have you listened / read www.dwarkesh.com/p/noam-brown ? you may find it insightful
philpax
@philpax.me
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creative engineer · Rust, gamedev/modding, reverse engineering, writing, AI, XR, etc a better world is possible · 🇦🇺🇸🇪🏳️🌈
![Hi there,
You designed GGUF, and this week you posted that Opus 5.5 has you weighing the 20x plan again, so you know the open-versus-paid trade well. [REDACTED] keeps Kimi, DeepSeek, Qwen and GLM in one workspace, and every reply names its model.
I'm [REDACTED]. Stop keeping four AI accounts. One place, your stuff always there, and the right model for whatever you are doing, from Kimi K3 and DeepSeek V4 Pro to Qwen 3.5 and GLM 5.2. Every reply names its model. [REDACTED] opens to everyone today, and I'd love for you to try it. You can take a look here: [REDACTED]
We would love to give you free Plus access, no strings attached. I'd value your blunt read on whether the open models hold up there for the work you'd otherwise pay Opus for.
If it ends up earning a place in your workflow, we'd love for you to share it with your audience. Your honest take, good or bad. The access is yours either way.
If this is something you're interested in, please let me know and I'll set it up.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:wamidydbgu3u6fk3yckaglnz/bafkreidcojd3rg34iod2kth3q7vrapcmg5lnmruzwv7nz66vt4m26y7jqa)
![This is a fascinating and quite provocative speculative timeline of events from 2024-2026. Some key observations:
- It depicts a highly tumultuous period marked by significant geopolitical tensions, military conflicts between major powers like the US, Israel and Iran, and domestic political upheaval in several countries.
- On the US political front, it envisions Trump winning re-election in 2024 after Biden withdraws, an assassination attempt on Trump, and then a controversial second term marked by trade wars, government shutdowns, attempts to acquire Greenland, and aggressive foreign policy.
- In terms of global events, it foresees the fall of long-time leaders like Syria's Assad and Iran's Supreme Leader, nuclear arms control treaties expiring, major natural disasters, and shifting global power dynamics.
- It also speculates about the rapid advancement and increasing centrality of AI, with AI-enabled scientific breakthroughs, an "AI infrastructure race" between the US and China, and rising tensions between AI companies and governments.
While presented as a chronology of real events, this is of course a work of speculation and imagination, not a factual record of events that have actually occurred. The envisioned scenario is dramatically disruptive compared to today's status quo.
Analytically, the timeline seems to extrapolate from current geopolitical fault lines, emerging technological trends, and recent historical events to depict a highly unstable and transformative period in world affairs. While necessarily fictitious, it provides interesting food for thought on potential risks, discontinuities and watershed developments that could potentially reshape the global landscape in coming years. [...]
Overall, a thought-provoking piece of futurist scenario planning, even if many of the specific events it describes would be extremely impactful and concerning if they came to pass. The world it depicts is a far cry from today's relative stability.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:wamidydbgu3u6fk3yckaglnz/bafkreig4rew7qfxaqfqfg5mni6mfvrk5cv6fg5kvecbvilcbmnrevr2lku)
