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Andy Lawton

@politics.andylawton.com

516 followers 182 following 342 posts

Data Analyst with a keen interest in polling and elections.

Posts Replies Media

Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 18/05/2026

Seem's relatively fair for me. Maybe could have been a little more Cosmopolitan if i'd chosen "no strong view" on a few where that may have been better.

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 13/05/2026

Good to see the Lib Dems leading the call for this Reform Councillor to be removed. Was a little worried with Reform being led by a former LibDem Councillor how closel they'd be working together.

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 08/05/2026

Again quite the change in results. It's been Labour first, Lib Dem 2nd from the beginning of these ward boundaries, but last election Greens surpassed the Lib Dems by 0.2pts. Now it's Labour, Lib Dems 3rd and 4th...

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 08/05/2026

Quite the change in results this year

A view of who won each seat in Sheffield since 2016.

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 20/04/2026

I guess it's nice to finally receive a leaflet from the greens in this seat. It just might be the worst local election leaflet I've ever received. Why do national only leaflets for a local campaign, it makes me personally less likely to vote not more.

A political campaign flyer for the Green Party featuring a portrait of Zack Polansk.

The text in bold reads, "STOP REFORM. REPLACE LABOUR." followed by a "Vote Green"

The inside of the leaflet presents a side-by-side comparison titled "LABOUR SUPPORT IS IN FREEFALL."

Back of the flyer. A bar chart based on a March 2026 YouGov opinion poll. The chart shows "Reform" in first place at 23% and the "Green" party in second place at 21%, followed by the Conservatives (16%), Labour (16%), and Liberal Democrats (14%).
Text reads "GREENS IN SECOND PLACE TO REFORM NATIONWIDE."

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 26/01/2026

Time for another update to the state of the parties. With Braverman defecting to reform plus Gwynne being appointed to the Manor of Northstead (Vacated seat) Reform would have been double figures now, had 40% of their initial MPs not left the party...

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 18/01/2026

The detailed list of changes is getting pretty long already though.

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 18/01/2026

Thought it was time to update my State of the Parties file. Honestly just a bit dissapointed we've had so few by-elections.

A view of all the changes in parliament so far.

Labour -7
Conservatives -4
Independent +8
Reform +2
Your +1

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 18/09/2025

Nice for there to be a tweet from Lowe that's I can share positively.

Rupert Lowe to Zarah Sultana:

It's going to be super awkward on our reject bench in parliament now.

Cheers, Zarah.

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 27/07/2025

Seems to stem from this which is believed to be from one of his friends. But i'm not sure i'd go as far as "decent" source. But not clear hoax yet.

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 14/06/2025

Tracking was lost over 400km before iranian airspace. Based on the flight before we won't see that plane again 'til it leaves Iran / they reopen airspace. The airlines been involved with repatriation, aid and military supply flights before

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 21/05/2025

"Earlier this week we had a post on No10s X(Twitter) account featuring a blue sky. We hope this satisfies your enquiry in full."

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 10/03/2025

Given how much Tesla had been up I wasn't expecting it to reach negative across 6 months anytime soon... (Still up 27% across 1 year for now)

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 29/11/2024

Here's the Assisted Dying vote by Party. Reform and Labour being the most split. Both with ~60% in support

Table showing votes by party.

Aye Percentages:
Green Party 100%
Social Democratic & Labour Party 100%
Liberal Democrat 85%
Plaid Cymru 75%
Labour 61%
Reform UK 60%
Conservative 20%
Independent 7%
Alliance 0%
Democratic Unionist Party 0%
Traditional Unionist Voice 0%
Ulster Unionist Party 0%

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Andy Lawton @politics.andylawton.com · 19/11/2024

The US Election's was 2 weeks ago today. California-13 is still 50/50 as they've only counted 86% of the vote... People need to start campaigning on faster vote counting. Especially in California.

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