of the retirements are in competitive districts, 4 have been more lopsided recently. Dems need to net 2 seats to gain the majority.

191

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Wisconsin state Senator Andre Jacque (R - New Franken) became the 6th Republican to announce he will not seek reelection. There are 18 GOP senators, so 1/3 are not running. This district is solidly Republican. Past votes are for the current post 2024 boundaries.

2235

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 28/04/2026

California billionaire tax now on ballot. In my Marquette Law School Poll national survey released last week we asked about a “special additional tax on billionaires.” A substantial 73% majority favor such a tax, including a majority of Republicans. Clip from last week’s release.

05315

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 27/04/2026

See my post with more details of the Wisconsin Assembly races in 2026. (My Substack is always free.) open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

050

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 27/04/2026

Rep. Dean Kaufert (R-53rd) announced his retirement April 27th, the 8th Republican to not seek reelection. This creates an open seat in one of the most competitive Assembly seats. The seat has trended Democratic in recent elections.

2131

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

Thanks David. I hadn’t seen that story. Cheers.

010

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

On Wednesday I did a half-hour on WCPT 820AM in Chicago with guest host Ed Yohnka. I thought it was a fun conversation with a fellow polling junkie in which we reviewed what’s been happening in the polls this week. Here is the link: omny.fm/shows/joan-e...

omny.fm

WCPT 820 Interview: Charles Franklin - Joan Esposito: Live, Local & Progressive

Filling in for Joan Esposito, Ed Yohnka is joined by Charles Franklin, professor of Law and Public Policy at Marquette University Law School, and director of the Marquette Law School Poll. Catch "Joa...

252

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

National probability sample, interviews online. 4/8-16 n=982, +/-3.4 adults.

020

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Here are presidential approvals across issues, and by party. This is our new NATIONAL poll, not Wisconsin. Note the range of approval among Reps: not all the same. Below 50 w Reps on inflation. Low Independent approval is midterm problem for GOP. Inflation/Cost of living #1 issue

2187

Reposted by Charles Franklin

Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

New Marquette Law School national survey finds high approval of Iran cease-fire, low support for the war, and few who think U.S. goals have been achieved. (@pollsandvotes.bsky.social) law.marquette.edu/poll/2026/04...

051

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Cease-fire good; war bad. 75% approve of the cease-fire in the U.S.-Iran war and 24% disapprove. At the same time, only 21% say the U.S. has achieved its goals in the war, while 78% say the goals have not been met. 63% say there were not sufficient reasons for war.

233

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

Worth looking at. They are very close in the aggregate, though more haven't heard enough about Vance. Would be interesting if there are some notable group differences.

010

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

Net favorability to JD Vance. Who likes him, who doesn't, and how much?

2106

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

The vast difference in consumer sentiment in the second term compared to the first shows vividly that the economy is not the life preserver the president and his party seek. See the full post on my (free!) Substack: open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

061

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

Second Term Worse than the First. Consumer sentiment is far worse in 2nd term than in 1st. Economic sentiment was a tremendous advantage in the first Trump term and is a tremendous burden in the second. 1/n

1103

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

See Nathan Kalmoe’s reply. Good points. Especially the maritime history.

010

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

Results are unofficial but nearly complete. You can remember me from my mnemonic: PAV, PollsAndVotes. Map credit: NYTimes. See this on my free substack: open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

open.substack.com

A new Wisconsin counties mnemonic

Liberal Chris Taylor sweeps conservative Maria Lazar in Supreme Court race

1201

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

It all adds up to a 60.1% to 39.8% win for liberal Chris Taylor over conservative Maria Lazar, doubling the liberal margins seen in each of the previous three Court elections, which themselves were considered large margins in highly competitive Wisconsin. 7/n

1251