iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Introducing the Poll Bludger's Victorian election guide and seats projection model. Current reading: L-NP 45, ALP 25, ON 15, GRN 3. pollbludger.net/2026/09/29/v...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

Looking good for One Nation in Secret Harbour. My results system is calling it for them, and it's doing so on the basis of a more modest projection than the ABC's (7.7% margin rather than 10.5%). www.pollbludger.net/2026/08/29/s...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

Labor look like they've scraped home in the Stafford by-election, but my system isn't quite calling it yet. They lead by 768 at the end of the night, which I expect late-arriving postals will cut by about half. www.pollbludger.net/2026/05/16/s...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

After a bad result for Labor in the Chermside South booth (with 9.1% now counted, still nothing on TCP): pollbludger.net/qld2026by1/R...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

Queensland's Stafford by-election so far living up to expectations of a tight result in seat Labor holds by 5.3%. My system is generously still allowing the chance of a GRN win. Primary votes only so far, with 3.6% counted out of expected turnout of 80%. pollbludger.net/2026/05/16/s...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 02/05/2026

My results system is calling Nepean a LIB RETAIN. Quite a few of the best areas for One Nation are still outstanding, but even so, they're running well behind the second-placed independent. www.pollbludger.net/2026/05/02/n...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 29/11/2025

The race is tightening in Hinchinbrook as larger centres come in, the early rural booths having swung massively against KAP. LNP still favoured, but a different dynamic on pre-polls could change things. www.pollbludger.net/2025/11/29/h...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 29/11/2025

Katter's have a vague hope in the Hinchinbrook by-election stemming from the fact that the swing against is weaker at the Townsville end than in the rural booths that have mostly reported so far. www.pollbludger.net/2025/11/29/h...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 29/11/2025

The Katter's vote has fallen by more than half across six rural booths in the Hinchinbrook by-election, leaving the LNP well placed to gain the seat. I'm projecting a One Nation vote of 15.4%, compared with 4.6%, which they would need to improve on to get in contention.

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

I'm now calling #kiamavotes for Labor www.pollbludger.net/2025/09/13/k...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

Not calling it yet, but with three booths in on the primary vote, the Liberals look well short of where they need to be in #kiamavotes pollbludger.net/2025/09/13/k...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 19/07/2025

First booths are in for #tasvotes and the big news is that my live results system seems to be working. Huge result for the Liberals in Irishtown, FWIW (not much). Follow the action here: www.pollbludger.net/tas2025/Resu...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 15/04/2025

Button pressed on WA Legislative Council count at 3pm tomorrow

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

BludgerTrack poll aggregate now favours Labor 51.6-48.4 after Newspoll's 52-48 and Resolve Strategic's 53.5-46.5, with a particularly striking trend coming through on the leaders' net approval ratings. www.pollbludger.net

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 25/03/2025

The Courier Mail's take on the Queensland government's breach of one of its central promises to voters in the regional areas where the LNP cleaned up in October.

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 08/03/2025

Follow the WA election through the Poll Bludger's world-famous live results system: www.pollbludger.net/wa2025/Resul...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 08/02/2025

Still nothing from Prahran, but exciting times in Werribee. Second booth less bad for Labor than the first, but in both their primary vote has collapsed. In this case though, big chunks of it go to Vic Socialists and an independent, and little to Liberal. www.pollbludger.net/2025/02/08/p...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 08/02/2025

First booth in from Werribee swings bigger to the Liberals than the Labor margin. Small booth though and uncharacteristic of the electorate. www.pollbludger.net/2025/02/08/p...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Either an aberrant early booth, or another by-election triumph coming up for Peter Malinauskas #blackvotes pollbludger.net/2024/11/16/b...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 14/10/2023

Illustrating a point made earlier by Antony Green: big discrepancy in Clark (i.e. Hobart) between the city centre and the working class north pollbludger.net/fed2023ref/R...

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William Bowe @pollbludger.bsky.social · 14/10/2023

An example of the booth results displays you'll find on my site. Here we see the Concord West booth in Reid breaking 52-48 in favour of no. I believe this is the only place, the AEC included, where you'll find booth results. #Referendum2023 pollbludger.net/fed2023ref/R...

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